Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/JPY · FreePublicIssue №124

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for THURSDAY 1 OCTOBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Patient EUR Event Day

EUR Manufacturing PMI releases run from 08:15 to 09:00 UK, with EUR Unemployment Rate at 10:00 UK. For EUR/JPY, avoid entering around ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 14:30 UK or treating the first sharp move as a trade signal.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:00KRW

    Imports (YoY)

    Previous
    22.4%
    Forecast
    21.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00KRW

    Exports (YoY)

    Previous
    68.7%
    Forecast
    61.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00KRW

    Trade Balance

    Previous
    34.79B
    Forecast
    38.2B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:01EUR

    Irish Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    55.4
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:30KRW

    Nikkei Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    52.3
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:30JPY

    Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    54.9
    Forecast
    54.1
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:30SGD

    URA Property Index (QoQ)

    Previous
    0.5%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Trade Balance

    Previous
    1.351B
    Forecast
    2B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Exports (MoM)

    Previous
    -3.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Imports (MoM)

    Previous
    -2.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    RBA Financial Stability Review

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00INR

    Nikkei S&P Global Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    52.8
    Forecast
    55.7
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Nationwide HPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Nationwide HPI (YoY)

    Previous
    1.6%
    Forecast
    1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30CHF

    CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30SEK

    Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    56.1
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30CHF

    Retail Sales (YoY)

    Previous
    2.3%
    Forecast
    2.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30CHF

    CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30AUD

    Commodity Prices (YoY)

    Previous
    15.5%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:15EUR

    Spanish Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    49.5
    Forecast
    50.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30CHF

    procure.ch PMI

    Previous
    57.1
    Forecast
    56.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:45EUR

    Italian Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    49.6
    Forecast
    50.1
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:50EUR

    French Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    51.1
    Forecast
    50.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:55EUR

    German Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    54.3
    Forecast
    53.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Greek Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    54.4
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    5.8%
    Forecast
    5.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    52.7
    Forecast
    52.7
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00GBP

    BoE Gov Bailey Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30GBP

    Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    51.7
    Forecast
    52
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:40EUR

    Spanish 10-Year Obligacion Auction

    Previous
    3.96%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    6.4%
    Forecast
    6.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00ZAR

    Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    45.8
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30USD

    Challenger Job Cuts

    Previous
    52.881K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30USD

    Challenger Job Cuts (YoY)

    Previous
    -38.5%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Irish HICP (MoM)

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Irish HICP (YoY)

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    3.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:35EUR

    German Buba President Nagel Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00EUR

    Car Registration (MoM)

    Previous
    -32.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00EUR

    Car Registration (YoY)

    Previous
    11.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:00GBP

    BoE MPC Member Mann

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:15ZAR

    Total Vehicle Sales (YoY)

    Previous
    11.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:15ZAR

    Total Vehicle Sales

    Previous
    57.9K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Initial Jobless Claims

    Previous
    197K
    Forecast
    201K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Continuing Jobless Claims

    Previous
    1719K
    Forecast
    1730K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg.

    Previous
    202.25K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30GBP

    BoE MPC Member Pill Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00BRL

    S&P Global Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    46.3
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:05USD

    FOMC Member Barkin Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:05USD

    Fed Collins Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:05USD

    Fed Schmid Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:30CAD

    Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    53
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:30EUR

    ECB President Lagarde Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:45USD

    Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    53.9
    Forecast
    57
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    ISM Manufacturing Employment

    Previous
    51.2
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index

    Previous
    53.7
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    ISM Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    54.6
    Forecast
    54.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    ISM Manufacturing Prices

    Previous
    71.1
    Forecast
    72.9
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Construction Spending (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.5%
    Forecast
    0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Fed Waller Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Natural Gas Storage

    Previous
    53B
    Forecast
    63B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    Atlanta Fed GDPNow

    Previous
    3.7%
    Forecast
    3.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    4-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.85%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    8-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.99%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30CHF

    SNB Vice Chairman Schlegel Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30EUR

    ECB's Schnabel Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:30EUR

    Italian Car Registration (YoY)

    Previous
    3.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:30USD

    Fed Governor Jefferson Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00USD

    FOMC Member Bowman Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:05CAD

    BoC Senior Deputy Governor Rogers Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    Fed Governor Cook Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    FOMC Member Williams Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    Fed's Balance Sheet

    Previous
    6748B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks

    Previous
    2.969T
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 23:45USD

    Fed Logan Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 00:00-02:25 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Price Watch

    Use the Asian session high and low as marks; London has not set the day's direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 02:45-06:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Price Watch

    Use the Asian session high and low as marks; London has not set the day's direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 07:45-08:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Price Watch

    Use the Asian session high and low as marks; London has not set the day's direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 08:05-09:15 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Five EUR Manufacturing PMI releases are scheduled close together, so EUR/JPY may move sharply more than once.

    Avoid entering EUR/JPY during the first sharp move; wait until price settles around the Asian session high or low.

    Volatility · High
    Related toGBP BoE Gov Bailey Speaks · 09:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 09:50-10:10 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Unemployment Rate is scheduled for 10:00 UK and may cause a sudden EUR/JPY price change.

    Avoid new EUR/JPY entries until price movement around 10:00 UK becomes clear.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 10:15-11:25 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Late Morning Check

    The 10:00 UK EUR Unemployment Rate price movement has time to settle before the 11:35 UK speaker.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 11:25-11:45 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    German Buba President Nagel Speaks at 11:35 UK, which may quickly change EUR/JPY price behaviour.

    Reduce risk or wait until a candle on the 1-hour chart closes after 11:35 UK.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 11:50-12:55 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Clearest Event Gap

    Require EUR/JPY to respect the Asian session high or low before choosing an entry.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 14:20-14:40 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 14:30 UK, creating a risk of sharp EUR/JPY price swings.

    Avoid new entries and check existing EUR/JPY positions before 14:30 UK.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 15:20-16:20 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late EUR Speaker Risk

    ECB's Schnabel Speaks at 16:30 UK, so manage EUR/JPY carefully throughout this broad window.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 16:20-16:40 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    ECB's Schnabel Speaks at 16:30 UK, which may cause another sudden EUR/JPY move.

    Wait for price to settle after 16:30 UK before considering a new EUR/JPY trade.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 16:45-18:25 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late EUR Speaker Risk

    ECB's Schnabel Speaks at 16:30 UK, so manage EUR/JPY carefully throughout this broad window.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 18:45-19:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late EUR Speaker Risk

    ECB's Schnabel Speaks at 16:30 UK, so manage EUR/JPY carefully throughout this broad window.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 20:45-21:25 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late EUR Speaker Risk

    ECB's Schnabel Speaks at 16:30 UK, so manage EUR/JPY carefully throughout this broad window.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 21:45-22:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late EUR Speaker Risk

    ECB's Schnabel Speaks at 16:30 UK, so manage EUR/JPY carefully throughout this broad window.

    Volatility · Quiet

Today's Guidance

Mark the Asian session high and low on EUR/JPY. Wait for a candle on the 1-hour chart to close beyond either boundary before entering.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

A candle on the 1-hour chart closes beyond the Asian session high or low after the 08:15-09:00 UK EUR releases.

Then

Stop treating the Asian session boundaries as holding; wait for price to return to the crossed boundary before considering EUR/JPY.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Plan closed

    Treat the 08:15-09:00 UK release sequence as one risk block, not five separate opportunities.

  2. Step 02Plan closed

    Keep position size balanced when EUR/JPY candles widen around scheduled EUR events.

  3. Step 03Plan closed

    Review any open EUR/JPY trade before each speaker window rather than relying on the original setup.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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