Trading Mode

Today's Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePrivateCurrentIssue №171
AsianLondonNew York
Risk
Hard
Events left
32
Next event
00:00
Last updated
06:10 UK

Today's Outlook

Patient News Risk Day

Wait for EUR/USD to settle around EUR German Retail Sales (MoM) and German Retail Sales (YoY) at 07:00 UK, USD ISM Manufacturing PMI and ISM Manufacturing Employment at 15:00 UK, and Fed Goolsbee Speaks at 16:15 UK. Avoid entering because the first sharp move looks convincing.

Technical Bias

Bearish — Price remains below the H4 SMA200.

Trading summary checklist
Expected volatility
Elevated
Expected session activity
Normal
Calendar risk tone
Cautious
Event risk difficulty
Hard

Expectations based on today's economic calendar and trading session, not live price, volume or order-book measurements.

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 00:00EUR

    German 3-Month Bubill Auction

    Previous
    2.586%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:00EUR

    German 9-Month Bubill Auction

    Previous
    2.872%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:00GBP

    Syndication Index-Linked Gilt

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:00AUD

    TD-MI Inflation Gauge (MoM)

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:00AUD

    Cotality Dwelling Prices (MoM)

    Previous
    -1.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30JPY

    Manufacturing PMI Final

    Previous
    54.1
    Forecast
    53.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30AUD

    Building Permits (MoM) Prel

    Previous
    -6.1%
    Forecast
    2.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30AUD

    Building Permits (YoY) Prel

    Previous
    10.3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30AUD

    Private House Approvals (MoM) Prel

    Previous
    3.7%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:35JPY

    5-Year Climate Transition Jgb Auction

    Previous
    1.941%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:30AUD

    Commodity Prices (YoY)

    Previous
    15.5%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    German Retail Sales (MoM)

    Previous
    1.3%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    German Retail Sales (YoY)

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30CHF

    Retail Sales (YoY)

    Previous
    3.2%
    Forecast
    3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30CHF

    Retail Sales (MoM)

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:30CHF

    procure.ch Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    55.3
    Forecast
    55.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:55EUR

    German Manufacturing PMI Final

    Previous
    53.9
    Forecast
    54.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Manufacturing PMI Final

    Previous
    52.9
    Forecast
    52.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30GBP

    Manufacturing PMI Final

    Previous
    51.9
    Forecast
    52.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 14:30CAD

    Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    51.5
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:45USD

    Manufacturing PMI Final

    Previous
    55.9
    Forecast
    56
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    ISM Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    54.5
    Forecast
    54.6
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    ISM Manufacturing Employment

    Previous
    52.7
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Construction Spending (MoM)

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    ISM Manufacturing New Orders

    Previous
    55.3
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    ISM Manufacturing Prices

    Previous
    77.9
    Forecast
    77
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:15USD

    Fed Goolsbee Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    3-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    4.05%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    6-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    4.21%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    Loan Officer Survey

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00USD

    Treasury Refunding Financing Estimates

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:45NZD

    Building Permits (MoM)

    Previous
    5.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 00:00-00:25 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session and EUR News

    Use the Asian session high and low, but avoid entries around the 07:00 UK German Retail Sales figures.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 00:45-06:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session and EUR News

    Use the Asian session high and low, but avoid entries around the 07:00 UK German Retail Sales figures.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 06:55-07:15 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    German Retail Sales (MoM) and German Retail Sales (YoY) can cause a sharp EUR/USD price change.

    Avoid new EUR/USD entries until price forms a clear high and low after 07:00 UK.

    Volatility · High
    Related toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 07:45-08:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Before London Trading

    Keep risk small until London trading begins to show clear highs and lows.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 08:00-08:25 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London Trading Window

    Trade only when EUR/USD respects the Asian session high or low, or forms clear London highs and lows.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 08:45-13:00 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London Trading Window

    Trade only when EUR/USD respects the Asian session high or low, or forms clear London highs and lows.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 13:00-14:25 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    London and New York

    Use confirmed 1-hour candle closes, and finish new entries before the 15:00 UK USD releases.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 14:55-15:20 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    ISM Manufacturing PMI and ISM Manufacturing Employment can cause a sharp USD-driven EUR/USD move.

    Do not enter on the first EUR/USD move after the 15:00 UK ISM releases.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD ISM Manufacturing PMI · 15:00London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 15:20-16:10 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    USD News Pause

    Avoid new entries through ISM Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing Employment and Fed Goolsbee Speaks.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 16:10-16:30 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Fed Goolsbee Speaks can cause sudden changes in EUR/USD pricing.

    Avoid new EUR/USD entries until price settles after Fed Goolsbee Speaks.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 16:30-22:00 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Late Trading Window

    Enter only if EUR/USD forms clear highs and lows following the USD events.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming

Today's Guidance

Set alerts five minutes before 07:00, 15:00 and 16:15 UK. Remove unfilled EUR/USD orders when each alert sounds.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

A candle on the 1-hour chart closes beyond the Asian session high or low after the 15:00 UK ISM releases.

Then

Stop trading inside the area between the Asian session high and low. Use the crossed boundary as the price to watch before entering.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Later

    Do not widen a stop because a scheduled release moves EUR/USD sharply.

  2. Step 02Later

    Record which scheduled event influenced each EUR/USD decision.

  3. Step 03Later

    Leave EUR/USD alone when the Asian and London highs and lows are unclear.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration