Today's Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePrivateCurrentIssue №179
AsianLondonNew York
Risk
Hard
Events left
45
Next event
00:00
Last updated
06:04 UK

Today's Outlook

Patience Around Currency News

Watch EUR/USD around EUR news at 07:00 UK, USD news at 13:30 UK and EUR news at 15:00 UK. Wait for price to settle rather than chase sudden changes, including around USD speakers at 13:50 and 14:10 UK.

Trading summary checklist
Expected volatility
Elevated
Expected session activity
Normal
Calendar risk tone
Cautious
Event risk difficulty
Hard

Expectations based on today's economic calendar and trading session, not live price, volume or order-book measurements.

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 00:00CAD

    Budget 2026 Release

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30JPY

    Composite PMI Final

    Previous
    52.3
    Forecast
    52.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30JPY

    Services PMI Final

    Previous
    51.3
    Forecast
    52
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30AUD

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    495M
    Forecast
    800M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30AUD

    Exports (MoM)

    Previous
    45.73B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30AUD

    Imports (MoM)

    Previous
    44.38B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:35JPY

    10-Year JGB Auction

    Previous
    3.101%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    German Factory Orders (MoM)

    Previous
    -10.6%
    Forecast
    4.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:00CHF

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:05EUR

    ECB Schnabel Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30EUR

    Construction PMI

    Previous
    43.4
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30EUR

    German Construction PMI

    Previous
    43.5
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00GBP

    New Car Sales (YoY)

    Previous
    12.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30GBP

    Construction PMI

    Previous
    46.1
    Forecast
    46.1
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    PPI (MoM)

    Previous
    1.9%
    Forecast
    2.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    PPI (YoY)

    Previous
    8.2%
    Forecast
    10.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30USD

    Challenger Job Cuts

    Previous
    43.3K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    German New Car Registrations (YoY)

    Previous
    9%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00GBP

    BoE Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    3.75%
    Forecast
    4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00GBP

    BoE Monetary Policy Report

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00GBP

    BoE MPC Vote Cut

    Previous
    0
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00GBP

    BoE MPC Vote Hike

    Previous
    3
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00GBP

    BoE MPC Vote Unchanged

    Previous
    6
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00GBP

    MPC Meeting Minutes

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:30USD

    Initial Jobless Claims

    Previous
    194K
    Forecast
    196K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Nonfarm Productivity (QoQ) Prel

    Previous
    1.4%
    Forecast
    2.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Continuing Jobless Claims

    Previous
    1.7M
    Forecast
    1.71M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg.

    Previous
    196.8K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Unit Labour Costs (QoQ) Prel

    Previous
    1.2%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:50USD

    Fed Hammack Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:10USD

    Fed Barkin Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00EUR

    ECB President Lagarde Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:20USD

    Ny Fed Bill Purchases 1 To 4 Months

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Natural Gas Storage

    Previous
    80B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:40EUR

    ECB Lane Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    4-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.91%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    8-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    4.02%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00USD

    15-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00USD

    30-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    7.24%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    Fed's Balance Sheet

    Previous
    6.75T
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks

    Previous
    2.9T
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 23:30JPY

    Average Cash Earnings (YoY)

    Previous
    3.8%
    Forecast
    3.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:30JPY

    Overtime Pay (YoY)

    Previous
    5.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:50JPY

    Foreign Bond Investment

    Previous
    -92.6B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:50JPY

    Stock Investment by Foreigners

    Previous
    1.18T
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 00:00-00:20 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Prices and European News

    Use Asian highs and lows as starting points, not proof of the direction London trading will take.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 00:50-03:30 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Prices and European News

    Use Asian highs and lows as starting points, not proof of the direction London trading will take.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 03:50-06:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Prices and European News

    Use Asian highs and lows as starting points, not proof of the direction London trading will take.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 06:55-07:20 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR German Factory Orders (MoM) may produce sharp EUR/USD changes as European trading begins.

    Pause new EUR/USD entries until price stops jumping around the German Factory Orders release.

    Volatility · High
    Related toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 07:20-07:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Prices and European News

    Use Asian highs and lows as starting points, not proof of the direction London trading will take.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 08:20-09:25 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London Price Confirmation

    Look for EUR/USD to hold beyond the Asian high or low, or repeatedly turn back inside those boundaries.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 09:45-11:50 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London Price Confirmation

    Look for EUR/USD to hold beyond the Asian high or low, or repeatedly turn back inside those boundaries.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 12:20-13:25 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London Price Confirmation

    Look for EUR/USD to hold beyond the Asian high or low, or repeatedly turn back inside those boundaries.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 13:25-15:45 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD data and Fed speeches precede ECB President Lagarde Speaks, creating several chances for EUR/USD to change sharply.

    Avoid fresh EUR/USD entries through this period; reassess the 1-hour chart after the scheduled speeches.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 15:55-17:00 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Price Review After Speeches

    Consider EUR/USD entries only if speech-related price swings have settled and the 1-hour chart gives a clear signal.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 17:00-21:25 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Selective Evening Review

    Keep the focus on managing EUR/USD positions rather than replacing a missed London trade.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 21:25-21:45 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD Fed's Balance Sheet may interrupt EUR/USD trading near the end of the day.

    Avoid opening EUR/USD trades during the release and its first sharp price changes.

    Volatility · High
    Related toExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 21:45-22:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Balance Sheet Caution

    Check whether the USD balance-sheet release changes the price behaviour supporting any open EUR/USD trade.

    Volatility · Quiet

Today's Guidance

Mark the Asian session high and low on the 1-hour chart. For a EUR/USD trend trade, wait for a 1-hour candle during London trading to close outside those prices.

Today's guidance illustration

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Later

    Set a total loss limit for repeated EUR/USD attempts, not just a limit for each trade.

  2. Step 02Later

    Record actual releases against the supplied forecasts without treating a surprise as a trade signal.

  3. Step 03Later

    For trades between the Asian high and low, skip entries near the midpoint.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.