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EUR/JPY · FreePublicIssue №133

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for WEDNESDAY 7 OCTOBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Patient Trading Day

EUR German Industrial Production (MoM) is scheduled for 07:00 UK, so EUR/JPY can move sharply around that time. Let London establish a clear high and low after 08:00 UK, and avoid treating the first news move as a trade signal.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Moderate
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Normal

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:30AUD

    Building Approvals (YoY)

    Previous
    10.9%
    Forecast
    10.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:30AUD

    Building Approvals (MoM)

    Previous
    -1.9%
    Forecast
    -6.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:30AUD

    Private House Approvals

    Previous
    -1.9%
    Forecast
    3.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00CNY

    FX Reserves (USD)

    Previous
    3.438T
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:30INR

    Cash Reserve Ratio

    Previous
    3%
    Forecast
    3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:30INR

    Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    5.25%
    Forecast
    5.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:30INR

    Reverse REPO Rate

    Previous
    3.35%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Leading Index (MoM)

    Previous
    1.5%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Coincident Indicator (MoM)

    Previous
    1.7%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Leading Index

    Previous
    117.7
    Forecast
    118.1
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    German Industrial Production (YoY)

    Previous
    -1.63%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00NOK

    Manufacturing Production (MoM)

    Previous
    0.7%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Halifax House Price Index (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.2%
    Forecast
    0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Halifax House Price Index (YoY)

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00ZAR

    Net FX Reserves (USD)

    Previous
    73.686B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    German Industrial Production (MoM)

    Previous
    -1.1%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00ZAR

    Foreign Reserves (USD)

    Previous
    75.95B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    CPIF (CPI at constant interest rates) (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    CPIF (CPI at constant interest rates) (YoY)

    Previous
    0.7%
    Forecast
    1.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    French Reserve Assets Total

    Previous
    380694M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    French Trade Balance

    Previous
    -6.7B
    Forecast
    -6.5B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    French Exports

    Previous
    54.7B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    French Imports

    Previous
    61.3B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    French Current Account

    Previous
    -4.7B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:00CHF

    Foreign Reserves (USD)

    Previous
    770073B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00CNY

    FX Reserves (USD)

    Previous
    3.438T
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Foreign Reserves (USD)

    Previous
    442.9B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00SGD

    Foreign Reserves USD (MoM)

    Previous
    433B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00GBP

    Mortgage Rate (GBP)

    Previous
    6.58%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00CAD

    Leading Index (MoM)

    Previous
    0.13%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00BRL

    Auto Sales (MoM)

    Previous
    -1.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00BRL

    IGP-DI Inflation Index (MoM)

    Previous
    0.06%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00BRL

    Auto Production (MoM)

    Previous
    6.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Mortgage Applications (WoW)

    Previous
    -6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    Mortgage Market Index

    Previous
    213.6
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Purchase Index

    Previous
    148.2
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    Mortgage Refinance Index

    Previous
    557.8
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    7.3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    M3 Money Supply

    Previous
    16.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 15:30USD

    Crude Oil Imports

    Previous
    -0.468M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Crude Oil Inventories

    Previous
    0.922M
    Forecast
    1.9M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Refinery Crude Runs (WoW)

    Previous
    -0.554M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Cushing Crude Oil Inventories

    Previous
    0.553M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates (WoW)

    Previous
    -1.5%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Gasoline production

    Previous
    -0.124M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Gasoline Inventories

    Previous
    -1.684M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Weekly Distillates Stocks

    Previous
    -2.251M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Distillate Fuel Production

    Previous
    -0.156M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Heating Oil Stockpiles

    Previous
    -0.62M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00USD

    Consumer Inflation Expectations

    Previous
    3.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    10-Year Note Auction

    Previous
    4.834%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    U.S. President Trump Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:30BRL

    Foreign Exchange Flows

    Previous
    3.054B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    FOMC Meeting Minutes

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00USD

    Consumer Credit

    Previous
    18.06B
    Forecast
    14.5B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 00:00-01:25 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Price Building

    Use the Asian session high and low as markers because London has not established the day’s direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 01:45-05:25 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Price Building

    Use the Asian session high and low as markers because London has not established the day’s direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 05:45-06:50 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Price Building

    Use the Asian session high and low as markers because London has not established the day’s direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 06:55-07:15 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    German Industrial Production (MoM) at 07:00 UK can cause sudden EUR/JPY price changes.

    Do not enter from 06:55 to 07:15 UK. Wait for a candle on the 1-hour chart to close.

    Volatility · High
    Related toGBP Halifax House Price Index (YoY) · 07:00Asian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 07:20-08:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    London Preparation

    Wait to see whether EUR/JPY keeps or reverses the 07:00 UK price change before London begins.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 08:00-09:55 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London Confirmation

    Use this window only after EUR/JPY forms a clear London-session high and low.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 10:15-13:00 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London Confirmation

    Use this window only after EUR/JPY forms a clear London-session high and low.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 13:00-15:20 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London New York Activity

    Look for EUR/JPY to move cleanly from the London-session high or low before considering an entry.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 15:50-17:00 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London New York Activity

    Look for EUR/JPY to move cleanly from the London-session high or low before considering an entry.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 17:00-17:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late Day Selectivity

    Trade only if EUR/JPY respects the London-session high and low with clear candle closes.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 18:15-18:50 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late Day Selectivity

    Trade only if EUR/JPY respects the London-session high and low with clear candle closes.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 19:20-22:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late Day Selectivity

    Trade only if EUR/JPY respects the London-session high and low with clear candle closes.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming

Today's Guidance

Mark the Asian session high and low before 08:00 UK. Enter EUR/JPY only after a candle on the 1-hour chart closes beyond either marker or turns clearly away from it.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

EUR/JPY keeps forming unusually wide candles after the 07:00 UK German Industrial Production (MoM) release.

Then

Avoid the 08:00-13:00 UK window until candle sizes settle and the London-session high and low become clear.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Plan closed

    Check the Daily chart and 4-hour chart before using the 1-hour chart for an entry.

  2. Step 02Plan closed

    Keep risk balanced and reduce size if EUR/JPY candles become unusually wide.

  3. Step 03Plan closed

    Choose no trade when London leaves the Asian session high and low unresolved.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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