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- High impact
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- Last updated
- — UK
Normal liquidity · next high-impact event in 3h 00m.
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Latest Published Trading Plan
EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №148Historical Trading Plan
Viewing the published Trading Plan for FRIDAY 16 OCTOBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.
Today's Outlook
Patient News Trading Day
London has no established EUR/USD direction at briefing time, so wait for confirmed moves around EUR CPI (YoY) at 10:00 UK. Avoid chasing first moves around USD Import Price Index (MoM) at 13:30 UK and Industrial Production (MoM) at 14:15 UK.
- Volatility
- Elevated
- Liquidity
- Normal
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Difficulty
- Hard
Today’s Events
| Action | Time | Event | CCY | Impact | Previous | Forecast | Actual / Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | Non-Oil Exports (YoY) | SGD | 46.1% | 33.8% | Upcoming | |||
| 01:30 | Non-Oil Exports (MoM) | SGD | 10.8% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 01:30 | Trade Balance | SGD | 13.764B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:00 | China Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | CNY | 74.67 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:00 | RBNZ Offshore Holdings | NZD | 57% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:00 | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | INR | 66.92 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:00 | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | JPY | 39.42 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:00 | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | KRW | 44.27 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:00 | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | AUD | 48.5 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:00 | BoE Gov Bailey Speaks | GBP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:30 | German Buba President Nagel Speaks | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 04:30 | Fed Governor Warsh Speaks | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 05:15 | BoC Gov Macklem Speaks | CAD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Unemployment Rate | SEK | 8.5% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Market timing Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 10:00 | HICP ex Energy and Food (MoM) | EUR | 0.2% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Core CPI (MoM) | EUR | 0.2% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | HICP ex Energy & Food (YoY) | EUR | 2.1% | 2.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Core CPI (YoY) | EUR | 2.4% | 2.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | CPI ex Tobacco (MoM) | EUR | 0.4% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | CPI ex Tobacco (YoY) | EUR | 3.2% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Italian HICP (YoY) | EUR | 3.2% | 4.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Trade Balance | EUR | 14.2B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Italian HICP (MoM) | EUR | 0.1% | 2% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Italian CPI (MoM) | EUR | 0.5% | 0.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | CPI (YoY) | EUR | 3.2% | 3.8% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Italian CPI Ex Tobacco (YoY) | EUR | 3.4% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Italian CPI (YoY) | EUR | 3.3% | 4.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | CPI (MoM) | EUR | 0.4% | 0.6% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | CPI, n.s.a | EUR | 103.73 | 104.3 | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Italian Trade Balance EU | EUR | 1.25B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Italian Trade Balance | EUR | 8.24B | 7.5B | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | IMF Meetings | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:00 | Business Confidence | ZAR | 125.4 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Bank Loan Growth | INR | 18.1% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Deposit Growth | INR | 17.3% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | FX Reserves, USD | INR | 734.61B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Market timing London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 13:00 | IBC-Br Economic Activity | BRL | -0.2% | 0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:15 | Housing Starts | CAD | 229K | 234K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Foreign Securities Purchases | CAD | 20.65B | 23.59B | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Foreign Securities Purchases by Canadians | CAD | -30.63B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Import Price Index (MoM) | USD | 0.7% | 0.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Export Price Index (MoM) | USD | 0.6% | 1% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Import Price Index (YoY) | USD | 7% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Export Price Index (YoY) | USD | 8.6% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:15 | Industrial Production (YoY) | USD | 1.42% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:15 | Capacity Utilization Rate | USD | 76.3% | 76.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 14:15 | Manufacturing Production (MoM) | USD | -0.3% | 0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 14:15 | Industrial Production (MoM) | USD | 0% | 0.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | USD | 462 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count | USD | 603 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 19:00 | Federal Budget Balance | USD | -167B | -34.7B | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC JPY speculative net positions | JPY | 62.3K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC AUD speculative net positions | AUD | -98.6K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC CHF speculative net positions | CHF | -23.7K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions | USD | -154.1K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions | USD | 58.1K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | BRL | 52.3K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | GBP | -97.6K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC NZD speculative net positions | NZD | -29.3K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC CAD speculative net positions | CAD | -90.2K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC EUR speculative net positions | EUR | -99.3K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Aluminium speculative net positions | USD | -0.9K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Copper speculative net positions | USD | 69.4K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Gold speculative net positions | USD | 210.3K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Silver speculative net positions | USD | 23.2K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions | USD | 99.1K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions | USD | -236.4K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Wheat speculative net positions | USD | -16K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Corn speculative net positions | USD | 452.5K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions | USD | 273.9K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 21:00 | Overall Net Capital Flow | USD | 83.7B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 21:00 | TIC Net Long-Term Transactions | USD | -27.9B | 75.2B | Upcoming | |||
| 21:00 | TIC Net Long-Term Transactions including Swaps | USD | -27.9B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 21:00 | US Foreign Buying, T-bonds | USD | -3.6B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Market timing Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over. | All | — | — | Scheduled |
- 01:30SGD
Non-Oil Exports (YoY)
- Previous
- 46.1%
- Forecast
- 33.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:30SGD
Non-Oil Exports (MoM)
- Previous
- 10.8%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:30SGD
Trade Balance
- Previous
- 13.764B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:00CNY
China Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI
- Previous
- 74.67
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:00NZD
RBNZ Offshore Holdings
- Previous
- 57%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:00INR
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI
- Previous
- 66.92
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:00JPY
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI
- Previous
- 39.42
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:00KRW
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI
- Previous
- 44.27
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:00AUD
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI
- Previous
- 48.5
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:00GBP
BoE Gov Bailey Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:30EUR
German Buba President Nagel Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:30USD
Fed Governor Warsh Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 05:15CAD
BoC Gov Macklem Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00SEK
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 8.5%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00ScheduledMarket timing
Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.
- 10:00EUR
HICP ex Energy and Food (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.2%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Core CPI (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.2%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
HICP ex Energy & Food (YoY)
- Previous
- 2.1%
- Forecast
- 2.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Core CPI (YoY)
- Previous
- 2.4%
- Forecast
- 2.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
CPI ex Tobacco (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.4%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
CPI ex Tobacco (YoY)
- Previous
- 3.2%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Italian HICP (YoY)
- Previous
- 3.2%
- Forecast
- 4.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Trade Balance
- Previous
- 14.2B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Italian HICP (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.1%
- Forecast
- 2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Italian CPI (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.5%
- Forecast
- 0.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
CPI (YoY)
- Previous
- 3.2%
- Forecast
- 3.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Italian CPI Ex Tobacco (YoY)
- Previous
- 3.4%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Italian CPI (YoY)
- Previous
- 3.3%
- Forecast
- 4.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
CPI (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.4%
- Forecast
- 0.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
CPI, n.s.a
- Previous
- 103.73
- Forecast
- 104.3
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Italian Trade Balance EU
- Previous
- 1.25B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Italian Trade Balance
- Previous
- 8.24B
- Forecast
- 7.5B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00USD
IMF Meetings
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00ZAR
Business Confidence
- Previous
- 125.4
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30INR
Bank Loan Growth
- Previous
- 18.1%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30INR
Deposit Growth
- Previous
- 17.3%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30INR
FX Reserves, USD
- Previous
- 734.61B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00ScheduledMarket timing
London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.
- 13:00BRL
IBC-Br Economic Activity
- Previous
- -0.2%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:15CAD
Housing Starts
- Previous
- 229K
- Forecast
- 234K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Foreign Securities Purchases
- Previous
- 20.65B
- Forecast
- 23.59B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Foreign Securities Purchases by Canadians
- Previous
- -30.63B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Import Price Index (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.7%
- Forecast
- 0.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Export Price Index (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.6%
- Forecast
- 1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Import Price Index (YoY)
- Previous
- 7%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Export Price Index (YoY)
- Previous
- 8.6%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:15USD
Industrial Production (YoY)
- Previous
- 1.42%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:15USD
Capacity Utilization Rate
- Previous
- 76.3%
- Forecast
- 76.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:15USD
Manufacturing Production (MoM)
- Previous
- -0.3%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:15USD
Industrial Production (MoM)
- Previous
- 0%
- Forecast
- 0.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00USD
U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count
- Previous
- 462
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00USD
U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count
- Previous
- 603
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 19:00USD
Federal Budget Balance
- Previous
- -167B
- Forecast
- -34.7B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30JPY
CFTC JPY speculative net positions
- Previous
- 62.3K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30AUD
CFTC AUD speculative net positions
- Previous
- -98.6K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30CHF
CFTC CHF speculative net positions
- Previous
- -23.7K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions
- Previous
- -154.1K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions
- Previous
- 58.1K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30BRL
CFTC BRL speculative net positions
- Previous
- 52.3K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30GBP
CFTC GBP speculative net positions
- Previous
- -97.6K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30NZD
CFTC NZD speculative net positions
- Previous
- -29.3K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30CAD
CFTC CAD speculative net positions
- Previous
- -90.2K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30EUR
CFTC EUR speculative net positions
- Previous
- -99.3K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Aluminium speculative net positions
- Previous
- -0.9K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Copper speculative net positions
- Previous
- 69.4K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Gold speculative net positions
- Previous
- 210.3K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Silver speculative net positions
- Previous
- 23.2K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions
- Previous
- 99.1K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions
- Previous
- -236.4K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Wheat speculative net positions
- Previous
- -16K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Corn speculative net positions
- Previous
- 452.5K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions
- Previous
- 273.9K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:00USD
Overall Net Capital Flow
- Previous
- 83.7B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:00USD
TIC Net Long-Term Transactions
- Previous
- -27.9B
- Forecast
- 75.2B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:00USD
TIC Net Long-Term Transactions including Swaps
- Previous
- -27.9B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:00USD
US Foreign Buying, T-bonds
- Previous
- -3.6B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00ScheduledMarket timing
Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.
Today's Trading Windows
Your trading day, in chronological order.
- 00:00-02:55 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Session Watch
Use the Asian session to mark EUR/USD's high and low before London establishes its price direction.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 03:45-04:25 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Session Watch
Use the Asian session to mark EUR/USD's high and low before London establishes its price direction.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 04:45-05:10 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Session Watch
Use the Asian session to mark EUR/USD's high and low before London establishes its price direction.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 05:30-07:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Session Watch
Use the Asian session to mark EUR/USD's high and low before London establishes its price direction.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 07:00-09:50 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingLondon Setup Period
Watch whether EUR/USD stays inside or moves beyond the Asian session high and low.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toAsian SessionLondon SessionUpcoming - 09:50-10:20 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR CPI (YoY) and three related releases are scheduled together at 10:00 UK.
Avoid entering EUR/USD until price forms a clear high and low after 10:00 UK.
Volatility · HighRelated toEUR CPI (YoY) · 10:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 10:20-13:10 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingPost News Trading Period
Trade only after EUR/USD forms a clear high, low or direction following the 10:00 UK releases.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 13:25-13:45 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingUSD Import Price Index (MoM) and Export Price Index (MoM) are scheduled at 13:30 UK.
Do not enter EUR/USD during the first sharp price change after 13:30 UK.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 13:45-14:10 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingUSD News Pause
Avoid new entries around the 13:30 UK price releases and 14:15 UK production releases.
Volatility · QuietRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 14:10-14:30 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingUSD Industrial Production (YoY) and Industrial Production (MoM) are scheduled at 14:15 UK.
Wait until EUR/USD stops making sharp price changes after 14:15 UK.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 14:30-17:55 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingLate Trading Period
Enter only after EUR/USD stops making sharp changes; pause around USD releases at 18:00, 19:00, 20:30 and 21:00 UK.
Volatility · QuietRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 18:15-18:55 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingLate Trading Period
Enter only after EUR/USD stops making sharp changes; pause around USD releases at 18:00, 19:00, 20:30 and 21:00 UK.
Volatility · QuietRelated toNew York SessionUpcoming - 19:15-20:25 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingLate Trading Period
Enter only after EUR/USD stops making sharp changes; pause around USD releases at 18:00, 19:00, 20:30 and 21:00 UK.
Volatility · QuietRelated toNew York SessionUpcoming - 21:15-22:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingLate Trading Period
Enter only after EUR/USD stops making sharp changes; pause around USD releases at 18:00, 19:00, 20:30 and 21:00 UK.
Volatility · Quiet
Today's Guidance
Mark the Asian session high and low, then wait for a candle on the 1-hour chart to close beyond either one. If EUR/USD stays between them, avoid entries near the middle.
Alternative scenario
A candle on the 1-hour chart closes beyond the Asian session high or low after the 10:00 UK EUR releases.
Stop trading between the Asian session high and low; consider entries only after price returns to the broken Asian session high or low.
Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.
Today's Trading Checklist
Run through every step below before placing a trade today.
Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.
- Step 01Plan closed
Do not use forecast-versus-previous figures as entry signals.
- Step 02Plan closed
Reassess open EUR/USD risk before the 18:00, 19:00, 20:30 and 21:00 UK releases.
- Step 03Plan closed
If price repeatedly crosses a session boundary, stop using that boundary for entries.
Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.
Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.
