Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №101

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for WEDNESDAY 16 SEPTEMBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Patient News Trading Day

Wait with EUR/USD around EUR Wages in euro zone (YoY) and Industrial Production (MoM) at 10:00 UK. Do not chase USD Retail Sales (MoM), Fed Interest Rate Decision, or FOMC Press Conference at 13:30, 19:00 and 19:30 UK.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Very hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 02:00AUD

    MI Leading Index (MoM)

    Previous
    0%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00NZD

    RBNZ Offshore Holdings

    Previous
    56.9%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core PPI Output (MoM)

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core PPI Output (YoY)

    Previous
    2.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    PPI Input (MoM)

    Previous
    -1.7%
    Forecast
    -0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    PPI Input (YoY)

    Previous
    4.9%
    Forecast
    5.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    PPI Output (YoY)

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    3.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    RPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    RPI (YoY)

    Previous
    3.2%
    Forecast
    3.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core RPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    2.9%
    Forecast
    3.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    CPI, n.s.a

    Previous
    142.9
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core RPI (YoY)

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    2.6%
    Forecast
    2.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Household Confidence (MoM)

    Previous
    1.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Household Confidence (YoY)

    Previous
    4.3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    7.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    PPI Output (MoM)

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    CPIH (YoY)

    Previous
    2.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 09:00EUR

    Italian CPI Ex Tobacco (YoY)

    Previous
    2.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Italian HICP (YoY)

    Previous
    2.9%
    Forecast
    3.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Italian CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    2.9%
    Forecast
    3.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Italian CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Italian HICP (MoM)

    Previous
    -1%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30GBP

    House Price Index (YoY)

    Previous
    2%
    Forecast
    2.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Labor Cost Index (YoY)

    Previous
    3.2%
    Forecast
    3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Wages in euro zone (YoY)

    Previous
    3.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Industrial Production (YoY)

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    -0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Industrial Production (MoM)

    Previous
    0%
    Forecast
    -0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00CNY

    FDI

    Previous
    -6.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30EUR

    German 30-Year Bund Auction

    Previous
    3.65%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Resi Prop Prices (YoY)

    Previous
    5.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Resi Prop Prices (MoM)

    Previous
    0.5%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    German Buba Monthly Report

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00BRL

    IGP-10 Inflation Index (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.5%
    Forecast
    1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00ZAR

    Retail Sales (YoY)

    Previous
    1.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Mortgage Applications (WoW)

    Previous
    -2.7%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    Mortgage Market Index

    Previous
    240.6
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Purchase Index

    Previous
    157.5
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    Mortgage Refinance Index

    Previous
    687.3
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.85%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    M3 Money Supply

    Previous
    14.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:00BRL

    IBC-Br Economic Activity

    Previous
    -0.6%
    Forecast
    -0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:15CAD

    Housing Starts

    Previous
    229.1K
    Forecast
    243K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Retail Control (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Export Price Index (MoM)

    Previous
    -1.3%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Core Retail Sales (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Retail Sales (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.6%
    Forecast
    0.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Import Price Index (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Retail Sales (YoY)

    Previous
    5.01%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Building Permits (MoM)

    Previous
    18.5%
    Forecast
    -4.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Export Price Index (YoY)

    Previous
    8.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Import Price Index (YoY)

    Previous
    5.9%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00EUR

    ECB's Elderson Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    NAHB Housing Market Index

    Previous
    35
    Forecast
    34
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Retail Inventories Ex Auto

    Previous
    0.7%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Business Inventories (MoM)

    Previous
    0%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates (WoW)

    Previous
    -0.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Crude Oil Inventories

    Previous
    -0.391M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Refinery Crude Runs (WoW)

    Previous
    0.09M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Gasoline Inventories

    Previous
    1.269M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Weekly Distillates Stocks

    Previous
    2.087M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Distillate Fuel Production

    Previous
    0.222M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Cushing Crude Oil Inventories

    Previous
    -0.684M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Heating Oil Stockpiles

    Previous
    0.01M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Crude Oil Imports

    Previous
    1.12M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Gasoline production

    Previous
    -0.537M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    Atlanta Fed GDPNow

    Previous
    4.4%
    Forecast
    4.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00EUR

    German Buba President Nagel Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00EUR

    ECB President Lagarde Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:30CAD

    BOC Summary of Deliberations

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:30BRL

    Foreign Exchange Flows

    Previous
    -7.511B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    3.75%
    Forecast
    4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    Interest Rate Projection - 3rd Yr

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    Interest Rate Projection - Current

    Previous
    3.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    Interest Rate Projection - 2nd Yr

    Previous
    3.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    Interest Rate Projection - Longer

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr

    Previous
    3.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    FOMC Economic Projections

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    FOMC Statement

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:30USD

    FOMC Press Conference

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:00USD

    TIC Net Long-Term Transactions

    Previous
    172.7B
    Forecast
    146.3B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:00USD

    Overall Net Capital Flow

    Previous
    133.5B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:00USD

    US Foreign Buying, T-bonds

    Previous
    6.8B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:00USD

    TIC Net Long-Term Transactions including Swaps

    Previous
    172.7B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 22:30BRL

    Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    14%
    Forecast
    13.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    GDP Annual Average

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    GDP (YoY)

    Previous
    1.5%
    Forecast
    2.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    GDP (QoQ)

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    GDP Expenditure (QoQ)

    Previous
    1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 00:00-06:50 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Mapping

    Mark the Asian session high and low for comparison with EUR/USD after 08:00 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 07:20-08:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Mapping

    Mark the Asian session high and low for comparison with EUR/USD after 08:00 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 08:00-09:55 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    London Direction Test

    Wait for EUR/USD to remain beyond the Asian session high or low before entering.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 09:55-10:15 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Wages and Industrial Production are scheduled together at 10:00 UK.

    Avoid entering until EUR/USD stops jumping and forms a clear high and low after 10:00 UK.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 10:15-13:10 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Midday Trading Window

    Use this window only when EUR/USD clearly respects the Asian session high or low.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 13:25-14:15 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD retail releases at 13:30 UK are followed by ECB's Elderson Speaks at 14:00 UK.

    Avoid new EUR/USD entries during the first sharp price changes at 13:30 and 14:00 UK.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Core Retail Sales (MoM) · 13:30USD Retail Sales (MoM) · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 14:15-14:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Heavy News Stretch

    Avoid new entries while EUR and USD releases repeatedly interrupt EUR/USD price behaviour.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 14:55-16:45 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD Business Inventories, Crude Oil Inventories and Atlanta Fed GDPNow are scheduled from 15:00 to 16:30 UK.

    Wait until 16:45 UK before considering another EUR/USD entry.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Crude Oil Inventories · 15:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 16:55-18:15 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    German Buba President Nagel Speaks at 17:00 UK and ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 18:00 UK.

    Avoid new EUR/USD entries until price changes from both speeches have settled.

    Volatility · High
    Related toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 18:15-18:50 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Heavy News Stretch

    Avoid new entries while EUR and USD releases repeatedly interrupt EUR/USD price behaviour.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 18:55-20:00 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    The Fed decision and projections at 19:00 UK are followed by the FOMC Press Conference at 19:30 UK.

    Avoid entering EUR/USD until 20:00 UK.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Fed Interest Rate Decision · 19:00USD FOMC Economic Projections · 19:00USD FOMC Statement · 19:00USD FOMC Press Conference · 19:30New York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 20:00-20:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late US Trading

    Use smaller size around the 21:00 UK USD TIC release.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 21:15-22:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late US Trading

    Use smaller size around the 21:00 UK USD TIC release.

    Volatility · Quiet

Today's Guidance

Mark the Asian session high and low before 08:00 UK. Enter EUR/USD only after a candle on the 1-hour chart closes clearly beyond either price.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

A candle on the 1-hour chart closes beyond the day's earlier high or low after the 19:30 UK FOMC Press Conference.

Then

Use the high and low formed from 19:00-20:00 UK instead of the Asian session high and low.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Plan closed

    Keep only one EUR/USD idea active through each scheduled release.

  2. Step 02Plan closed

    Set a fixed loss limit before each EUR/USD entry and do not widen it around news.

  3. Step 03Plan closed

    Record entry quality separately from trade outcome when reviewing news trades.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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