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Latest Published Trading Plan
EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №126Historical Trading Plan
Viewing the published Trading Plan for FRIDAY 2 OCTOBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.
Today's Outlook
Patient News Trading Day
There is EUR CPI news at 10:00 UK and USD jobs news at 13:30 UK, so EUR/USD can change sharply around both times. Wait for London trading to show a clear pattern, and avoid chasing the first EUR/USD price change after either release.
- Volatility
- Elevated
- Liquidity
- Normal
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Difficulty
- Hard
Today’s Events
| Action | Time | Event | CCY | Impact | Previous | Forecast | Actual / Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | Unemployment Rate n.s.a. | NOK | 2.1% | 2.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Market timing Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 08:00 | Spanish Unemployment Change | EUR | 44.4K | 17.6K | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Italian Retail Sales (MoM) | EUR | -0.4% | -0.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Italian Retail Sales (YoY) | EUR | 0.8% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Retail Sales (YoY) | HKD | 4.5% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | IPC-Fipe Inflation Index (MoM) | BRL | 0.01% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | CPI, n.s.a | EUR | 103.69 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | HICP ex Energy & Food (YoY) | EUR | 2.1% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | CPI (YoY) | EUR | 3.2% | 3.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Core CPI (YoY) | EUR | 2.4% | 2.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Core CPI (MoM) | EUR | 0.2% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | CPI (MoM) | EUR | 0.4% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | HICP ex Energy and Food (MoM) | EUR | 0.2% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Deposit Growth | INR | 17.3% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Bank Loan Growth | INR | 18.1% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | FX Reserves, USD | INR | 765.9B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Market timing London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 13:00 | Industrial Production (MoM) | BRL | 0.2% | 0.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Industrial Production (YoY) | BRL | -0.5% | 0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Manufacturing Payrolls | USD | 16K | 10K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Government Payrolls | USD | 35K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Average Weekly Hours | USD | 34.4 | 34.3 | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Private Nonfarm Payrolls | USD | 127K | 82K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Nonfarm Payrolls | USD | 162K | 89K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Unemployment Rate | USD | 4.1% | 4.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) (YoY) | USD | 3.1% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | U6 Unemployment Rate | USD | 7.7% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Participation Rate | USD | 61.6% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) | USD | 0.3% | 0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 14:00 | Manufacturing PMI | SGD | 51.5 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Factory orders ex transportation (MoM) | USD | 0.6% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Durables Excluding Transport (MoM) | USD | 0.3% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Durables Excluding Defense (MoM) | USD | 0.1% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Factory Orders (MoM) | USD | 0.9% | 0.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Fed Logan Speaks | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 17:00 | French Car Registration (YoY) | EUR | 7.4% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | USD | 455 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count | USD | 599 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | Car Registration (YoY) | EUR | 8.3% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 19:00 | Total Vehicle Sales | USD | 16.8M | 16.3M | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC JPY speculative net positions | JPY | 72K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC AUD speculative net positions | AUD | -46.8K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC CHF speculative net positions | CHF | -26.8K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions | USD | -133.2K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions | USD | 56.2K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | BRL | 54.2K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | GBP | -82.6K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC NZD speculative net positions | NZD | -11.4K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC CAD speculative net positions | CAD | -53.2K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC EUR speculative net positions | EUR | -52.3K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Aluminium speculative net positions | USD | -0.8K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Copper speculative net positions | USD | 90.5K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Gold speculative net positions | USD | 225.9K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Silver speculative net positions | USD | 25.4K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions | USD | 141.1K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions | USD | -216.5K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Wheat speculative net positions | USD | -7.4K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Corn speculative net positions | USD | 535.8K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions | USD | 281.6K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:35 | German Buba President Nagel Speaks | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Market timing Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over. | All | — | — | Scheduled |
- 07:00NOK
Unemployment Rate n.s.a.
- Previous
- 2.1%
- Forecast
- 2.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00ScheduledMarket timing
Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.
- 08:00EUR
Spanish Unemployment Change
- Previous
- 44.4K
- Forecast
- 17.6K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Italian Retail Sales (MoM)
- Previous
- -0.4%
- Forecast
- -0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Italian Retail Sales (YoY)
- Previous
- 0.8%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30HKD
Retail Sales (YoY)
- Previous
- 4.5%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00BRL
IPC-Fipe Inflation Index (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.01%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
CPI, n.s.a
- Previous
- 103.69
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
HICP ex Energy & Food (YoY)
- Previous
- 2.1%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
CPI (YoY)
- Previous
- 3.2%
- Forecast
- 3.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Core CPI (YoY)
- Previous
- 2.4%
- Forecast
- 2.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Core CPI (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.2%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
CPI (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.4%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
HICP ex Energy and Food (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.2%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30INR
Deposit Growth
- Previous
- 17.3%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30INR
Bank Loan Growth
- Previous
- 18.1%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30INR
FX Reserves, USD
- Previous
- 765.9B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00ScheduledMarket timing
London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.
- 13:00BRL
Industrial Production (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.2%
- Forecast
- 0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00BRL
Industrial Production (YoY)
- Previous
- -0.5%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Manufacturing Payrolls
- Previous
- 16K
- Forecast
- 10K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Government Payrolls
- Previous
- 35K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Average Weekly Hours
- Previous
- 34.4
- Forecast
- 34.3
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Private Nonfarm Payrolls
- Previous
- 127K
- Forecast
- 82K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Nonfarm Payrolls
- Previous
- 162K
- Forecast
- 89K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 4.1%
- Forecast
- 4.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) (YoY)
- Previous
- 3.1%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
U6 Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 7.7%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Participation Rate
- Previous
- 61.6%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.3%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:00SGD
Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 51.5
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Factory orders ex transportation (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.6%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Durables Excluding Transport (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.3%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Durables Excluding Defense (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.1%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Factory Orders (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.9%
- Forecast
- 0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Fed Logan Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00EUR
French Car Registration (YoY)
- Previous
- 7.4%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00USD
U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count
- Previous
- 455
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00USD
U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count
- Previous
- 599
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00EUR
Car Registration (YoY)
- Previous
- 8.3%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 19:00USD
Total Vehicle Sales
- Previous
- 16.8M
- Forecast
- 16.3M
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30JPY
CFTC JPY speculative net positions
- Previous
- 72K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30AUD
CFTC AUD speculative net positions
- Previous
- -46.8K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30CHF
CFTC CHF speculative net positions
- Previous
- -26.8K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions
- Previous
- -133.2K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions
- Previous
- 56.2K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30BRL
CFTC BRL speculative net positions
- Previous
- 54.2K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30GBP
CFTC GBP speculative net positions
- Previous
- -82.6K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30NZD
CFTC NZD speculative net positions
- Previous
- -11.4K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30CAD
CFTC CAD speculative net positions
- Previous
- -53.2K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30EUR
CFTC EUR speculative net positions
- Previous
- -52.3K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Aluminium speculative net positions
- Previous
- -0.8K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Copper speculative net positions
- Previous
- 90.5K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Gold speculative net positions
- Previous
- 225.9K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Silver speculative net positions
- Previous
- 25.4K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions
- Previous
- 141.1K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions
- Previous
- -216.5K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Wheat speculative net positions
- Previous
- -7.4K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Corn speculative net positions
- Previous
- 535.8K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions
- Previous
- 281.6K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:35EUR
German Buba President Nagel Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00ScheduledMarket timing
Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.
Today's Trading Windows
Your trading day, in chronological order.
- 00:00-07:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Price Watch
Mark the Asian session high and low without forcing an entry.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 07:00-08:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingEuropean Price Check
Watch how EUR/USD behaves around the Asian session high and low before London trading begins.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 08:00-09:50 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingLondon Trading Window
Trade only if London price clearly holds beyond or turns away from the Asian session high or low.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcoming - 09:55-10:20 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR CPI (YoY) at 10:00 UK can quickly change EUR/USD pricing.
Avoid new entries until 10:20 UK, then compare price with the Asian session high and low.
Volatility · HighRelated toEUR CPI (YoY) · 10:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 10:20-13:20 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingPrice Check After CPI
Enter only if EUR/USD holds beyond the Asian session high or low, or turns clearly from either mark.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 13:25-14:00 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingUSD Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate and Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) at 13:30 UK can quickly change EUR/USD pricing.
Avoid new entries until 14:00 UK, then check whether EUR/USD holds beyond the Asian session high or low.
Volatility · HighRelated toUSD Nonfarm Payrolls · 13:30USD Unemployment Rate · 13:30USD Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 14:00-14:55 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingUSD News Watch
Use extra care around USD news at 13:30, 15:00, 18:00 and 20:30, plus EUR news at 20:35.
Volatility · QuietRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 15:15-17:55 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingUSD News Watch
Use extra care around USD news at 13:30, 15:00, 18:00 and 20:30, plus EUR news at 20:35.
Volatility · QuietRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 18:15-20:25 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingUSD News Watch
Use extra care around USD news at 13:30, 15:00, 18:00 and 20:30, plus EUR news at 20:35.
Volatility · QuietRelated toNew York SessionUpcoming - 20:25-20:50 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR and USD position reports at 20:30 UK and German Buba President Nagel at 20:35 UK may disturb EUR/USD pricing.
Avoid new entries until 20:50 UK, then check whether EUR/USD price changes have slowed.
Volatility · HighRelated toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 20:50-22:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingUSD News Watch
Use extra care around USD news at 13:30, 15:00, 18:00 and 20:30, plus EUR news at 20:35.
Volatility · QuietRelated toNew York SessionUpcoming
Today's Guidance
Mark the Asian session high and low. Enter EUR/USD only after price closes beyond either mark or clearly turns away from it.
Alternative scenario
A candle on the 1-hour chart closes clearly beyond the Asian session high or low following EUR CPI at 10:00 UK.
Stop trading between the Asian session high and low. Use the crossed mark only if EUR/USD continues to hold beyond it.
Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.
Today's Trading Checklist
Run through every step below before placing a trade today.
Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.
- Step 01Plan closed
If the first news trade fails, require a fresh candle close before considering another entry.
- Step 02Plan closed
Keep only one EUR/USD position open across the scheduled release windows.
- Step 03Plan closed
Stop trading if entry prices or trading costs are worse than planned.
Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.
Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.
