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Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №159

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for FRIDAY 23 OCTOBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Patient News Trading Day

Wait for EUR/USD to settle after German Manufacturing PMI at 08:30 UK and more EUR PMI news at 09:00 UK. Avoid treating the first sharp move after USD Manufacturing PMI at 14:45 UK as a trade signal.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 00:01GBP

    GfK Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    -13
    Forecast
    -15
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30JPY

    National CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    1.9%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30JPY

    National Core CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    1.7%
    Forecast
    2.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30JPY

    Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy (YoY)

    Previous
    1.9%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30JPY

    National CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:30JPY

    Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    54.9
    Forecast
    54.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:30JPY

    Services PMI

    Previous
    52.5
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:30JPY

    Composite PMI

    Previous
    53.5
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    3-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.28%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Retail Sales (MoM)

    Previous
    0.5%
    Forecast
    -0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Retail Sales (YoY)

    Previous
    2.4%
    Forecast
    1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Retail Sales ex Fuel (MoM)

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    -0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Retail Sales ex Fuel (YoY)

    Previous
    2.7%
    Forecast
    1.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:30EUR

    German Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    53.9
    Forecast
    53.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30EUR

    German Composite PMI

    Previous
    53.8
    Forecast
    53.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30EUR

    German Services PMI

    Previous
    52.9
    Forecast
    52.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:55EUR

    ECB Montagner Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Composite PMI

    Previous
    53.1
    Forecast
    52.7
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    52.9
    Forecast
    52.7
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Services PMI

    Previous
    53
    Forecast
    52.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30GBP

    Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    51.9
    Forecast
    51.7
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30GBP

    Services PMI

    Previous
    52.1
    Forecast
    51.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30GBP

    Composite PMI

    Previous
    52
    Forecast
    51.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    ECB Consumer Inflation Expectations

    Previous
    3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:30CAD

    Retail Sales Ex Autos (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.7%
    Forecast
    1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Retail Sales (MoM) Final

    Previous
    -0.7%
    Forecast
    1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Retail Sales (MoM) Prel

    Previous
    1.3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Manufacturing Sales (MoM) Prel

    Previous
    1.5%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Retail Sales (YoY)

    Previous
    5.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:45USD

    Composite PMI

    Previous
    58.4
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:45USD

    Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    55.9
    Forecast
    55.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:45USD

    Services PMI

    Previous
    58.8
    Forecast
    58
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final

    Previous
    48.1
    Forecast
    46.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations Final

    Previous
    3.4%
    Forecast
    3.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Michigan Consumer Expectations Final

    Previous
    46.3
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Michigan Current Conditions Final

    Previous
    50.9
    Forecast
    44.7
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Michigan Inflation Expectations Final

    Previous
    4.6%
    Forecast
    4.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00EUR

    ECB Cipollone Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count

    Previous
    459
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count

    Previous
    603
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 00:00-00:20 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Check

    Mark the Asian session high and low for comparison with EUR/USD price action after 08:00 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 00:50-01:25 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Check

    Mark the Asian session high and low for comparison with EUR/USD price action after 08:00 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 01:45-06:50 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Check

    Mark the Asian session high and low for comparison with EUR/USD price action after 08:00 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 07:20-08:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Check

    Mark the Asian session high and low for comparison with EUR/USD price action after 08:00 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 08:00-08:20 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    London Opening Test

    Watch whether EUR/USD respects the Asian session high and low as London begins setting the day's direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 08:25-09:15 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    German Manufacturing PMI and other EUR PMI releases at 08:30 and 09:00 UK can cause sudden EUR/USD moves.

    Avoid new entries until 09:15 UK; watch whether EUR/USD holds beyond the Asian session high or low.

    Volatility · High
    Related toEUR German Manufacturing PMI · 08:30London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 09:50-13:25 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Clear Price Window

    Use this window when EUR/USD forms clear highs and lows after the 09:00 UK releases.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 13:45-14:35 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Clear Price Window

    Use this window when EUR/USD forms clear highs and lows after the 09:00 UK releases.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 14:40-15:00 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD Composite PMI, Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI at 14:45 UK can cause sudden EUR/USD moves.

    Avoid new entries until 15:00 UK; check whether EUR/USD forms clear highs and lows after the releases.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Manufacturing PMI · 14:45London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 15:15-22:00 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    USD News Assessment

    Use this window only when EUR/USD forms clear highs and lows after the 14:45 UK releases.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

Today's Guidance

Mark the Asian session high and low before the London open at 08:00 UK. After the 09:00 EUR and 14:45 USD PMI releases, wait for a 1-hour candle to close beyond either boundary.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

German Manufacturing PMI at 08:30 UK keeps EUR/USD crossing the Asian session high and low after 09:15 UK.

Then

Treat 09:15-14:40 UK as unsuitable and wait for clear highs and lows before considering any entry.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Plan closed

    Treat forecasts as context, not trade signals.

  2. Step 02Plan closed

    Reassess open EUR/USD risk before 14:40 UK; the USD releases create a separate decision point.

  3. Step 03Plan closed

    If price repeatedly crosses both Asian boundaries, skip trend and breakout tactics.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration