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Normal liquidity · next high-impact event in 13h 15m.
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Latest Published Trading Plan
EUR/JPY · FreePublicIssue №135Historical Trading Plan
Viewing the published Trading Plan for THURSDAY 8 OCTOBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.
Today's Outlook
Patient Event Day
German Trade Balance is scheduled at 07:00 UK; Eurogroup Meetings and ECB's Lane Speaks share 11:00 UK. ECB Publishes Account of Monetary Policy Meeting is scheduled at 12:30 UK; wait for EUR/JPY's first sharp news move to settle.
- Volatility
- Moderate
- Liquidity
- Normal
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Difficulty
- Hard
Today’s Events
| Action | Time | Event | CCY | Impact | Previous | Forecast | Actual / Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | MI Inflation Expectations | AUD | 4.9% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 04:35 | 30-Year JGB Auction | JPY | 4.1% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Economy Watchers Current Index | JPY | 46.4 | 46.7 | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Finnish Industry Output (YoY) | EUR | 4.5% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | German Exports (MoM) | EUR | -0.8% | 0.8% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | German Imports (MoM) | EUR | -5.7% | 2.8% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | German Trade Balance | EUR | 21.3B | 19B | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Finnish Trade Balance | EUR | -0.74B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Market timing Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 09:30 | Foreign Reserves (USD) | HKD | 442.9B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | BOE Credit Conditions Survey | GBP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Fed Waller Speaks | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Irish HICP (MoM) | EUR | 0.6% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Irish CPI (YoY) | EUR | 3.7% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Irish CPI (MoM) | EUR | 0.7% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Irish HICP (YoY) | EUR | 3.4% | 3.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | German Car Registration (YoY) | EUR | 2.6% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Eurogroup Meetings | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | ECB's Lane Speaks | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:30 | BoE MPC Member Pill Speaks | GBP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:00 | Manufacturing Production (YoY) | ZAR | 1.1% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:00 | Manufacturing Production (MoM) | ZAR | 2.2% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | ECB Publishes Account of Monetary Policy Meeting | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Market timing London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 13:15 | BoE Gov Bailey Speaks | GBP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | USD | 197K | 200K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | USD | 1701K | 1710K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg. | USD | 200K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Wholesale Trade Sales (MoM) | USD | 0.8% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Wholesale Inventories (MoM) | USD | 1.3% | 0.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 15:30 | Natural Gas Storage | USD | 64B | 79B | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | USD | 3.7% | 3.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | 4-Week Bill Auction | USD | 3.89% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | 8-Week Bill Auction | USD | 3.99% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction | USD | 5.308% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 21:30 | Fed's Balance Sheet | USD | 6743B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 21:30 | Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks | USD | 2.881T | — | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Market timing Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over. | All | — | — | Scheduled |
- 01:00AUD
MI Inflation Expectations
- Previous
- 4.9%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:35JPY
30-Year JGB Auction
- Previous
- 4.1%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00JPY
Economy Watchers Current Index
- Previous
- 46.4
- Forecast
- 46.7
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00EUR
Finnish Industry Output (YoY)
- Previous
- 4.5%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00EUR
German Exports (MoM)
- Previous
- -0.8%
- Forecast
- 0.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00EUR
German Imports (MoM)
- Previous
- -5.7%
- Forecast
- 2.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00EUR
German Trade Balance
- Previous
- 21.3B
- Forecast
- 19B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00EUR
Finnish Trade Balance
- Previous
- -0.74B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00ScheduledMarket timing
Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.
- 09:30HKD
Foreign Reserves (USD)
- Previous
- 442.9B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30GBP
BOE Credit Conditions Survey
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30USD
Fed Waller Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Irish HICP (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.6%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Irish CPI (YoY)
- Previous
- 3.7%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Irish CPI (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.7%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Irish HICP (YoY)
- Previous
- 3.4%
- Forecast
- 3.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
German Car Registration (YoY)
- Previous
- 2.6%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Eurogroup Meetings
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
ECB's Lane Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:30GBP
BoE MPC Member Pill Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00ZAR
Manufacturing Production (YoY)
- Previous
- 1.1%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00ZAR
Manufacturing Production (MoM)
- Previous
- 2.2%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30EUR
ECB Publishes Account of Monetary Policy Meeting
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00ScheduledMarket timing
London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.
- 13:15GBP
BoE Gov Bailey Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Initial Jobless Claims
- Previous
- 197K
- Forecast
- 200K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Continuing Jobless Claims
- Previous
- 1701K
- Forecast
- 1710K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg.
- Previous
- 200K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Wholesale Trade Sales (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.8%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Wholesale Inventories (MoM)
- Previous
- 1.3%
- Forecast
- 0.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30USD
Natural Gas Storage
- Previous
- 64B
- Forecast
- 79B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
Atlanta Fed GDPNow
- Previous
- 3.7%
- Forecast
- 3.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
4-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.89%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
8-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.99%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00USD
30-Year Bond Auction
- Previous
- 5.308%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:30USD
Fed's Balance Sheet
- Previous
- 6743B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:30USD
Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks
- Previous
- 2.881T
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00ScheduledMarket timing
Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.
Today's Trading Windows
Your trading day, in chronological order.
- 00:00-06:55 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian prices and EUR news
Mark the Asian session high and low; German Trade Balance is scheduled at 07:00 UK.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 06:55-07:15 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingGerman Trade Balance at 07:00 UK may cause a sudden EUR/JPY price swing.
Avoid new EUR/JPY entries until the sharp price changes after 07:00 UK become smaller.
Volatility · HighRelated toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 07:15-08:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingBefore London begins
Wait for London trading from 08:00 UK before deciding whether EUR/JPY is leaving the Asian session high or low.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 08:00-09:25 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingCheck London price action
Enter only when EUR/JPY holds beyond the Asian session high or low, or turns clearly from either price.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcoming - 09:45-10:55 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingCheck London price action
Enter only when EUR/JPY holds beyond the Asian session high or low, or turns clearly from either price.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcoming - 10:55-11:20 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEurogroup Meetings and ECB's Lane Speaks share 11:00 UK and may cause uneven EUR/JPY price changes.
Avoid new entries until EUR/JPY stops making sharp price changes after 11:00 UK.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 11:45-12:25 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingLimited time between news
Avoid new EUR/JPY entries before ECB Publishes Account of Monetary Policy Meeting at 12:30 UK.
Volatility · QuietRelated toLondon SessionUpcoming - 12:25-12:45 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingECB Publishes Account of Monetary Policy Meeting at 12:30 UK may quickly move EUR/JPY.
Wait until EUR/JPY forms a clear high and low after 12:30 UK before entering.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 12:45-13:10 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingCheck post-news prices
Trade only after EUR/JPY forms a clear high and low following the 12:30 UK ECB account.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 13:50-16:25 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingCheck post-news prices
Trade only after EUR/JPY forms a clear high and low following the 12:30 UK ECB account.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 16:45-17:55 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingCheck post-news prices
Trade only after EUR/JPY forms a clear high and low following the 12:30 UK ECB account.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toNew York SessionUpcoming - 18:15-21:25 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingCheck post-news prices
Trade only after EUR/JPY forms a clear high and low following the 12:30 UK ECB account.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toNew York SessionUpcoming - 21:45-22:00 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingCheck post-news prices
Trade only after EUR/JPY forms a clear high and low following the 12:30 UK ECB account.
Volatility · Moderate
Today's Guidance
Mark the Asian session high and low, then wait for a candle on the 1-hour chart to close beyond either price. After 08:00 UK, check whether EUR/JPY stays beyond the Asian session high or low instead of returning inside.
Alternative scenario
A candle on the 1-hour chart closes clearly beyond the Asian session high or low after the 11:00 UK EUR events.
Stop trading between the Asian session high and low. Wait for EUR/JPY to stay beyond that Asian session high or low.
Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.
Today's Trading Checklist
Run through every step below before placing a trade today.
Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.
- Step 01Plan closed
Keep total risk balanced across the three EUR event periods rather than treating each as a fresh risk budget.
- Step 02Plan closed
Do not widen an exit point simply because an EUR event causes a sharp EUR/JPY price change.
- Step 03Plan closed
Pause after a poor entry and reassess the scheduled event before trading again.
Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.
Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.
