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Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №105

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for FRIDAY 18 SEPTEMBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Patient News Day

Wait for EUR/USD price to settle around German PPI at 07:00 UK and ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 11:30 UK. Avoid chasing sharp changes around USD Industrial Production at 14:15 UK and US Leading Index at 15:00 UK.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 03:30JPY

    BoJ Monetary Policy Statement

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00JPY

    BoJ Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    1%
    Forecast
    1.25%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core Retail Sales (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.9%
    Forecast
    -0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Core Retail Sales (YoY)

    Previous
    2.3%
    Forecast
    1.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Retail Sales (YoY)

    Previous
    1.6%
    Forecast
    1.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    German PPI (MoM)

    Previous
    1.1%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    German PPI (YoY)

    Previous
    3%
    Forecast
    4.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Retail Sales (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.5%
    Forecast
    -0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30JPY

    BoJ Press Conference

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 09:00EUR

    Current Account

    Previous
    35.1B
    Forecast
    30.7B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Current Account n.s.a.

    Previous
    46.9B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Construction Output (MoM)

    Previous
    -1.34%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Portuguese Current Account

    Previous
    -1.837B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    ECOFIN Meetings

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Eurogroup Meetings

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:30EUR

    ECB President Lagarde Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    M3 Money Supply

    Previous
    16.7%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Deposit Growth

    Previous
    17.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Bank Loan Growth

    Previous
    19.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    FX Reserves, USD

    Previous
    785.71B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 14:15USD

    Manufacturing Production (MoM)

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:15USD

    Industrial Production (YoY)

    Previous
    1.08%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:15USD

    Capacity Utilization Rate

    Previous
    76.3%
    Forecast
    76.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:15USD

    Industrial Production (MoM)

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:30USD

    FOMC Member Bowman Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    US Leading Index (MoM)

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:45USD

    Fed Schmid Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count

    Previous
    450
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count

    Previous
    591
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30JPY

    CFTC JPY speculative net positions

    Previous
    10.8K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30AUD

    CFTC AUD speculative net positions

    Previous
    -34.9K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30CHF

    CFTC CHF speculative net positions

    Previous
    -30K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions

    Previous
    -76K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions

    Previous
    20.9K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30BRL

    CFTC BRL speculative net positions

    Previous
    66.1K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30GBP

    CFTC GBP speculative net positions

    Previous
    -58.8K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30NZD

    CFTC NZD speculative net positions

    Previous
    6.2K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30CAD

    CFTC CAD speculative net positions

    Previous
    -70.5K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30EUR

    CFTC EUR speculative net positions

    Previous
    -42.6K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Aluminium speculative net positions

    Previous
    -0.3K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Copper speculative net positions

    Previous
    92.5K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Gold speculative net positions

    Previous
    232K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Silver speculative net positions

    Previous
    26K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions

    Previous
    136.6K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions

    Previous
    -219.8K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Wheat speculative net positions

    Previous
    10.5K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Corn speculative net positions

    Previous
    543K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:30USD

    CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions

    Previous
    273.4K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 00:00-03:25 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Price Check

    Mark the Asian-session high and low, but avoid forcing EUR/USD trades around German PPI at 07:00 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 04:20-06:50 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Price Check

    Mark the Asian-session high and low, but avoid forcing EUR/USD trades around German PPI at 07:00 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 06:55-07:15 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    German PPI at 07:00 UK may cause a sudden EUR/USD price change.

    Wait until EUR/USD candles return to a steadier size before considering an entry.

    Volatility · High
    Related toGBP Core Retail Sales (MoM) · 07:00GBP Core Retail Sales (YoY) · 07:00GBP Retail Sales (MoM) · 07:00Asian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 07:45-10:55 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    London Confirmation Window

    Use price after 08:00 UK to judge whether EUR/USD stays inside or closes beyond the Asian-session high and low.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toAsian SessionLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 10:55-11:45 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Eurogroup Meetings at 11:00 UK and ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 11:30 UK can disrupt EUR/USD.

    Avoid new EUR/USD entries until price stops changing sharply after the 11:30 UK speech.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 11:45-14:10 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Between News Events

    Check that EUR/USD candles have steadied after the 11:30 UK speech before considering an entry.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 14:10-15:15 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD Industrial Production, FOMC Member Bowman Speaks and US Leading Index may move EUR/USD sharply from 14:15 to 15:00 UK.

    Do not enter EUR/USD during the first sharp price change after any event in this period.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 15:15-16:40 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late USD Watch

    Trading quality may vary around USD rig counts at 18:00 UK and CFTC positioning reports at 20:30 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 17:00-17:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late USD Watch

    Trading quality may vary around USD rig counts at 18:00 UK and CFTC positioning reports at 20:30 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 18:15-20:25 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late USD Watch

    Trading quality may vary around USD rig counts at 18:00 UK and CFTC positioning reports at 20:30 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 20:45-22:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late USD Watch

    Trading quality may vary around USD rig counts at 18:00 UK and CFTC positioning reports at 20:30 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming

Today's Guidance

After 08:00 UK, wait for a candle on the 1-hour chart to close beyond the Asian-session high or low. If EUR/USD remains between the Asian-session high and low, only enter near either edge after price turns away clearly.

Today's guidance illustration

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Plan closed

    Cancel unfilled EUR/USD orders before 06:55, 10:55 and 14:10 UK.

  2. Step 02Plan closed

    Limit exposure to one EUR/USD idea while the event schedule is dense.

  3. Step 03Plan closed

    Use the Daily chart to check that an entry is not chasing an extended candle.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration