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- — UK
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Latest Published Trading Plan
EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №167Historical Trading Plan
Viewing the published Trading Plan for THURSDAY 29 OCTOBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.
Today's Outlook
Patient Event Risk Day
Core PCE Price Index (MoM) at 12:30 UK and ECB Interest Rate Decision at 13:15 UK can move EUR/USD sharply. Let London show how price treats the Asian high and low after 08:00 UK, and avoid chasing the ECB Press Conference at 13:45 UK.
Technical Bias
Bearish — Price remains below the H4 SMA200.
- Volatility
- Elevated
- Liquidity
- Normal
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Difficulty
- Very hard
Today’s Events
| Action | Time | Event | CCY | Impact | Previous | Forecast | Actual / Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | USD | 3.3% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 00:00 | ANZ Business Confidence | NZD | 53.7 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 00:01 | Car Production (YoY) | GBP | 61.8K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 00:30 | Export Prices (QoQ) | AUD | 1.1% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 00:30 | Import Prices (QoQ) | AUD | 5.7% | 1.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 03:35 | 2-Year JGB Auction | JPY | 1.964% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:35 | 3-Month Bill Auction | JPY | 1.268% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 05:00 | Consumer Confidence | JPY | 35.4 | 35.1 | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Market timing Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 09:30 | BoE Consumer Credit | GBP | 2.46B | 2.2B | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Mortgage Approvals | GBP | 54.9K | 54K | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Mortgage Lending | GBP | 4.41B | 4.2B | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | M4 Money Supply (MoM) | GBP | 0.4% | 0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Net Lending to Individuals (MoM) | GBP | 6.87B | 6.2B | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Economic Sentiment | EUR | 97.9 | 97.5 | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Consumer Confidence Final | EUR | -16.5 | -17.9 | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Consumer Inflation Expectations | EUR | 35.2 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Industrial Sentiment | EUR | -3.8 | -3.8 | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Selling Price Expectations | EUR | 20.3 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Services Sentiment | EUR | 6.1 | 5.9 | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Conventional/Index-Linked Gilt Tender | GBP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index (MoM) | USD | 0.2% | 0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv | USD | 2.2% | 3.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Personal Income (MoM) | USD | 0.2% | 0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Personal Spending (MoM) | USD | 0.9% | 0.6% | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | GDP Price Index QoQ Adv | USD | 6.1% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | USD | 194K | 199K | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index (MoM) | USD | 0.3% | 0.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index (YoY) | USD | 3.4% | 3.6% | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | USD | 1.73M | 1.72M | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index (YoY) | USD | 3% | 3.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Prices QoQ Adv | USD | 3.3% | 2.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | GDP Sales QoQ Adv | USD | 2.8% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg. | USD | 197.8K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | PCE Prices QoQ Adv | USD | 5% | 3.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending QoQ Adv | USD | 3.8% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Real Personal Spending (MoM) | USD | 0.6% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Average Weekly Earnings (YoY) | CAD | 3.2% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Market timing London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 13:15 | Deposit Facility Rate | EUR | 2.5% | 2.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:15 | ECB Interest Rate Decision | EUR | 2.65% | 2.65% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:15 | ECB Monetary Policy Statement | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:15 | Marginal Lending Rate | EUR | 2.9% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:45 | ECB Press Conference | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:30 | Natural Gas Storage | USD | 77B | 75B | Upcoming | |||
| 15:30 | 4-Week Bill Auction | USD | 3.945% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:30 | 8-Week Bill Auction | USD | 4.015% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:00 | 15-Year Mortgage Rate | USD | 6.68% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:00 | 30-Year Mortgage Rate | USD | 7.32% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:00 | 10-Year Bond Auction | CAD | 3.966% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 17:00 | 7-Year Note Auction | USD | 5.085% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 17:30 | SNB Tschudin Speaks | CHF | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 17:50 | ECB Cipollone Speaks | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | Fed's Balance Sheet | USD | 6.75T | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks | USD | 2.97T | — | Upcoming | |||
| 21:00 | ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence | NZD | 97.6 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Market timing Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 23:30 | Unemployment Rate | JPY | 2.5% | 2.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 23:30 | Jobs/applications ratio | JPY | 1.18 | 1.18 | Upcoming | |||
| 23:30 | Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) | JPY | 2.7% | 2.6% | Upcoming | |||
| 23:30 | Tokyo CPI Ex Food and Energy (YoY) | JPY | 3% | 2.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 23:30 | Tokyo CPI (YoY) | JPY | 2.7% | 3.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 23:50 | Industrial Production (MoM) Prel | JPY | -2.4% | 1.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 23:50 | Retail Sales (YoY) | JPY | 2.7% | 3.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 23:50 | Industrial Production (YoY) Prel | JPY | 2.7% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 23:50 | Retail Sales (MoM) | JPY | -1.2% | — | Upcoming |
- 00:00USD
Atlanta Fed GDPNow
- Previous
- 3.3%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:00NZD
ANZ Business Confidence
- Previous
- 53.7
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:01GBP
Car Production (YoY)
- Previous
- 61.8K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:30AUD
Export Prices (QoQ)
- Previous
- 1.1%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:30AUD
Import Prices (QoQ)
- Previous
- 5.7%
- Forecast
- 1.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:35JPY
2-Year JGB Auction
- Previous
- 1.964%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:35JPY
3-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 1.268%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 05:00JPY
Consumer Confidence
- Previous
- 35.4
- Forecast
- 35.1
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00ScheduledMarket timing
Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.
- 09:30GBP
BoE Consumer Credit
- Previous
- 2.46B
- Forecast
- 2.2B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30GBP
Mortgage Approvals
- Previous
- 54.9K
- Forecast
- 54K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30GBP
Mortgage Lending
- Previous
- 4.41B
- Forecast
- 4.2B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30GBP
M4 Money Supply (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.4%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30GBP
Net Lending to Individuals (MoM)
- Previous
- 6.87B
- Forecast
- 6.2B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Economic Sentiment
- Previous
- 97.9
- Forecast
- 97.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Consumer Confidence Final
- Previous
- -16.5
- Forecast
- -17.9
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Consumer Inflation Expectations
- Previous
- 35.2
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Industrial Sentiment
- Previous
- -3.8
- Forecast
- -3.8
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Selling Price Expectations
- Previous
- 20.3
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Services Sentiment
- Previous
- 6.1
- Forecast
- 5.9
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00GBP
Conventional/Index-Linked Gilt Tender
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
Core PCE Price Index (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.2%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv
- Previous
- 2.2%
- Forecast
- 3.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
Personal Income (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.2%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
Personal Spending (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.9%
- Forecast
- 0.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
GDP Price Index QoQ Adv
- Previous
- 6.1%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
Initial Jobless Claims
- Previous
- 194K
- Forecast
- 199K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
PCE Price Index (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.3%
- Forecast
- 0.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
PCE Price Index (YoY)
- Previous
- 3.4%
- Forecast
- 3.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
Continuing Jobless Claims
- Previous
- 1.73M
- Forecast
- 1.72M
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
Core PCE Price Index (YoY)
- Previous
- 3%
- Forecast
- 3.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
Core PCE Prices QoQ Adv
- Previous
- 3.3%
- Forecast
- 2.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
GDP Sales QoQ Adv
- Previous
- 2.8%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg.
- Previous
- 197.8K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
PCE Prices QoQ Adv
- Previous
- 5%
- Forecast
- 3.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
Real Consumer Spending QoQ Adv
- Previous
- 3.8%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30USD
Real Personal Spending (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.6%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30CAD
Average Weekly Earnings (YoY)
- Previous
- 3.2%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00ScheduledMarket timing
London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.
- 13:15EUR
Deposit Facility Rate
- Previous
- 2.5%
- Forecast
- 2.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:15EUR
ECB Interest Rate Decision
- Previous
- 2.65%
- Forecast
- 2.65%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:15EUR
ECB Monetary Policy Statement
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:15EUR
Marginal Lending Rate
- Previous
- 2.9%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:45EUR
ECB Press Conference
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:30USD
Natural Gas Storage
- Previous
- 77B
- Forecast
- 75B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30USD
4-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.945%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30USD
8-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 4.015%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:00USD
15-Year Mortgage Rate
- Previous
- 6.68%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:00USD
30-Year Mortgage Rate
- Previous
- 7.32%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:00CAD
10-Year Bond Auction
- Previous
- 3.966%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00USD
7-Year Note Auction
- Previous
- 5.085%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:30CHF
SNB Tschudin Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:50EUR
ECB Cipollone Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
Fed's Balance Sheet
- Previous
- 6.75T
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks
- Previous
- 2.97T
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:00NZD
ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence
- Previous
- 97.6
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00ScheduledMarket timing
Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.
- 23:30JPY
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 2.5%
- Forecast
- 2.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:30JPY
Jobs/applications ratio
- Previous
- 1.18
- Forecast
- 1.18
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:30JPY
Tokyo Core CPI (YoY)
- Previous
- 2.7%
- Forecast
- 2.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:30JPY
Tokyo CPI Ex Food and Energy (YoY)
- Previous
- 3%
- Forecast
- 2.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:30JPY
Tokyo CPI (YoY)
- Previous
- 2.7%
- Forecast
- 3.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:50JPY
Industrial Production (MoM) Prel
- Previous
- -2.4%
- Forecast
- 1.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:50JPY
Retail Sales (YoY)
- Previous
- 2.7%
- Forecast
- 3.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:50JPY
Industrial Production (YoY) Prel
- Previous
- 2.7%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:50JPY
Retail Sales (MoM)
- Previous
- -1.2%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
Today's Trading Windows
Your trading day, in chronological order.
- 00:00-04:50 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Price Reference
Mark the Asian session high and low without assuming that London will follow the same direction.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 05:20-08:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Price Reference
Mark the Asian session high and low without assuming that London will follow the same direction.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 08:00-09:25 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingLondon Confirmation Window
Consider trades only when candles after 08:00 show steady behaviour around the Asian session high or low.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcoming - 10:15-12:20 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingLondon Confirmation Window
Consider trades only when candles after 08:00 show steady behaviour around the Asian session high or low.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcoming - 12:20-12:50 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingCore PCE Price Index (MoM), GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv and other USD releases at 12:30 can move EUR/USD sharply.
Avoid entering EUR/USD until the first sharp price swings have ended.
Volatility · HighRelated toUSD Core PCE Price Index (MoM) · 12:30USD GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv · 12:30USD Personal Income (MoM) · 12:30USD Personal Spending (MoM) · 12:30London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 12:50-13:05 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingScheduled News Pause
Avoid new EUR/USD entries while the 12:30, 13:15 and 13:45 UK releases drive sharp price changes.
Volatility · QuietRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 13:05-14:05 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingECB Interest Rate Decision at 13:15 and ECB Press Conference at 13:45 can cause repeated sharp EUR/USD moves.
Stay out until a candle shows how EUR/USD is behaving after the press conference.
Volatility · HighRelated toEUR Deposit Facility Rate · 13:15EUR ECB Interest Rate Decision · 13:15EUR ECB Press Conference · 13:45London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 14:05-16:55 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingPost News Assessment
Wait for a candle to close beyond or move away from the 13:15-14:05 high or low before entering.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 18:05-22:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingLate Day Selectivity
Skip EUR/USD unless a candle closes clearly beyond the day's high or low.
Volatility · QuietRelated toNew York SessionUpcoming
Today's Guidance
Mark the Asian session high and low, then judge EUR/USD using candles formed after 08:00 UK. Avoid new entries from 12:20 to 14:05 UK.
Alternative scenario
After 14:05 UK, a EUR/USD candle closes beyond the highest or lowest price formed between 13:15 and 14:05 UK.
Use the 13:15-14:05 high or low as the price to watch before considering an entry.
Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.
Today's Trading Checklist
Run through every step below before placing a trade today.
Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.
- Step 01Plan closed
Set the maximum loss for each EUR/USD trade before the 08:00 UK window begins.
- Step 02Plan closed
Treat price staying between the Asian high and low by 12:20 UK as no setup, not a missed opportunity.
- Step 03Plan closed
Review any entry against both the daily chart and the latest four-hour candle before committing risk.
Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.
Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.
