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Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №103

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for THURSDAY 17 SEPTEMBER. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Patient News Trading Day

At 08:00, London starts without its own direction, while ECB's Lane Speaks may make EUR/USD move sharply. Wait around EUR CPI at 10:00 and USD releases at 13:30, 15:00 and 21:30; avoid chasing the first price jump.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:30SGD

    Non-Oil Exports (YoY)

    Previous
    24.1%
    Forecast
    35%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:30SGD

    Non-Oil Exports (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:30SGD

    Trade Balance

    Previous
    10.898B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Reserve Assets Total

    Previous
    117.4B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00SEK

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    6.5%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00CHF

    Trade Balance

    Previous
    8.73B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:00CHF

    SECO Economic Forecasts

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    ECB's Lane Speaks

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    3.7%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:40EUR

    Spanish 3-Year Bonos Auction

    Previous
    3.079%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:40EUR

    Spanish 5-Year Bonos Auction

    Previous
    3.255%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:40EUR

    Spanish 10-Year Obligacion Auction

    Previous
    3.736%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    HICP ex Energy and Food (MoM)

    Previous
    0%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Core CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    HICP ex Energy & Food (YoY)

    Previous
    2.2%
    Forecast
    2.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Core CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    2.5%
    Forecast
    2.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    CPI ex Tobacco (MoM)

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    CPI ex Tobacco (YoY)

    Previous
    2.9%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    CPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    2.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    CPI (YoY)

    Previous
    2.9%
    Forecast
    3.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00CNY

    FDI

    Previous
    -6.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    CPI, n.s.a

    Previous
    103.24
    Forecast
    103.7
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    German Buba Monthly Report

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00GBP

    BoE MPC vote cut

    Previous
    0
    Forecast
    0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00GBP

    BoE MPC vote hike

    Previous
    3
    Forecast
    3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00GBP

    BoE MPC vote unchanged

    Previous
    6
    Forecast
    6
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00GBP

    BoE Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    3.75%
    Forecast
    3.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00GBP

    BoE MPC Meeting Minutes

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:30CAD

    RMPI (YoY)

    Previous
    18.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    RMPI (MoM)

    Previous
    -2.2%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Housing Starts (MoM)

    Previous
    -12.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Foreign Securities Purchases

    Previous
    40.83B
    Forecast
    28.64B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    IPPI (YoY)

    Previous
    12.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Foreign Securities Purchases by Canadians

    Previous
    35.43B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Building Permits

    Previous
    1.433M
    Forecast
    1.4M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Housing Starts

    Previous
    1.239M
    Forecast
    1.32M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Building Permits (MoM)

    Previous
    4.3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index

    Previous
    47.4
    Forecast
    31.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Philly Fed Business Conditions

    Previous
    73.6
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Philly Fed New Orders

    Previous
    30.1
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Philly Fed Prices Paid

    Previous
    40.9
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Philly Fed Employment

    Previous
    27.9
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Philly Fed CAPEX Index

    Previous
    48.2
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    IPPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Initial Jobless Claims

    Previous
    206K
    Forecast
    207K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Continuing Jobless Claims

    Previous
    1774K
    Forecast
    1780K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg.

    Previous
    206K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Atlanta Fed GDPNow

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Pending Home Sales Index

    Previous
    71.2
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Pending Home Sales (MoM)

    Previous
    -2.3%
    Forecast
    2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Natural Gas Storage

    Previous
    40B
    Forecast
    49B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    4-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.775%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    8-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.845%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    10-Year TIPS Auction

    Previous
    2.438%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    Fed's Balance Sheet

    Previous
    6741B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks

    Previous
    3.036T
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 22:00KRW

    PPI (YoY)

    Previous
    7.7%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00KRW

    PPI (MoM)

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    Imports

    Previous
    9.34B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    Exports

    Previous
    7.39B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    Trade Balance (MoM)

    Previous
    -1949M
    Forecast
    -1775M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    FPI (MoM)

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    Trade Balance (YoY)

    Previous
    -5240M
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 00:00-07:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Price Check

    Use the Asian session high and low only as markers because London begins at 08:00 without its own direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 08:20-09:35 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    London Price Check

    Trade only if EUR/USD forms clear highs and lows away from the Asian session prices.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 09:50-10:20 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR CPI releases at 10:00 can make EUR/USD jump sharply and make entries harder.

    Avoid entering EUR/USD during the first sharp price move around the 10:00 releases.

    Volatility · High
    Related toEUR CPI (YoY) · 10:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 10:20-11:50 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Clearest Planned Window

    Use this window only if EUR/USD price swings have settled after the 10:00 EUR CPI releases.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 12:20-13:20 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Clearest Planned Window

    Use this window only if EUR/USD price swings have settled after the 10:00 EUR CPI releases.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 13:20-13:50 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index and Initial Jobless Claims at 13:30 can cause sharp EUR/USD price swings.

    Avoid entering EUR/USD during the first sharp price move around the 13:30 USD releases.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index · 13:30USD Initial Jobless Claims · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 13:50-14:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    USD News Caution

    Wait through the 13:30 releases, then reassess EUR/USD before the separate 15:00 releases.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 15:20-17:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late Price Check

    Trade only while EUR/USD moves steadily, and pause around the 21:30 Fed's Balance Sheet release.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 18:15-21:25 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late Price Check

    Trade only while EUR/USD moves steadily, and pause around the 21:30 Fed's Balance Sheet release.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 21:45-22:00 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late Price Check

    Trade only while EUR/USD moves steadily, and pause around the 21:30 Fed's Balance Sheet release.

    Volatility · Quiet

Today's Guidance

Mark the Asian session high and low on EUR/USD. Enter only after a candle on the 1-hour chart closes clearly above the Asian session high or below the Asian session low.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

EUR/USD keeps making unusually large price swings after the 10:00 EUR CPI releases.

Then

Remove the 10:20-13:20 trading window and wait until EUR/USD forms a clear high and low.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Plan closed

    Use one risk limit across all EUR/USD trades rather than resetting risk after each release.

  2. Step 02Plan closed

    Treat the three 10:00 EUR CPI figures as one release period, not three separate trading opportunities.

  3. Step 03Plan closed

    Do not hold a weak EUR/USD setup merely because another USD release is scheduled.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration