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Latest Published Trading Plan
USD/JPY · FreePublicIssue №159Historical Trading Plan
Viewing the published Trading Plan for FRIDAY 23 OCTOBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.
Today's Outlook
Patient Trading Day
Wait for London to define USD/JPY's high and low after JPY National CPI (YoY) at 00:30 UK and PMI releases at 01:30 UK. USD Composite PMI, Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI are scheduled at 14:45 UK; avoid chasing the first sharp price move.
- Volatility
- Elevated
- Liquidity
- Normal
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Difficulty
- Hard
Today’s Events
| Action | Time | Event | CCY | Impact | Previous | Forecast | Actual / Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 | GfK Consumer Confidence | GBP | -13 | -15 | Upcoming | |||
| 00:30 | National CPI (YoY) | JPY | 1.9% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 00:30 | National Core CPI (YoY) | JPY | 1.7% | 2.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 00:30 | Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy (YoY) | JPY | 1.9% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 00:30 | National CPI (MoM) | JPY | 0.1% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 01:30 | Manufacturing PMI | JPY | 54.9 | 54.5 | Upcoming | |||
| 01:30 | Services PMI | JPY | 52.5 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 01:30 | Composite PMI | JPY | 53.5 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 04:35 | 3-Month Bill Auction | JPY | 1.28% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Retail Sales (MoM) | GBP | 0.5% | -0.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Retail Sales (YoY) | GBP | 2.4% | 1% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Retail Sales ex Fuel (MoM) | GBP | 0.6% | -0.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Retail Sales ex Fuel (YoY) | GBP | 2.7% | 1.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Market timing Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 08:30 | German Manufacturing PMI | EUR | 53.9 | 53.5 | Upcoming | |||
| 08:30 | German Composite PMI | EUR | 53.8 | 53.3 | Upcoming | |||
| 08:30 | German Services PMI | EUR | 52.9 | 52.5 | Upcoming | |||
| 08:55 | ECB Montagner Speaks | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Composite PMI | EUR | 53.1 | 52.7 | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Manufacturing PMI | EUR | 52.9 | 52.7 | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Services PMI | EUR | 53 | 52.5 | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Manufacturing PMI | GBP | 51.9 | 51.7 | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Services PMI | GBP | 52.1 | 51.8 | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Composite PMI | GBP | 52 | 51.8 | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | ECB Consumer Inflation Expectations | EUR | 3% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Market timing London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos (MoM) | CAD | -0.7% | 1% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales (MoM) Final | CAD | -0.7% | 1.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales (MoM) Prel | CAD | 1.3% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Manufacturing Sales (MoM) Prel | CAD | 1.5% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales (YoY) | CAD | 5.1% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:45 | Composite PMI | USD | 58.4 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:45 | Manufacturing PMI | USD | 55.9 | 55.5 | Upcoming | |||
| 14:45 | Services PMI | USD | 58.8 | 58 | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final | USD | 48.1 | 46.3 | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations Final | USD | 3.4% | 3.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations Final | USD | 46.3 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Michigan Current Conditions Final | USD | 50.9 | 44.7 | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Michigan Inflation Expectations Final | USD | 4.6% | 4.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | ECB Cipollone Speaks | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | USD | 459 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count | USD | 603 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Market timing Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over. | All | — | — | Scheduled |
- 00:01GBP
GfK Consumer Confidence
- Previous
- -13
- Forecast
- -15
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:30JPY
National CPI (YoY)
- Previous
- 1.9%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:30JPY
National Core CPI (YoY)
- Previous
- 1.7%
- Forecast
- 2.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:30JPY
Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy (YoY)
- Previous
- 1.9%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:30JPY
National CPI (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.1%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:30JPY
Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 54.9
- Forecast
- 54.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:30JPY
Services PMI
- Previous
- 52.5
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:30JPY
Composite PMI
- Previous
- 53.5
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:35JPY
3-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 1.28%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Retail Sales (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.5%
- Forecast
- -0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Retail Sales (YoY)
- Previous
- 2.4%
- Forecast
- 1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Retail Sales ex Fuel (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.6%
- Forecast
- -0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Retail Sales ex Fuel (YoY)
- Previous
- 2.7%
- Forecast
- 1.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00ScheduledMarket timing
Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.
- 08:30EUR
German Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 53.9
- Forecast
- 53.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:30EUR
German Composite PMI
- Previous
- 53.8
- Forecast
- 53.3
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:30EUR
German Services PMI
- Previous
- 52.9
- Forecast
- 52.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:55EUR
ECB Montagner Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Composite PMI
- Previous
- 53.1
- Forecast
- 52.7
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 52.9
- Forecast
- 52.7
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Services PMI
- Previous
- 53
- Forecast
- 52.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30GBP
Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 51.9
- Forecast
- 51.7
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30GBP
Services PMI
- Previous
- 52.1
- Forecast
- 51.8
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30GBP
Composite PMI
- Previous
- 52
- Forecast
- 51.8
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
ECB Consumer Inflation Expectations
- Previous
- 3%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00ScheduledMarket timing
London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.
- 13:30CAD
Retail Sales Ex Autos (MoM)
- Previous
- -0.7%
- Forecast
- 1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Retail Sales (MoM) Final
- Previous
- -0.7%
- Forecast
- 1.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Retail Sales (MoM) Prel
- Previous
- 1.3%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Manufacturing Sales (MoM) Prel
- Previous
- 1.5%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Retail Sales (YoY)
- Previous
- 5.1%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:45USD
Composite PMI
- Previous
- 58.4
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:45USD
Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 55.9
- Forecast
- 55.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:45USD
Services PMI
- Previous
- 58.8
- Forecast
- 58
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final
- Previous
- 48.1
- Forecast
- 46.3
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations Final
- Previous
- 3.4%
- Forecast
- 3.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Michigan Consumer Expectations Final
- Previous
- 46.3
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Michigan Current Conditions Final
- Previous
- 50.9
- Forecast
- 44.7
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Michigan Inflation Expectations Final
- Previous
- 4.6%
- Forecast
- 4.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00EUR
ECB Cipollone Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00USD
Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count
- Previous
- 459
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00USD
Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count
- Previous
- 603
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00ScheduledMarket timing
Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.
Today's Trading Windows
Your trading day, in chronological order.
- 00:00-00:20 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Price Setting
Use the Asian session high and low as points to watch rather than assuming a direction.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 00:25-00:45 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingJPY National CPI (YoY) and National Core CPI (YoY) share the 00:30 UK release time.
Avoid new USD/JPY entries during the first sharp price move.
Volatility · HighRelated toJPY National CPI (YoY) · 00:30Asian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 00:50-01:25 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Price Setting
Use the Asian session high and low as points to watch rather than assuming a direction.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 01:25-01:45 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingJPY Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI share the 01:30 UK release time.
Wait for USD/JPY to form a clear high and low before entering.
Volatility · HighRelated toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 01:45-06:50 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Price Setting
Use the Asian session high and low as points to watch rather than assuming a direction.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 07:20-08:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Price Setting
Use the Asian session high and low as points to watch rather than assuming a direction.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 08:00-08:20 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingLondon Confirmation
Wait for USD/JPY to hold beyond the Asian high or low, or turn clearly away from either price.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcoming - 09:50-12:00 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingLondon Confirmation
Wait for USD/JPY to hold beyond the Asian high or low, or turn clearly away from either price.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcoming - 12:00-13:25 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingLondon Before USD News
Use only clear price behaviour around the established Asian and London session highs and lows.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 13:45-14:35 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingLondon Before USD News
Use only clear price behaviour around the established Asian and London session highs and lows.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 14:40-15:05 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingUSD Composite PMI, Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI share the 14:45 UK release time.
Avoid new entries until USD/JPY forms a clear high and low after the releases.
Volatility · HighRelated toUSD Manufacturing PMI · 14:45London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 15:15-17:00 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingNews Settling Period
Use this period only if USD/JPY forms clear boundaries after the 14:45 UK releases.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 17:00-22:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingLate Trading Period
Trade only if USD/JPY continues to respect a clear session high and low.
Volatility · QuietRelated toNew York SessionUpcoming
Today's Guidance
Mark the Asian session high and low on USD/JPY. Enter only after a 1-hour candle closes beyond either price or clearly turns away.
Alternative scenario
USD/JPY closes clearly beyond the London session high or low after the 14:45 UK USD PMI releases.
Stop trading between the London high and low; follow the confirmed move only after price returns and moves away again.
Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.
Today's Trading Checklist
Run through every step below before placing a trade today.
Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.
- Step 01Plan closed
Use the Daily and 4-hour charts to decide whether USD/JPY is trending or staying between clear highs and lows.
- Step 02Plan closed
Reduce trade size when 1-hour candles repeatedly cross the same Asian or London session price.
- Step 03Plan closed
Record whether the 14:45 UK releases create lasting price behaviour or only a brief spike.
Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.
Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.
Build the habit. Understand the market.
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