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Latest Published Trading Plan
EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №131Historical Trading Plan
Viewing the published Trading Plan for TUESDAY 6 OCTOBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.
Today's Outlook
Patient Trading Day
EUR German Factory Orders (MoM) is at 07:00 UK; USD ADP Employment Change Weekly and Trade Balance are at 13:15 and 13:30 UK. Wait for London to form a EUR/USD high and low; avoid treating the first jump around these releases as a trade signal.
- Volatility
- Elevated
- Liquidity
- Normal
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Difficulty
- Hard
Today’s Events
| Action | Time | Event | CCY | Impact | Previous | Forecast | Actual / Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | Manufacturing PMI | HKD | 49.5 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 01:30 | ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) | AUD | 2.6% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 04:35 | 10-Year JGB Auction | JPY | 2.995% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Nikkei Services PMI | INR | 54.1 | 55.8 | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Manufacturing & Services PMI | INR | 54.3 | 56.5 | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | German Factory Orders (MoM) | EUR | 2.5% | -0.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:35 | BOJ Gov Ueda Speaks | JPY | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 07:45 | French Industrial Production (MoM) | EUR | -0.4% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:45 | French Government Budget Balance | EUR | -145.9B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Market timing Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 08:00 | Spanish Industrial Production (YoY) | EUR | 2.3% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Unemployment Rate n.s.a. | CHF | 3% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Unemployment Rate s.a. | CHF | 3.1% | 3.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:30 | French IHS S&P Global Construction PMI (MoM) | EUR | 37.3 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 08:30 | German IHS S&P Global Construction PMI | EUR | 48.7 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 08:30 | IHS S&P Global Construction PMI (MoM) | EUR | 43 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 08:30 | Italian IHS S&P Global Construction PMI (MoM) | EUR | 41.7 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Construction PMI | GBP | 44.3 | 45 | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | BoE MPC Member Mann | GBP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:40 | Spanish 6-Month Letras Auction | EUR | 2.623% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:40 | Spanish 12-Month Letras Auction | EUR | 2.832% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Retail Sales (MoM) | EUR | -0.6% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Retail Sales (YoY) | EUR | 0.6% | 1% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | German 2-Year Schatz Auction | EUR | 3.27% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:40 | German Buba Vice President Buch Speaks | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Market timing London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 13:00 | GlobalDairyTrade Price Index | NZD | -1.1% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Milk Auctions | USD | 3868 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:15 | ADP Employment Change Weekly | USD | 20K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Exports | CAD | 76.14B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Imports | CAD | 75.37B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Trade Balance | USD | -88.6B | -100.8B | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Exports | USD | 310.7B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Imports | USD | 399.3B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Trade Balance | CAD | 0.77B | 1.5B | Upcoming | |||
| 13:55 | Redbook (YoY) | USD | 8.2% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:00 | ECB's Elderson Speaks | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:05 | FOMC Member Williams Speaks | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Ivey PMI | CAD | 64.3 | 65.2 | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Ivey PMI n.s.a | CAD | 62.7 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism | USD | 45.6 | 44.5 | Upcoming | |||
| 15:45 | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | USD | 3.7% | 3.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 17:00 | SARB Monetary Policy Review | ZAR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 17:00 | EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | 3-Year Note Auction | USD | 4.474% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:15 | Fed Schmid Speaks | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 19:00 | Trade Balance | BRL | 7.39B | 7.19B | Upcoming | |||
| 21:30 | API Weekly Crude Oil Stock | USD | 1.019M | — | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Market timing Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 23:00 | AIG Construction Index | AUD | -6.9 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 23:00 | AIG Manufacturing Index | AUD | -16.6 | — | Upcoming |
- 01:30HKD
Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 49.5
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:30AUD
ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM)
- Previous
- 2.6%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:35JPY
10-Year JGB Auction
- Previous
- 2.995%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00INR
Nikkei Services PMI
- Previous
- 54.1
- Forecast
- 55.8
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00INR
Manufacturing & Services PMI
- Previous
- 54.3
- Forecast
- 56.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00EUR
German Factory Orders (MoM)
- Previous
- 2.5%
- Forecast
- -0.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:35JPY
BOJ Gov Ueda Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:45EUR
French Industrial Production (MoM)
- Previous
- -0.4%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:45EUR
French Government Budget Balance
- Previous
- -145.9B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00ScheduledMarket timing
Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.
- 08:00EUR
Spanish Industrial Production (YoY)
- Previous
- 2.3%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CHF
Unemployment Rate n.s.a.
- Previous
- 3%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CHF
Unemployment Rate s.a.
- Previous
- 3.1%
- Forecast
- 3.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:30EUR
French IHS S&P Global Construction PMI (MoM)
- Previous
- 37.3
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:30EUR
German IHS S&P Global Construction PMI
- Previous
- 48.7
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:30EUR
IHS S&P Global Construction PMI (MoM)
- Previous
- 43
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:30EUR
Italian IHS S&P Global Construction PMI (MoM)
- Previous
- 41.7
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30GBP
Construction PMI
- Previous
- 44.3
- Forecast
- 45
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30GBP
BoE MPC Member Mann
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:40EUR
Spanish 6-Month Letras Auction
- Previous
- 2.623%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:40EUR
Spanish 12-Month Letras Auction
- Previous
- 2.832%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Retail Sales (MoM)
- Previous
- -0.6%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Retail Sales (YoY)
- Previous
- 0.6%
- Forecast
- 1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30EUR
German 2-Year Schatz Auction
- Previous
- 3.27%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:40EUR
German Buba Vice President Buch Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00ScheduledMarket timing
London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.
- 13:00NZD
GlobalDairyTrade Price Index
- Previous
- -1.1%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00USD
Milk Auctions
- Previous
- 3868
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:15USD
ADP Employment Change Weekly
- Previous
- 20K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Exports
- Previous
- 76.14B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Imports
- Previous
- 75.37B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Trade Balance
- Previous
- -88.6B
- Forecast
- -100.8B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Exports
- Previous
- 310.7B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Imports
- Previous
- 399.3B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Trade Balance
- Previous
- 0.77B
- Forecast
- 1.5B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:55USD
Redbook (YoY)
- Previous
- 8.2%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:00EUR
ECB's Elderson Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:05USD
FOMC Member Williams Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00CAD
Ivey PMI
- Previous
- 64.3
- Forecast
- 65.2
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00CAD
Ivey PMI n.s.a
- Previous
- 62.7
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism
- Previous
- 45.6
- Forecast
- 44.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:45USD
FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
Atlanta Fed GDPNow
- Previous
- 3.7%
- Forecast
- 3.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00ZAR
SARB Monetary Policy Review
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00USD
EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00USD
3-Year Note Auction
- Previous
- 4.474%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:15USD
Fed Schmid Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 19:00BRL
Trade Balance
- Previous
- 7.39B
- Forecast
- 7.19B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:30USD
API Weekly Crude Oil Stock
- Previous
- 1.019M
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00ScheduledMarket timing
Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.
- 23:00AUD
AIG Construction Index
- Previous
- -6.9
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:00AUD
AIG Manufacturing Index
- Previous
- -16.6
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
Today's Trading Windows
Your trading day, in chronological order.
- 00:00-04:30 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Price Markers
Use the Asian-session high and low as markers; German Factory Orders (MoM) at 07:00 UK may disturb price.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 04:50-06:50 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Price Markers
Use the Asian-session high and low as markers; German Factory Orders (MoM) at 07:00 UK may disturb price.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 06:50-07:15 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingGerman Factory Orders (MoM) at 07:00 UK can produce a sudden EUR/USD price jump.
Avoid entering EUR/USD until candles stop widening after 07:00 UK.
Volatility · HighRelated toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 07:15-07:30 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingLondon Preparation
Wait for London trading at 08:00 UK rather than forcing an entry from the German Factory Orders (MoM) price jump.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 08:00-09:20 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingLondon Confirmation Window
Trade only if EUR/USD forms a clear London high and low and respects one of them.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcoming - 09:50-12:30 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingLondon Confirmation Window
Trade only if EUR/USD forms a clear London high and low and respects one of them.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcoming - 12:30-14:20 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingGerman Buba Vice President Buch Speaks at 12:40 UK, followed by USD releases and EUR and USD speakers through 14:05 UK.
Avoid new EUR/USD entries during the sequence; reassess after candles become steadier following 14:05 UK.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 14:20-14:55 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingPost-News Trading Gap
Use this gap only when EUR/USD candles return to normal size after the 14:00 and 14:05 UK speeches.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 15:15-15:35 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingPost-News Trading Gap
Use this gap only when EUR/USD candles return to normal size after the 14:00 and 14:05 UK speeches.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 15:35-16:00 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingFOMC Member Bowman Speaks at 15:45 UK may cause EUR/USD candles to widen suddenly.
Wait until EUR/USD candles return to their earlier size before considering an entry.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 16:00-16:20 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingRepeated USD News
USD events at 15:45, 16:30, 17:00 and 21:30 UK can interrupt otherwise quiet EUR/USD trading.
Volatility · QuietRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 16:20-17:15 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingAtlanta Fed GDPNow at 16:30 UK and EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook at 17:00 UK create repeated USD news risk.
Avoid entering EUR/USD between the releases and wait for steadier candles after 17:00 UK.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 17:15-17:55 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingRepeated USD News
USD events at 15:45, 16:30, 17:00 and 21:30 UK can interrupt otherwise quiet EUR/USD trading.
Volatility · QuietRelated toNew York SessionUpcoming - 18:30-21:20 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingRepeated USD News
USD events at 15:45, 16:30, 17:00 and 21:30 UK can interrupt otherwise quiet EUR/USD trading.
Volatility · QuietRelated toNew York SessionUpcoming - 21:20-21:45 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingAPI Weekly Crude Oil Stock at 21:30 UK may interrupt EUR/USD price behaviour.
Do not enter EUR/USD during the first sharp candle around 21:30 UK.
Volatility · HighRelated toExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 21:45-22:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingRepeated USD News
USD events at 15:45, 16:30, 17:00 and 21:30 UK can interrupt otherwise quiet EUR/USD trading.
Volatility · Quiet
Today's Guidance
Mark the Asian-session high and low, then wait for a candle on the 1-hour chart to close beyond either price.
Alternative scenario
EUR/USD closes clearly beyond the London high or low after the 13:30 UK USD releases and stays beyond that price.
Stop trading between the London high and low; wait for price to return to the crossed price before considering an entry.
Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.
Today's Trading Checklist
Run through every step below before placing a trade today.
Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.
- Step 01Plan closed
Check open EUR/USD exposure before every EUR or USD calendar time.
- Step 02Plan closed
Do not widen a stop to accommodate a news-driven price spike.
- Step 03Plan closed
After a losing news trade, skip the following scheduled event rather than chasing the loss.
Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.
Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.
Build the habit. Understand the market.
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