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- — UK
Normal liquidity · next high-impact event in 8h 00m.
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Latest Published Trading Plan
EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №38Historical Trading Plan
Viewing the published Trading Plan for TUESDAY 4 AUGUST. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.
Today's Outlook
Patient Trading Day
Key EUR data at 08:00 and 09:00 UK, then USD data at 13:30 and 15:00 UK, make patience the edge; the cleanest opportunities are likely after London and New York reactions are confirmed. Scheduled news does not predict direction, so avoid jumping into spikes and wait for price to settle.
- Volatility
- Elevated
- Liquidity
- Normal
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Difficulty
- Hard
Today’s Events
| Action | Time | Event | CCY | Impact | Previous | Forecast | Actual / Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | Iran Arbaeen | — | — | Upcoming | ||||
| 02:30 | Household Spending YoY | AUD | 5.5% | 5.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 02:30 | Household Spending MoM | AUD | 1.2% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 03:00 | Morocco Unemployment Rate | 10.8% | 11.2% | Upcoming | ||||
| 03:30 | 30-Year KTB Auction | KRW | 4.37% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:35 | 1-Year Bill Auction | NZD | 3.39% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:35 | 3-Month Bill Auction | NZD | 2.78% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:35 | 6-Month Bill Auction | NZD | 2.99% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 04:35 | 10-Year JGB Auction | JPY | 2.729% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | MAS 4-Week Bill Auction | SGD | 1.46% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | MAS 12-Week Bill Auction | SGD | 1.56% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | MAS 36-Week Bill Auction | SGD | 1.55% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Romania PPI YoY | 12.05% | 11.4% | Upcoming | ||||
| 07:30 | Commodity Prices YoY | AUD | 16.9% | 15.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:45 | Budget Balance | EUR | €-93.3B | €-104.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Market timing Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 08:00 | Unemployment Change | EUR | -28.7K | -20.3K | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Jordan PPI YoY | 6.6% | 6.4% | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:00 | Armenia Interest Rate Decision | 6.5% | 6.5% | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:00 | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | BRL | 0.18% | 0.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Retail Sales YoY | EUR | 2.2 | 1.4 | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Retail Sales MoM | EUR | 0.2% | 0.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Retail Sales YoY | HKD | 4.8% | 3.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Balance of Trade | EUR | -1154.1 | -780.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 09:40 | 12-Month Letras Auction | EUR | 2.5% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:40 | 6-Month Letras Auction | EUR | 2.385% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | RAGB Auction | EUR | 2.885% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Conventional Gilt | GBP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:05 | T-Bill Auction | SEK | 1.8429% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:05 | 314-Day T-Bill Auction | SEK | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 2-Year Schatz Auction | EUR | 2.77% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 3-Month DTB Auction | HUF | 5.34% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | Weekly Bond Auction | ZAR | 8.863% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 2044 Bond Auction | ZAR | 8.821% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 2040 Bond Auction | ZAR | 9.047% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Long TC Auction | EUR | 2.564% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Medium TC Auction | EUR | 2.448% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Short TC Auction | EUR | 2.362% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Industrial Production MoM | EUR | 0.4% | -0.6% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Industrial Production YoY | EUR | 6.2% | 5.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | LMI Logistics Managers Index | USD | 71.1 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Market timing London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 13:00 | Industrial Production YoY | BRL | 0.2% | 3.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Industrial Production MoM | BRL | -0.2% | -0.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Consumer Confidence | MXN | 43.8 | 44.1 | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Exports | CAD | C$77.1B | C$75.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Balance of Trade | CAD | C$4.24B | C$3.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Imports | CAD | C$72.86B | C$70.2B | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Balance of Trade | USD | $-77.6B | $-73.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Imports | USD | $395.3B | $385.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Exports | USD | $317.7B | $312.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 13:55 | Redbook YoY | USD | 8.3 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:00 | Global Dairy Trade Price Index | NZD | 1.5 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:20 | NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months | USD | — | 5.179 | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | JOLTs Job Quits | USD | 3.065M | 3.05M | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Factory Orders ex Transportation | USD | 1.9 | 0.5 | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | USD | 45.5 | 47.5 | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Factory Orders MoM | USD | -1.3% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | JOLTs Job Openings | USD | 7.594M | 7.45M | Upcoming | |||
| 16:00 | Exports YoY | COP | 19.2% | 12.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 16:00 | Foreign Exchange Reserves | DKK | DKK699.3B | DKK700.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | 52-Week Bill Auction | USD | 3.86% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | 6-Week Bill Auction | USD | 3.7% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 17:00 | New Car Registrations YoY | EUR | 11.4% | 6.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 21:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | USD | 3.296 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Market timing Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 22:00 | Foreign Exchange Reserves | KRW | $427.4B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 23:45 | Labour Costs Index QoQ | NZD | 0.5% | 0.6% | Upcoming | |||
| 23:45 | Employment Change QoQ | NZD | 0.2% | 0.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 23:45 | Participation Rate | NZD | 70.4% | 70.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 23:45 | Labour Costs Index YoY | NZD | 2.0% | 1.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 23:45 | Unemployment Rate | NZD | 5.3% | 5.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 00:00 | Ai Group Industry Index | AUD | -30.0 | -27.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 00:00 | Ai Group Manufacturing Index | AUD | -16.8 | -14.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 00:00 | Ai Group Construction Index | AUD | -38.1 | -36.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 00:30 | Overtime Pay YoY | JPY | 2.9% | 3.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 00:30 | Average Cash Earnings YoY | JPY | 3.2% | 3.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 00:50 | BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes | JPY | — | — | Upcoming |
- 01:00
Iran Arbaeen
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
Household Spending YoY
- Previous
- 5.5%
- Forecast
- 5.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
Household Spending MoM
- Previous
- 1.2%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:00
Morocco Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 10.8%
- Forecast
- 11.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:30KRW
30-Year KTB Auction
- Previous
- 4.37%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:35NZD
1-Year Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.39%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:35NZD
3-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 2.78%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:35NZD
6-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 2.99%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:35JPY
10-Year JGB Auction
- Previous
- 2.729%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00SGD
MAS 4-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 1.46%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00SGD
MAS 12-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 1.56%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00SGD
MAS 36-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 1.55%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00
Romania PPI YoY
- Previous
- 12.05%
- Forecast
- 11.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30AUD
Commodity Prices YoY
- Previous
- 16.9%
- Forecast
- 15.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:45EUR
Budget Balance
- Previous
- €-93.3B
- Forecast
- €-104.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00ScheduledMarket timing
Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.
- 08:00EUR
Unemployment Change
- Previous
- -28.7K
- Forecast
- -20.3K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00
Jordan PPI YoY
- Previous
- 6.6%
- Forecast
- 6.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00
Armenia Interest Rate Decision
- Previous
- 6.5%
- Forecast
- 6.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00BRL
IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM
- Previous
- 0.18%
- Forecast
- 0.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 2.2
- Forecast
- 1.4
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Retail Sales MoM
- Previous
- 0.2%
- Forecast
- 0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30HKD
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 4.8%
- Forecast
- 3.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30EUR
Balance of Trade
- Previous
- -1154.1
- Forecast
- -780.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:40EUR
12-Month Letras Auction
- Previous
- 2.5%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:40EUR
6-Month Letras Auction
- Previous
- 2.385%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
RAGB Auction
- Previous
- 2.885%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00GBP
Conventional Gilt
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:05SEK
T-Bill Auction
- Previous
- 1.8429%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:05SEK
314-Day T-Bill Auction
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30EUR
2-Year Schatz Auction
- Previous
- 2.77%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30HUF
3-Month DTB Auction
- Previous
- 5.34%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
Weekly Bond Auction
- Previous
- 8.863%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
2044 Bond Auction
- Previous
- 8.821%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
2040 Bond Auction
- Previous
- 9.047%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Long TC Auction
- Previous
- 2.564%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Medium TC Auction
- Previous
- 2.448%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Short TC Auction
- Previous
- 2.362%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Industrial Production MoM
- Previous
- 0.4%
- Forecast
- -0.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- 6.2%
- Forecast
- 5.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00USD
LMI Logistics Managers Index
- Previous
- 71.1
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00ScheduledMarket timing
London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.
- 13:00BRL
Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- 0.2%
- Forecast
- 3.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00BRL
Industrial Production MoM
- Previous
- -0.2%
- Forecast
- -0.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00MXN
Consumer Confidence
- Previous
- 43.8
- Forecast
- 44.1
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Exports
- Previous
- C$77.1B
- Forecast
- C$75.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Balance of Trade
- Previous
- C$4.24B
- Forecast
- C$3.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Imports
- Previous
- C$72.86B
- Forecast
- C$70.2B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Balance of Trade
- Previous
- $-77.6B
- Forecast
- $-73.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Imports
- Previous
- $395.3B
- Forecast
- $385.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Exports
- Previous
- $317.7B
- Forecast
- $312.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:55USD
Redbook YoY
- Previous
- 8.3
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:00NZD
Global Dairy Trade Price Index
- Previous
- 1.5
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:20USD
NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- 5.179
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
JOLTs Job Quits
- Previous
- 3.065M
- Forecast
- 3.05M
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Factory Orders ex Transportation
- Previous
- 1.9
- Forecast
- 0.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index
- Previous
- 45.5
- Forecast
- 47.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Factory Orders MoM
- Previous
- -1.3%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
JOLTs Job Openings
- Previous
- 7.594M
- Forecast
- 7.45M
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:00COP
Exports YoY
- Previous
- 19.2%
- Forecast
- 12.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:00DKK
Foreign Exchange Reserves
- Previous
- DKK699.3B
- Forecast
- DKK700.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
52-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.86%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
6-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.7%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00EUR
New Car Registrations YoY
- Previous
- 11.4%
- Forecast
- 6.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:30USD
API Crude Oil Stock Change
- Previous
- 3.296
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00ScheduledMarket timing
Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.
- 22:00KRW
Foreign Exchange Reserves
- Previous
- $427.4B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:45NZD
Labour Costs Index QoQ
- Previous
- 0.5%
- Forecast
- 0.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:45NZD
Employment Change QoQ
- Previous
- 0.2%
- Forecast
- 0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:45NZD
Participation Rate
- Previous
- 70.4%
- Forecast
- 70.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:45NZD
Labour Costs Index YoY
- Previous
- 2.0%
- Forecast
- 1.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:45NZD
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 5.3%
- Forecast
- 5.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:00AUD
Ai Group Industry Index
- Previous
- -30.0
- Forecast
- -27.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:00AUD
Ai Group Manufacturing Index
- Previous
- -16.8
- Forecast
- -14.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:00AUD
Ai Group Construction Index
- Previous
- -38.1
- Forecast
- -36.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:30JPY
Overtime Pay YoY
- Previous
- 2.9%
- Forecast
- 3.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:30JPY
Average Cash Earnings YoY
- Previous
- 3.2%
- Forecast
- 3.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:50JPY
BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
Today's Trading Windows
Your trading day, in chronological order.
- 06:00-07:45 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingPre-London Preparation
Use this window to map the Asian range, not to force entries.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcomingThe briefing is before the London open, and the session context says London has not established direction. The first high-impact EUR release is at 08:00 UK.
- 07:55-08:10 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR Unemployment Change at 08:00 UK
Avoid fresh EUR trades during the release window.
Volatility · HighRelated toEUR Unemployment Change · 08:00Asian SessionLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingThe event is marked High impact and directly affects EUR pairs. Execution risk is concentrated around the release minute.
- 08:55-09:15 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR Retail Sales YoY and MoM at 09:00 UK
Avoid first-spike trades in EUR pairs.
Volatility · HighRelated toEUR Retail Sales YoY · 09:00EUR Retail Sales MoM · 09:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingTwo High-impact EUR releases land at the same time. Same-currency clustering raises execution risk.
- 09:20-11:30 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingPost-EUR London
Look for EUR pairs to confirm whether morning levels are holding or breaking.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcomingThis window comes after the 08:00 UK EUR release and the 09:00 UK retail sales pair. It avoids the main EUR release minutes while staying inside London liquidity.
- 12:00-12:55 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingEarly New York Setup
Prepare USD levels before the 13:30 UK data stack.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcomingThe next scheduled USD releases are at 13:30 UK, so this window is for planning and selective trades only. It should not overlap the release risk.
- 13:25-13:45 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingUSD Balance of Trade, Imports, and Exports at 13:30 UK
Watch the reaction; avoid rushing USD-sensitive trades.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingThree Medium-impact USD releases land together. The stack can affect USD pairs and Gold even though the events are not all High impact.
- 13:45-14:45 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingBetween USD Releases
Trade only if the 13:30 UK reaction has settled before JOLTs risk.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcomingThis window sits after the 13:30 UK USD trade data and before the 15:00 UK JOLTs release. The gap is short, so execution must be selective.
- 14:55-15:20 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingUSD JOLTs Job Openings and Factory Orders at 15:00 UK
Avoid trading the first reaction in USD pairs and Gold.
Volatility · HighRelated toUSD JOLTs Job Openings · 15:00London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingJOLTs is High impact and is released alongside Medium-impact Factory Orders. The cluster sits in the active New York part of the day.
- 15:20-16:30 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingPost-JOLTs Overlap
This is the cleanest New York window if price has confirmed a level after the 15:00 UK release.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcomingThe 15:00 UK high-impact JOLTs release has passed by this window, and London/New York overlap can provide better liquidity. It avoids the release minutes themselves.
- 18:30-20:15 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingLate Oil Watch
Use this only for Brent setups that finish before the API risk window.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toNew York SessionUpcomingThe API Crude Oil Stock Change is scheduled for 21:30 UK. Earlier evening trading avoids the immediate oil release risk.
- 21:25-21:45 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingAPI Crude Oil Stock Change at 21:30 UK
Avoid fresh Brent trades around the release.
Volatility · HighRelated toExecution risk elevatedUpcomingThe event is Medium impact and oil-specific. Late-session liquidity can make the first Brent reaction less reliable.
Today's Guidance
Avoid entries in the minutes around the main releases. After each release, wait for price to close beyond a level or reject it clearly before trading; do not enter on the first spike.
Today's Trading Checklist
Run through every step below before placing a trade today.
Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.
- Step 01Plan closed
Treat the London open as the first real test of the Asian session range.
- Step 02Plan closed
Keep EUR pairs on hold around the two morning EUR releases.
- Step 03Plan closed
Expect USD pairs and Gold to become more sensitive from 13:30 UK onward.
Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.
Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.
Build the habit. Understand the market.
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