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Latest Published Trading Plan
EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №89Historical Trading Plan
Viewing the published Trading Plan for TUESDAY 8 SEPTEMBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.
Today's Outlook
Confirmation Before Commitment
Let EUR/USD form clear highs and lows after German Trade Balance at 07:00 UK and London trading from 08:00 UK. Avoid chasing sudden changes around USD ADP Employment Change Weekly at 13:15 UK or ECB's Elderson Speaks at 16:00 UK.
- Volatility
- Moderate
- Liquidity
- Normal
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Difficulty
- Hard
Today’s Events
| Action | Time | Event | CCY | Impact | Previous | Forecast | Actual / Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | Westpac Consumer Sentiment | AUD | 6% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 02:30 | NAB Business Survey | AUD | 4 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 02:30 | NAB Business Confidence | AUD | -7 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 02:30 | Building Approvals (YoY) | AUD | 8.9% | 9% | Upcoming | |||
| 02:30 | Building Approvals (MoM) | AUD | 7.2% | -3.6% | Upcoming | |||
| 02:30 | Private House Approvals | AUD | 0.8% | -4.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 03:30 | Exports | CNY | 17.8M | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:30 | Trade Balance | CNY | 767.07B | 805B | Upcoming | |||
| 03:30 | Imports | CNY | 21.3M | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:30 | Trade Balance (USD) | CNY | 112.5B | 118.6B | Upcoming | |||
| 03:30 | Imports (YoY) | CNY | 27.5% | 30% | Upcoming | |||
| 03:30 | Exports (YoY) | CNY | 23.9% | 25% | Upcoming | |||
| 04:35 | 5-Year JGB Auction | JPY | 2.163% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Economy Watchers Current Index | JPY | 45.7 | 46.3 | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | German Imports (MoM) | EUR | 4.4% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | German Trade Balance | EUR | 15.4B | 16B | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | German Exports (MoM) | EUR | 0.9% | 0% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:45 | French Exports | EUR | 54.5B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 07:45 | French Trade Balance | EUR | -5.8B | -6B | Upcoming | |||
| 07:45 | French Current Account | EUR | -1.4B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 07:45 | French Imports | EUR | 60.4B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Market timing Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 09:40 | Spanish 3-Month Letras Auction | EUR | 2.387% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | GDP (YoY) | ZAR | 1.9% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | GDP Annualized (QoQ) | ZAR | 0.5% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | NFIB Small Business Optimism | USD | 99.8 | 99.4 | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Spanish Consumer Confidence | EUR | 81.2 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:00 | IGP-DI Inflation Index (MoM) | BRL | -0.86% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:25 | BCB Focus Market Readout | BRL | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Market timing London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 13:15 | ADP Employment Change Weekly | USD | 11.8K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:15 | MPC Member Ramsden Speaks | GBP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:15 | BoE Gov Bailey Speaks | GBP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | CB Employment Trends Index | USD | 107.71 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:00 | Consumer Inflation Expectations | USD | 3.6% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:00 | ECB's Elderson Speaks | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | USD | 3.77% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | 6-Month Bill Auction | USD | 3.885% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | 3-Year Note Auction | USD | 4.291% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:00 | Consumer Credit | USD | 14.17B | 11.9B | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Market timing Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 23:45 | Manufacturing Sales Volume (QoQ) | NZD | 3.6% | — | Upcoming |
- 01:30AUD
Westpac Consumer Sentiment
- Previous
- 6%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
NAB Business Survey
- Previous
- 4
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
NAB Business Confidence
- Previous
- -7
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
Building Approvals (YoY)
- Previous
- 8.9%
- Forecast
- 9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
Building Approvals (MoM)
- Previous
- 7.2%
- Forecast
- -3.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
Private House Approvals
- Previous
- 0.8%
- Forecast
- -4.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:30CNY
Exports
- Previous
- 17.8M
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:30CNY
Trade Balance
- Previous
- 767.07B
- Forecast
- 805B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:30CNY
Imports
- Previous
- 21.3M
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:30CNY
Trade Balance (USD)
- Previous
- 112.5B
- Forecast
- 118.6B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:30CNY
Imports (YoY)
- Previous
- 27.5%
- Forecast
- 30%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:30CNY
Exports (YoY)
- Previous
- 23.9%
- Forecast
- 25%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:35JPY
5-Year JGB Auction
- Previous
- 2.163%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00JPY
Economy Watchers Current Index
- Previous
- 45.7
- Forecast
- 46.3
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00EUR
German Imports (MoM)
- Previous
- 4.4%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00EUR
German Trade Balance
- Previous
- 15.4B
- Forecast
- 16B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00EUR
German Exports (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.9%
- Forecast
- 0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:45EUR
French Exports
- Previous
- 54.5B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:45EUR
French Trade Balance
- Previous
- -5.8B
- Forecast
- -6B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:45EUR
French Current Account
- Previous
- -1.4B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:45EUR
French Imports
- Previous
- 60.4B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00ScheduledMarket timing
Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.
- 09:40EUR
Spanish 3-Month Letras Auction
- Previous
- 2.387%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
GDP (YoY)
- Previous
- 1.9%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
GDP Annualized (QoQ)
- Previous
- 0.5%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00USD
NFIB Small Business Optimism
- Previous
- 99.8
- Forecast
- 99.4
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Spanish Consumer Confidence
- Previous
- 81.2
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00BRL
IGP-DI Inflation Index (MoM)
- Previous
- -0.86%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:25BRL
BCB Focus Market Readout
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00ScheduledMarket timing
London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.
- 13:15USD
ADP Employment Change Weekly
- Previous
- 11.8K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:15GBP
MPC Member Ramsden Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:15GBP
BoE Gov Bailey Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
CB Employment Trends Index
- Previous
- 107.71
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:00USD
Consumer Inflation Expectations
- Previous
- 3.6%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:00EUR
ECB's Elderson Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
3-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.77%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
6-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.885%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00USD
3-Year Note Auction
- Previous
- 4.291%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:00USD
Consumer Credit
- Previous
- 14.17B
- Forecast
- 11.9B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00ScheduledMarket timing
Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.
- 23:45NZD
Manufacturing Sales Volume (QoQ)
- Previous
- 3.6%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
Today's Trading Windows
Your trading day, in chronological order.
- 00:00-02:25 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Price Building
Trading activity may be lighter, and German Trade Balance at 07:00 UK can disturb EUR/USD prices.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 02:45-03:25 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Price Building
Trading activity may be lighter, and German Trade Balance at 07:00 UK can disturb EUR/USD prices.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 03:45-06:55 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Price Building
Trading activity may be lighter, and German Trade Balance at 07:00 UK can disturb EUR/USD prices.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 06:55-07:20 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingGerman Trade Balance at 07:00 UK can produce a sudden EUR/USD price change.
Do not enter during the first sharp EUR/USD price change around the 07:00 UK release.
Volatility · HighRelated toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 07:20-08:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingLondon Preparation
Watch whether EUR/USD holds the Asian session high or low before London trading begins.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 08:00-10:25 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingLondon Confirmation
Wait for London trading to establish clear EUR/USD highs and lows before entering.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcoming - 10:45-13:10 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingLondon Confirmation
Wait for London trading to establish clear EUR/USD highs and lows before entering.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 13:10-13:35 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingUSD ADP Employment Change Weekly at 13:15 UK can make EUR/USD prices jump suddenly.
Avoid new EUR/USD entries until price changes become smaller and clearer.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 13:35-14:10 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingOverlap Confirmation
Use clear EUR/USD closes around the Asian session high or low following the 13:15 UK release.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 14:30-15:55 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingOverlap Confirmation
Use clear EUR/USD closes around the Asian session high or low following the 13:15 UK release.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 15:55-16:20 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingECB's Elderson Speaks at 16:00 UK can disturb EUR/USD pricing.
Watch EUR/USD without entering until price changes around the 16:00 UK comments become smaller.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 16:20-17:55 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingEUR Speaker Caution
ECB's Elderson Speaks at 16:00 UK may disturb EUR/USD, so require clearer price behaviour.
Volatility · QuietRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 18:15-22:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingEUR Speaker Caution
ECB's Elderson Speaks at 16:00 UK may disturb EUR/USD, so require clearer price behaviour.
Volatility · QuietRelated toNew York SessionUpcoming
Today's Guidance
Mark the Asian session high and low on EUR/USD. Enter only after price turns there twice or a candle on the 1-hour chart closes clearly beyond one.
Alternative scenario
A candle on the 1-hour chart closes beyond the Asian session high or low after USD ADP Employment Change Weekly at 13:15 UK.
Treat the broken Asian session high or low as the main area to watch. Ignore trades pointing back towards the opposite Asian session boundary.
Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.
Today's Trading Checklist
Run through every step below before placing a trade today.
Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.
- Step 01Plan closed
Judge the 07:00 German Trade Balance result of 21.3B versus the 16B forecast through EUR/USD's sustained response.
- Step 02Plan closed
Do not assume the 13:15 UK USD response will remain valid through the 16:00 UK EUR remarks.
- Step 03Plan closed
Use the Daily chart for context and make entry decisions from confirmed 4-hour and 1-hour candle closes.
Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.
Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.
Build the habit. Understand the market.
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