Latest Published Trading Plan

GBP/USD · FreePublicIssue №148

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for FRIDAY 16 OCTOBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Patient News-Shaped Day

At 08:00 UK, watch how GBP/USD behaves around the Asian high and low before choosing any trade. USD Import and Export Price Index at 13:30 and Industrial Production at 14:15 can cause sharp moves; avoid chasing the first jump.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:30SGD

    Non-Oil Exports (YoY)

    Previous
    46.1%
    Forecast
    33.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:30SGD

    Non-Oil Exports (MoM)

    Previous
    10.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:30SGD

    Trade Balance

    Previous
    13.764B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00CNY

    China Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI

    Previous
    74.67
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00NZD

    RBNZ Offshore Holdings

    Previous
    57%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00INR

    Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI

    Previous
    66.92
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00JPY

    Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI

    Previous
    39.42
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00KRW

    Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI

    Previous
    44.27
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00AUD

    Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI

    Previous
    48.5
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00GBP

    BoE Gov Bailey Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:30EUR

    German Buba President Nagel Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:30USD

    Fed Governor Warsh Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:15CAD

    BoC Gov Macklem Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    8.5%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 10:00EUR

    HICP ex Energy and Food (MoM)

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Core CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    HICP ex Energy & Food (YoY)

    Previous
    2.1%
    Forecast
    2.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Core CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    2.4%
    Forecast
    2.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    CPI ex Tobacco (MoM)

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    CPI ex Tobacco (YoY)

    Previous
    3.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Italian HICP (YoY)

    Previous
    3.2%
    Forecast
    4.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Trade Balance

    Previous
    14.2B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Italian HICP (MoM)

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Italian CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.5%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    3.2%
    Forecast
    3.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Italian CPI Ex Tobacco (YoY)

    Previous
    3.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Italian CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    3.3%
    Forecast
    4.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    CPI, n.s.a

    Previous
    103.73
    Forecast
    104.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Italian Trade Balance EU

    Previous
    1.25B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Italian Trade Balance

    Previous
    8.24B
    Forecast
    7.5B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00USD

    IMF Meetings

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00ZAR

    Business Confidence

    Previous
    125.4
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Bank Loan Growth

    Previous
    18.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Deposit Growth

    Previous
    17.3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    FX Reserves, USD

    Previous
    734.61B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:00BRL

    IBC-Br Economic Activity

    Previous
    -0.2%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:15CAD

    Housing Starts

    Previous
    229K
    Forecast
    234K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Foreign Securities Purchases

    Previous
    20.65B
    Forecast
    23.59B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Foreign Securities Purchases by Canadians

    Previous
    -30.63B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Import Price Index (MoM)

    Previous
    0.7%
    Forecast
    0.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Export Price Index (MoM)

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Import Price Index (YoY)

    Previous
    7%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Export Price Index (YoY)

    Previous
    8.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:15USD

    Industrial Production (YoY)

    Previous
    1.42%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:15USD

    Capacity Utilization Rate

    Previous
    76.3%
    Forecast
    76.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:15USD

    Manufacturing Production (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:15USD

    Industrial Production (MoM)

    Previous
    0%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count

    Previous
    462
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count

    Previous
    603
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    Federal Budget Balance

    Previous
    -167B
    Forecast
    -34.7B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30JPY

    CFTC JPY speculative net positions

    Previous
    62.3K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30AUD

    CFTC AUD speculative net positions

    Previous
    -98.6K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30CHF

    CFTC CHF speculative net positions

    Previous
    -23.7K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions

    Previous
    -154.1K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions

    Previous
    58.1K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30BRL

    CFTC BRL speculative net positions

    Previous
    52.3K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30GBP

    CFTC GBP speculative net positions

    Previous
    -97.6K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30NZD

    CFTC NZD speculative net positions

    Previous
    -29.3K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30CAD

    CFTC CAD speculative net positions

    Previous
    -90.2K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30EUR

    CFTC EUR speculative net positions

    Previous
    -99.3K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Aluminium speculative net positions

    Previous
    -0.9K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Copper speculative net positions

    Previous
    69.4K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Gold speculative net positions

    Previous
    210.3K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Silver speculative net positions

    Previous
    23.2K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions

    Previous
    99.1K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions

    Previous
    -236.4K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Wheat speculative net positions

    Previous
    -16K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Corn speculative net positions

    Previous
    452.5K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions

    Previous
    273.9K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:00USD

    Overall Net Capital Flow

    Previous
    83.7B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:00USD

    TIC Net Long-Term Transactions

    Previous
    -27.9B
    Forecast
    75.2B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:00USD

    TIC Net Long-Term Transactions including Swaps

    Previous
    -27.9B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:00USD

    US Foreign Buying, T-bonds

    Previous
    -3.6B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 00:00-02:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Watch

    Use the Asian high and low as prices to mark; London has not established the day’s direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 02:55-03:10 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    BoE Gov Bailey speaks at 03:00, which can cause sudden GBP/USD moves.

    Do not enter GBP/USD during this window.

    Volatility · High
    Related toGBP BoE Gov Bailey Speaks · 03:00Asian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 03:45-04:25 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Watch

    Use the Asian high and low as prices to mark; London has not established the day’s direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 04:25-04:40 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Fed Governor Warsh speaks at 04:30, which can cause sudden USD moves.

    Keep new GBP/USD orders off the market during this window.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Fed Governor Warsh Speaks · 04:30Asian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 04:45-05:10 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Watch

    Use the Asian high and low as prices to mark; London has not established the day’s direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 05:30-07:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Watch

    Use the Asian high and low as prices to mark; London has not established the day’s direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 07:00-09:50 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    European Price Test

    Let London show whether GBP/USD holds inside or closes beyond the Asian high and low.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toAsian SessionLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 10:20-13:10 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    European Price Test

    Let London show whether GBP/USD holds inside or closes beyond the Asian high and low.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 13:25-14:30 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD Import and Export Price Index at 13:30 and Industrial Production at 14:15 can produce repeated sharp moves.

    Avoid new GBP/USD entries. Wait until price stops making rapid swings.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 14:35-17:55 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Afternoon Confirmation

    Use clear 1-hour candle closes around the London high or low.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 17:55-18:10 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD oil and total rig counts are scheduled for 18:00 and may disturb GBP/USD prices.

    Check open GBP/USD trades and avoid entering during the first sharp move.

    Volatility · High
    Related toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 18:15-18:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Evening News Watch

    The 18:00 rig counts and 19:00 Federal Budget Balance can disturb open GBP/USD trades.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 18:55-19:10 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    The USD Federal Budget Balance is scheduled for 19:00 and may cause a sudden price change.

    Wait until GBP/USD settles before considering another entry.

    Volatility · High
    Related toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 19:15-20:25 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late Release Watch

    CFTC reports at 20:30 and TIC transactions at 21:00 leave little clean time for new trades.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 20:25-21:10 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    GBP and USD CFTC reports at 20:30 are followed by USD TIC transactions at 21:00.

    Avoid new GBP/USD entries while these reports are being released.

    Volatility · High
    Related toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 21:15-22:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late Release Watch

    CFTC reports at 20:30 and TIC transactions at 21:00 leave little clean time for new trades.

    Volatility · Quiet

Today's Guidance

Mark the nearest clear highs and lows on the Daily and 4-hour charts. Enter only after a 1-hour candle confirms how GBP/USD behaves at a marked price.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

After 13:30 USD releases, a 1-hour candle closes above both the Asian and London highs, or below both lows.

Then

Trade only after price returns to the crossed Asian or London high or low and moves away again.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Plan closed

    Use the 03:00 GBP and 04:30 USD speaker periods to explain unusual Asian candles, not as entry signals.

  2. Step 02Plan closed

    Review open risk before 18:00, 19:00, 20:30 and 21:00 UK; the late calendar leaves limited recovery time.

  3. Step 03Plan closed

    If Daily and 4-hour boundaries are unclear, skip trades between highs and lows until the prices become clearer.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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