Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №154

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for WEDNESDAY 21 OCTOBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Patient Event Risk Day

Wait for EUR/USD to show a clear direction after German Buba President Nagel Speaks at 08:15 UK. Avoid chasing sudden changes around German Buba Mauderer Speaks at 14:15 UK, Cushing Crude Oil Inventories and Crude Oil Inventories at 15:30 UK, and ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 17:00 UK.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 03:00NZD

    Credit Card Spending (YoY)

    Previous
    3.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00KRW

    Manufacturing BSI Index

    Previous
    72
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:15EUR

    ECB's Lane Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    PPI Input (MoM)

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    1.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core PPI Output (YoY)

    Previous
    2.7%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    PPI Input (YoY)

    Previous
    6.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    PPI Output (YoY)

    Previous
    3.7%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core PPI Output (MoM)

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    RPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    RPI (YoY)

    Previous
    3.4%
    Forecast
    3.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core RPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.5%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    3.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    CPI, n.s.a

    Previous
    143.6
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    2.6%
    Forecast
    2.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core RPI (YoY)

    Previous
    3.3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Public Sector Net Cash Requirement

    Previous
    10.005B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    PPI Output (MoM)

    Previous
    0.7%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:00CHF

    M3 Money Supply

    Previous
    1238158B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:15EUR

    German Buba President Nagel Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00ZAR

    CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    4.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Greek Current Account (YoY)

    Previous
    0.218B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00ZAR

    Core CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00ZAR

    Core CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    4.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00ZAR

    CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30GBP

    House Price Index (YoY)

    Previous
    1.4%
    Forecast
    1.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Belgium Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    -10
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    German Buba Monthly Report

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00ZAR

    Retail Sales (YoY)

    Previous
    3.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00CNY

    FDI

    Previous
    -5.3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Mortgage Applications (WoW)

    Previous
    -2.7%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    Mortgage Market Index

    Previous
    199.2
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Purchase Index

    Previous
    139.3
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    Mortgage Refinance Index

    Previous
    513.5
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    7.5%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Infrastructure Output (YoY)

    Previous
    4.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    RBI MPC Meeting Minutes

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:00ZAR

    Budget Balance

    Previous
    -4.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00GBP

    BoE Gov Bailey Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:15EUR

    German Buba Mauderer Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Cushing Crude Oil Inventories

    Previous
    1.862M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Gasoline Inventories

    Previous
    3.518M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Refinery Crude Runs (WoW)

    Previous
    0.135M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Crude Oil Inventories

    Previous
    -8.557M
    Forecast
    -0.3M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Heating Oil Stockpiles

    Previous
    -0.448M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Distillate Fuel Production

    Previous
    -0.101M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates (WoW)

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Gasoline production

    Previous
    -0.117M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Crude Oil Imports

    Previous
    -0.596M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Weekly Distillates Stocks

    Previous
    -2.527M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00EUR

    ECB President Lagarde Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    20-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    5.42%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:30BRL

    Foreign Exchange Flows

    Previous
    2.415B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 22:45NZD

    CPI (QoQ)

    Previous
    1.5%
    Forecast
    0.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:45NZD

    CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    4.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 00:00-05:10 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Observation

    Treat Asian session prices as preparation, not proof of London's direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 05:30-06:50 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Observation

    Treat Asian session prices as preparation, not proof of London's direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 07:20-08:05 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    European Opening Caution

    Watch how EUR/USD behaves near the Asian session high and low before 08:15 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 08:05-08:35 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    German Buba President Nagel Speaks at 08:15 UK may cause sudden EUR/USD price changes.

    Do not enter EUR/USD during the first change around 08:15 UK. Check the Asian session high and low from 08:35 UK.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 08:35-12:25 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London Price Check

    EUR/USD is most usable when a candle closes beyond the Asian session high or low and stays there.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 12:45-13:55 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London Price Check

    EUR/USD is most usable when a candle closes beyond the Asian session high or low and stays there.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 14:05-14:35 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    German Buba Mauderer Speaks at 14:15 UK may interrupt established EUR/USD price behaviour.

    Watch whether EUR/USD stays beyond the Asian session high or low before considering an entry.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 14:35-15:20 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    EUR News Transition

    Watch whether EUR/USD settles after 14:15 UK before deciding if the Asian session high or low still matters.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 15:20-15:50 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Cushing Crude Oil Inventories and Crude Oil Inventories at 15:30 UK may cause sharp USD price changes.

    Do not enter EUR/USD between 15:20 and 15:50 UK. Check where price settles against the Asian session high and low.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Crude Oil Inventories · 15:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 15:50-16:50 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    News Heavy Trading

    Use extra care around USD inventories at 15:30 UK and ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 17:00 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 16:50-17:20 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 17:00 UK may cause sudden EUR/USD price changes.

    Avoid entering EUR/USD from 16:50 to 17:20 UK. Wait for price to settle around the Asian session high or low.

    Volatility · High
    Related toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 17:20-17:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    News Heavy Trading

    Use extra care around USD inventories at 15:30 UK and ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 17:00 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 18:15-22:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    News Heavy Trading

    Use extra care around USD inventories at 15:30 UK and ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 17:00 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming

Today's Guidance

Mark the Asian session high and low on the EUR/USD chart. Enter only when a candle on the 1-hour chart closes beyond either price and EUR/USD stays beyond it.

Today's guidance illustration

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Plan closed

    Keep total EUR/USD risk smaller across the EUR speaker windows at 08:15, 14:15 and 17:00 UK.

  2. Step 02Plan closed

    For range trades, require two clear defences of the same Asian-session edge.

  3. Step 03Plan closed

    Journal separately trades initiated by price behaviour and trades prompted by news headlines.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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