Trading Concepts

Core ideas behind how and why markets move.

Backtesting

Testing a set of rules against historical price data to see how it would have performed.

backtesthistorical testing

Cleanest opportunities

The trades with the clearest conditions: an obvious level, a readable market and no imminent event about to change everything.

clean opportunitiescleanest setupsclean trading conditions

Confluence

Several independent reasons pointing at the same level or direction at once.

confluent level

Discretionary trading

Trading with a framework of rules but leaving the final judgement to the trader.

discretionary

Entry criteria

The checklist of conditions that must all be true before you are allowed to enter.

entry rulesentry checklist

Entry trigger

The single, specific event that turns a watched setup into a live trade.

triggerentry signal

Exit criteria

The conditions that close a trade, whether it is winning or losing.

exit rulesexit plan

Forex Sentiment

A retail-positioning sentiment gauge showing the long-versus-short split for selected currency pairs among reporting community accounts.

Community Outlookretail sentimentforex sentiment ratioLow volatility

Forward testing

Running a strategy on live, unseen price data before committing real money to it.

paper tradingdemo testing

Invalid setup

A setup that has stopped meeting its own conditions, so it should no longer be traded.

invalidationfailed setup

Market bias

Your prepared lean on direction for a pair before the session begins.

directional biasdaily bias

Mechanical trading

Trading a fixed rule set where every decision is defined in advance.

systematic tradingrules-based trading

Multiple Data Points

Using several pieces of information together rather than relying on a single number, event, or signal.

data pointsmultiple signalsevidence weighting

Overfitting (curve fitting)

Tuning rules so tightly to past data that they describe history instead of the market.

curve fittingover-optimisation

Signal versus confirmation

A signal says something may be happening; confirmation shows that it did.

signal vs confirmationsignal

Strategy optimisation

Adjusting a strategy on the basis of measured results rather than opinion.

optimisationstrategy optimization

Trade filter

A condition that removes otherwise valid trades to improve the average quality of the ones you take.

filter

Trade setup

The full set of conditions that has to be present before a trade is even considered.

setuppattern setup

Trading edge

A repeatable reason to expect your trades to make money over a large sample.

edgestatistical edge

Trading rules

The written instructions that decide what you trade, how much you risk and when you stop.

rulebooktrading plan rules

USDJPY Sentiment

A retail-positioning snapshot for USD/JPY based on community outlook data.

USD/JPY retail sentimentUSDJPY community outlookdollar-yen sentimentLow volatility

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