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Latest Published Trading Plan
EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №124Historical Trading Plan
Viewing the published Trading Plan for THURSDAY 1 OCTOBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.
Today's Outlook
Patience Around Scheduled News
EUR Manufacturing PMI releases run from 08:15 to 09:00 UK, so wait for EUR/USD to settle after any sharp move. USD Initial Jobless Claims at 13:30, Manufacturing PMI at 14:45 and ISM Manufacturing PMI at 15:00 UK make chasing sudden moves dangerous.
- Volatility
- Elevated
- Liquidity
- Normal
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Difficulty
- Hard
Today’s Events
| Action | Time | Event | CCY | Impact | Previous | Forecast | Actual / Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | Imports (YoY) | KRW | 22.4% | 21.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 01:00 | Exports (YoY) | KRW | 68.7% | 61.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 01:00 | Trade Balance | KRW | 34.79B | 38.2B | Upcoming | |||
| 01:01 | Irish Manufacturing PMI | EUR | 55.4 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 01:30 | Nikkei Manufacturing PMI | KRW | 52.3 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 01:30 | Manufacturing PMI | JPY | 54.9 | 54.1 | Upcoming | |||
| 01:30 | URA Property Index (QoQ) | SGD | 0.5% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 02:30 | Trade Balance | AUD | 1.351B | 2B | Upcoming | |||
| 02:30 | Exports (MoM) | AUD | -3.6% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 02:30 | Imports (MoM) | AUD | -2.4% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 02:30 | RBA Financial Stability Review | AUD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Nikkei S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | INR | 52.8 | 55.7 | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Nationwide HPI (MoM) | GBP | 0.2% | 0% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Nationwide HPI (YoY) | GBP | 1.6% | 1.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | CPI (YoY) | CHF | 0.8% | 1% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | Manufacturing PMI | SEK | 56.1 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | Retail Sales (YoY) | CHF | 2.3% | 2.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | CPI (MoM) | CHF | 0.4% | 0% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | Commodity Prices (YoY) | AUD | 15.5% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Market timing Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 08:15 | Spanish Manufacturing PMI | EUR | 49.5 | 50.2 | Upcoming | |||
| 08:30 | procure.ch PMI | CHF | 57.1 | 56.3 | Upcoming | |||
| 08:45 | Italian Manufacturing PMI | EUR | 49.6 | 50.1 | Upcoming | |||
| 08:50 | French Manufacturing PMI | EUR | 51.1 | 50.3 | Upcoming | |||
| 08:55 | German Manufacturing PMI | EUR | 54.3 | 53.8 | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Greek Manufacturing PMI | EUR | 54.4 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate | EUR | 5.8% | 5.8% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Manufacturing PMI | EUR | 52.7 | 52.7 | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | BoE Gov Bailey Speaks | GBP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Manufacturing PMI | GBP | 51.7 | 52 | Upcoming | |||
| 09:40 | Spanish 10-Year Obligacion Auction | EUR | 3.96% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Unemployment Rate | EUR | 6.4% | 6.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Manufacturing PMI | ZAR | 45.8 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | Challenger Job Cuts | USD | 52.881K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | Challenger Job Cuts (YoY) | USD | -38.5% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Irish HICP (MoM) | EUR | 0.1% | 0.6% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Irish HICP (YoY) | EUR | 3.1% | 3.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:35 | German Buba President Nagel Speaks | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:00 | Car Registration (MoM) | EUR | -32.8% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:00 | Car Registration (YoY) | EUR | 11.8% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Market timing London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 13:00 | BoE MPC Member Mann | GBP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:15 | Total Vehicle Sales (YoY) | ZAR | 11.4% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:15 | Total Vehicle Sales | ZAR | 57.9K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | USD | 197K | 201K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | USD | 1719K | 1730K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg. | USD | 202.25K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | BoE MPC Member Pill Speaks | GBP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:00 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | BRL | 46.3 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:05 | FOMC Member Barkin Speaks | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:05 | Fed Collins Speaks | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:05 | Fed Schmid Speaks | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:30 | Manufacturing PMI | CAD | 53 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:30 | ECB President Lagarde Speaks | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:45 | Manufacturing PMI | USD | 53.9 | 57 | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | ISM Manufacturing Employment | USD | 51.2 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index | USD | 53.7 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI | USD | 54.6 | 54.8 | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | ISM Manufacturing Prices | USD | 71.1 | 72.9 | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Construction Spending (MoM) | USD | -0.5% | 0% | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Fed Waller Speaks | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:30 | Natural Gas Storage | USD | 53B | 63B | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | USD | 3.7% | 3.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | 4-Week Bill Auction | USD | 3.85% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | 8-Week Bill Auction | USD | 3.99% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | SNB Vice Chairman Schlegel Speaks | CHF | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | ECB's Schnabel Speaks | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 17:30 | Italian Car Registration (YoY) | EUR | 3.2% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:30 | Fed Governor Jefferson Speaks | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:00 | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:05 | BoC Senior Deputy Governor Rogers Speaks | CAD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | Fed Governor Cook Speaks | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:30 | FOMC Member Williams Speaks | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 21:30 | Fed's Balance Sheet | USD | 6748B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 21:30 | Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks | USD | 2.969T | — | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Market timing Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 23:45 | Fed Logan Speaks | USD | — | — | Upcoming |
- 01:00KRW
Imports (YoY)
- Previous
- 22.4%
- Forecast
- 21.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00KRW
Exports (YoY)
- Previous
- 68.7%
- Forecast
- 61.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00KRW
Trade Balance
- Previous
- 34.79B
- Forecast
- 38.2B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:01EUR
Irish Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 55.4
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:30KRW
Nikkei Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 52.3
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:30JPY
Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 54.9
- Forecast
- 54.1
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:30SGD
URA Property Index (QoQ)
- Previous
- 0.5%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
Trade Balance
- Previous
- 1.351B
- Forecast
- 2B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
Exports (MoM)
- Previous
- -3.6%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
Imports (MoM)
- Previous
- -2.4%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
RBA Financial Stability Review
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00INR
Nikkei S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 52.8
- Forecast
- 55.7
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Nationwide HPI (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.2%
- Forecast
- 0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Nationwide HPI (YoY)
- Previous
- 1.6%
- Forecast
- 1.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30CHF
CPI (YoY)
- Previous
- 0.8%
- Forecast
- 1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30SEK
Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 56.1
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30CHF
Retail Sales (YoY)
- Previous
- 2.3%
- Forecast
- 2.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30CHF
CPI (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.4%
- Forecast
- 0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30AUD
Commodity Prices (YoY)
- Previous
- 15.5%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00ScheduledMarket timing
Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.
- 08:15EUR
Spanish Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 49.5
- Forecast
- 50.2
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:30CHF
procure.ch PMI
- Previous
- 57.1
- Forecast
- 56.3
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:45EUR
Italian Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 49.6
- Forecast
- 50.1
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:50EUR
French Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 51.1
- Forecast
- 50.3
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:55EUR
German Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 54.3
- Forecast
- 53.8
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Greek Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 54.4
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 5.8%
- Forecast
- 5.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 52.7
- Forecast
- 52.7
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00GBP
BoE Gov Bailey Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30GBP
Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 51.7
- Forecast
- 52
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:40EUR
Spanish 10-Year Obligacion Auction
- Previous
- 3.96%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 6.4%
- Forecast
- 6.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00ZAR
Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 45.8
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30USD
Challenger Job Cuts
- Previous
- 52.881K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30USD
Challenger Job Cuts (YoY)
- Previous
- -38.5%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Irish HICP (MoM)
- Previous
- 0.1%
- Forecast
- 0.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Irish HICP (YoY)
- Previous
- 3.1%
- Forecast
- 3.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:35EUR
German Buba President Nagel Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00EUR
Car Registration (MoM)
- Previous
- -32.8%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00EUR
Car Registration (YoY)
- Previous
- 11.8%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00ScheduledMarket timing
London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.
- 13:00GBP
BoE MPC Member Mann
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:15ZAR
Total Vehicle Sales (YoY)
- Previous
- 11.4%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:15ZAR
Total Vehicle Sales
- Previous
- 57.9K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Initial Jobless Claims
- Previous
- 197K
- Forecast
- 201K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Continuing Jobless Claims
- Previous
- 1719K
- Forecast
- 1730K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg.
- Previous
- 202.25K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30GBP
BoE MPC Member Pill Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:00BRL
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 46.3
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:05USD
FOMC Member Barkin Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:05USD
Fed Collins Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:05USD
Fed Schmid Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:30CAD
Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 53
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:30EUR
ECB President Lagarde Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:45USD
Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 53.9
- Forecast
- 57
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
ISM Manufacturing Employment
- Previous
- 51.2
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index
- Previous
- 53.7
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
ISM Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 54.6
- Forecast
- 54.8
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
ISM Manufacturing Prices
- Previous
- 71.1
- Forecast
- 72.9
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Construction Spending (MoM)
- Previous
- -0.5%
- Forecast
- 0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Fed Waller Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30USD
Natural Gas Storage
- Previous
- 53B
- Forecast
- 63B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
Atlanta Fed GDPNow
- Previous
- 3.7%
- Forecast
- 3.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
4-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.85%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
8-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.99%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30CHF
SNB Vice Chairman Schlegel Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30EUR
ECB's Schnabel Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:30EUR
Italian Car Registration (YoY)
- Previous
- 3.2%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:30USD
Fed Governor Jefferson Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:00USD
FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:05CAD
BoC Senior Deputy Governor Rogers Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
Fed Governor Cook Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:30USD
FOMC Member Williams Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:30USD
Fed's Balance Sheet
- Previous
- 6748B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:30USD
Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks
- Previous
- 2.969T
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00ScheduledMarket timing
Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.
- 23:45USD
Fed Logan Speaks
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
Today's Trading Windows
Your trading day, in chronological order.
- 00:00-02:25 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Session Guide
Use the Asian session high and low as prices to watch when London begins setting its direction at 08:00 UK.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 02:45-06:55 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Session Guide
Use the Asian session high and low as prices to watch when London begins setting its direction at 08:00 UK.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 07:45-08:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Session Guide
Use the Asian session high and low as prices to watch when London begins setting its direction at 08:00 UK.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 08:10-09:10 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingFive EUR Manufacturing PMI releases between 08:15 and 09:00 UK can cause repeated sharp EUR/USD moves.
Avoid entry during each release; wait until 09:10 UK to judge the Asian session high and low.
Volatility · HighRelated toGBP BoE Gov Bailey Speaks · 09:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 09:55-10:10 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR Unemployment Rate at 10:00 UK can produce a sudden EUR/USD move after the earlier PMI releases.
Wait until 10:10 UK before judging whether EUR/USD holds above or below the Asian session high or low.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 10:15-11:30 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingEUR Event Watch
EUR Unemployment Rate at 10:00 UK and Nagel at 11:35 UK can interrupt clean price movement.
Volatility · QuietRelated toLondon SessionUpcoming - 11:30-11:50 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingGerman Buba President Nagel Speaks at 11:35 UK can cause sudden EUR moves without a scheduled figure.
Avoid new entries until the speech-driven EUR/USD move has formed a clear high and low.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 11:50-12:55 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingEUR Event Watch
EUR Unemployment Rate at 10:00 UK and Nagel at 11:35 UK can interrupt clean price movement.
Volatility · QuietRelated toLondon SessionUpcoming - 13:25-13:45 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingUSD Initial Jobless Claims and Continuing Jobless Claims share the 13:30 UK release time.
Stand aside during the release and mark the first sharp EUR/USD move's high and low.
Volatility · HighRelated toUSD Initial Jobless Claims · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 14:25-15:15 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingECB President Lagarde Speaks at 14:30 UK, followed by high-impact USD releases at 14:45 and 15:00 UK.
Avoid entries until a candle on the 1-hour chart closes beyond the news-driven high or low.
Volatility · HighRelated toUSD Manufacturing PMI · 14:45USD ISM Manufacturing PMI · 15:00London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 15:20-16:25 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingPost News Window
Use this period only if EUR/USD holds beyond the high or low formed between 14:25 and 15:15 UK.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 16:25-16:45 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingAtlanta Fed GDPNow and ECB's Schnabel Speaks at 16:30 UK can move both sides of EUR/USD together.
Reduce risk or stand aside until EUR/USD forms a clear high and low around the 16:30 UK events.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
Today's Guidance
Mark the Asian session high and low, then wait for a candle on the 1-hour chart to close beyond either price. At 13:30, 14:45 and 15:00 UK, avoid entry until EUR/USD holds beyond the first sharp move's high or low.
Alternative scenario
From 15:15 to 16:25 UK, a candle on the 1-hour chart closes beyond the Asian session high or low.
Follow that move only while EUR/USD stays beyond the broken Asian session high or low; stop using the earlier waiting plan.
Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.
Today's Trading Checklist
Run through every step below before placing a trade today.
Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.
- Step 01Plan closed
Treat forecast figures as context, not entry signals.
- Step 02Plan closed
Keep one risk budget across all EUR/USD trades during the repeated event schedule.
- Step 03Plan closed
Review open trades around the 20:00 and 20:30 UK speakers and the 21:30 UK Fed's Balance Sheet.
Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.
Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.
