Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/JPY · FreePublicIssue №101

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for WEDNESDAY 16 SEPTEMBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Patient EUR Event Day

EUR/JPY can move sharply around Wages in euro zone (YoY) and Industrial Production (MoM) at 10:00 UK, so wait for calmer price. Avoid rushed entries around ECB's Elderson Speaks at 14:00 UK, German Buba President Nagel Speaks at 17:00 UK, and ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 18:00 UK.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 02:00AUD

    MI Leading Index (MoM)

    Previous
    0%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00NZD

    RBNZ Offshore Holdings

    Previous
    56.9%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core PPI Output (MoM)

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core PPI Output (YoY)

    Previous
    2.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    PPI Input (MoM)

    Previous
    -1.7%
    Forecast
    -0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    PPI Input (YoY)

    Previous
    4.9%
    Forecast
    5.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    PPI Output (YoY)

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    3.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    RPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    RPI (YoY)

    Previous
    3.2%
    Forecast
    3.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core RPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    2.9%
    Forecast
    3.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    CPI, n.s.a

    Previous
    142.9
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core RPI (YoY)

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    2.6%
    Forecast
    2.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Household Confidence (MoM)

    Previous
    1.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Household Confidence (YoY)

    Previous
    4.3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    7.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    PPI Output (MoM)

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    CPIH (YoY)

    Previous
    2.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 09:00EUR

    Italian CPI Ex Tobacco (YoY)

    Previous
    2.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Italian HICP (YoY)

    Previous
    2.9%
    Forecast
    3.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Italian CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    2.9%
    Forecast
    3.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Italian CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Italian HICP (MoM)

    Previous
    -1%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30GBP

    House Price Index (YoY)

    Previous
    2%
    Forecast
    2.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Labor Cost Index (YoY)

    Previous
    3.2%
    Forecast
    3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Wages in euro zone (YoY)

    Previous
    3.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Industrial Production (YoY)

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    -0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Industrial Production (MoM)

    Previous
    0%
    Forecast
    -0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00CNY

    FDI

    Previous
    -6.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30EUR

    German 30-Year Bund Auction

    Previous
    3.65%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Resi Prop Prices (YoY)

    Previous
    5.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Resi Prop Prices (MoM)

    Previous
    0.5%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    German Buba Monthly Report

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00BRL

    IGP-10 Inflation Index (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.5%
    Forecast
    1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00ZAR

    Retail Sales (YoY)

    Previous
    1.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Mortgage Applications (WoW)

    Previous
    -2.7%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    Mortgage Market Index

    Previous
    240.6
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Purchase Index

    Previous
    157.5
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    Mortgage Refinance Index

    Previous
    687.3
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.85%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    M3 Money Supply

    Previous
    14.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:00BRL

    IBC-Br Economic Activity

    Previous
    -0.6%
    Forecast
    -0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:15CAD

    Housing Starts

    Previous
    229.1K
    Forecast
    243K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Retail Control (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Export Price Index (MoM)

    Previous
    -1.3%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Core Retail Sales (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Retail Sales (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.6%
    Forecast
    0.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Import Price Index (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Retail Sales (YoY)

    Previous
    5.01%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Building Permits (MoM)

    Previous
    18.5%
    Forecast
    -4.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Export Price Index (YoY)

    Previous
    8.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Import Price Index (YoY)

    Previous
    5.9%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00EUR

    ECB's Elderson Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    NAHB Housing Market Index

    Previous
    35
    Forecast
    34
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Retail Inventories Ex Auto

    Previous
    0.7%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Business Inventories (MoM)

    Previous
    0%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates (WoW)

    Previous
    -0.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Crude Oil Inventories

    Previous
    -0.391M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Refinery Crude Runs (WoW)

    Previous
    0.09M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Gasoline Inventories

    Previous
    1.269M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Weekly Distillates Stocks

    Previous
    2.087M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Distillate Fuel Production

    Previous
    0.222M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Cushing Crude Oil Inventories

    Previous
    -0.684M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Heating Oil Stockpiles

    Previous
    0.01M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Crude Oil Imports

    Previous
    1.12M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Gasoline production

    Previous
    -0.537M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    Atlanta Fed GDPNow

    Previous
    4.4%
    Forecast
    4.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00EUR

    German Buba President Nagel Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00EUR

    ECB President Lagarde Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:30CAD

    BOC Summary of Deliberations

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:30BRL

    Foreign Exchange Flows

    Previous
    -7.511B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    3.75%
    Forecast
    4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    Interest Rate Projection - 3rd Yr

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    Interest Rate Projection - Current

    Previous
    3.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    Interest Rate Projection - 2nd Yr

    Previous
    3.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    Interest Rate Projection - Longer

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr

    Previous
    3.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    FOMC Economic Projections

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    FOMC Statement

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:30USD

    FOMC Press Conference

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:00USD

    TIC Net Long-Term Transactions

    Previous
    172.7B
    Forecast
    146.3B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:00USD

    Overall Net Capital Flow

    Previous
    133.5B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:00USD

    US Foreign Buying, T-bonds

    Previous
    6.8B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:00USD

    TIC Net Long-Term Transactions including Swaps

    Previous
    172.7B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 22:30BRL

    Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    14%
    Forecast
    13.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    GDP Annual Average

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    GDP (YoY)

    Previous
    1.5%
    Forecast
    2.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    GDP (QoQ)

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    GDP Expenditure (QoQ)

    Previous
    1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 00:00-06:50 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Watch

    Use the Asian session high and low only as areas to watch; London has not set the day's direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 07:20-08:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Watch

    Use the Asian session high and low only as areas to watch; London has not set the day's direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 08:00-09:55 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    London Opening Test

    Watch whether London price holds beyond the Asian session high or low before entering EUR/JPY.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 09:55-10:15 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Wages in euro zone (YoY) and Industrial Production (MoM) at 10:00 UK can move EUR/JPY sharply.

    Avoid new EUR/JPY entries until the fast price changes around 10:00 UK settle.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 10:15-13:10 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London Confirmation Window

    Use clear price behaviour following the 10:00 UK releases, with the Asian session high and low as guides.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 13:55-14:15 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    ECB's Elderson Speaks at 14:00 UK may cause sudden EUR/JPY price changes.

    Wait for EUR/JPY to form a clear high or low before considering an entry.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 14:15-14:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Elderson Speech Window

    Enter only if EUR/JPY forms a clear high or low once price movement around ECB's Elderson Speaks at 14:00 UK settles.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 15:50-16:25 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Elderson Speech Window

    Enter only if EUR/JPY forms a clear high or low once price movement around ECB's Elderson Speaks at 14:00 UK settles.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 16:55-18:15 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    German Buba President Nagel Speaks at 17:00 UK and ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 18:00 UK may move EUR/JPY sharply.

    Avoid new EUR/JPY entries until price movement around the 18:00 UK speech becomes calmer.

    Volatility · High
    Related toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 18:15-18:50 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Evening Speech Caution

    Protect open EUR/JPY trades because speeches at 17:00 UK and 18:00 UK can cause sudden price changes.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 19:45-20:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Evening Speech Caution

    Protect open EUR/JPY trades because speeches at 17:00 UK and 18:00 UK can cause sudden price changes.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 21:15-22:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Evening Speech Caution

    Protect open EUR/JPY trades because speeches at 17:00 UK and 18:00 UK can cause sudden price changes.

    Volatility · Quiet

Today's Guidance

Use the Asian session high and low as fixed areas to watch from 08:00 UK. Enter EUR/JPY only after London price closes beyond one boundary or turns away clearly from the Asian session high or low.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

EUR/JPY closes beyond the Asian session high or low on the 1-hour chart, then stays beyond that boundary.

Then

Stop using both Asian session boundaries for entries; wait for price to return to the crossed boundary and move away.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Plan closed

    Judge Industrial Production through EUR/JPY price behaviour at 10:00 UK; -0.2% is forecast and 0% is previous.

  2. Step 02Plan closed

    Use the 3.4% previous Wages figure as context, not as a reason to assume direction.

  3. Step 03Plan closed

    Review every open EUR/JPY position before the 17:00 UK and 18:00 UK speeches.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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