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Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №44

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for FRIDAY 7 AUGUST. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

News-Driven Day

EUR data at 06:30, 07:00 and 07:45, then the US jobs stack at 13:30 and Fed Barkin at 15:00, make this a news-driven day; cleanest chances are after London or post-news direction is clear. Scheduled news does not predict whether price will rise or fall, so avoid spikes and wait for price to hold a level.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:00COP

    Battle of Boyaca Day

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Rwanda Harvest Thanksgiving

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00

    Bahrain GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.6%
    Forecast
    2.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00

    Sri Lanka Tourist Arrivals YoY

    Previous
    -9.9%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00PHP

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    0.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00PHP

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.8%
    Forecast
    2.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:30KRW

    KTBi Auction

    Previous
    1.524%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00

    Bangladesh Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    9.16%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00

    Bangladesh Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.34%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00CNY

    Balance of Trade Yuan

    Previous
    CNY859.05B
    Forecast
    CNY740.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00CNY

    Imports YoY

    Previous
    36.0%
    Forecast
    27.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00CNY

    Exports YoY

    Previous
    27.0%
    Forecast
    22.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00CNY

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $125.62B
    Forecast
    $107.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00IDR

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $145.6B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:30IDR

    Property Price Index YoY

    Previous
    0.62%
    Forecast
    0.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    3-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.0036%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00THB

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    50.7
    Forecast
    51.1
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.3%
    Forecast
    2.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.5%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Coincident Index

    Previous
    117.9
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Leading Economic Index

    Previous
    116.5
    Forecast
    116.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:30EUR

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    8.1%
    Forecast
    8.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00DKK

    Manufacturing Production MoM

    Previous
    -3.9%
    Forecast
    1.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-0.91B
    Forecast
    €-0.82B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Exports MoM

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Imports MoM

    Previous
    -2.5%
    Forecast
    1.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00NOK

    Manufacturing Production MoM

    Previous
    0.7
    Forecast
    -0.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00ZAR

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $74.11B
    Forecast
    $72.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Halifax House Price Index YoY

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Halifax House Price Index MoM

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30HUF

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    1.7%
    Forecast
    1.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30HUF

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30HUF

    Core Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.0%
    Forecast
    2.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-6.9B
    Forecast
    €-6.5B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Imports

    Previous
    60.5
    Forecast
    60.7
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Current Account

    Previous
    -0.1
    Forecast
    -2.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Exports

    Previous
    53.6
    Forecast
    55.1
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    €355.389B
    Forecast
    €355.7B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-434.1M
    Forecast
    €-470.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Kazakhstan Current Account

    Previous
    $-1.8B
    Forecast
    $-2.9B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Seychelles Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.43%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CHF

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    -36.0
    Forecast
    -34.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CHF

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    CHF758.794B
    Forecast
    CHF760.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30THB

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    279.2
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Jordan PPI YoY

    Previous
    6.6%
    Forecast
    6.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Bulgaria Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    -28.6
    Forecast
    -27.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Bulgaria Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    7.9%
    Forecast
    7.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Bulgaria Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    -0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00CNY

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $3.416T
    Forecast
    $3.42T
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00CZK

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    179.6
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00CZK

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.8%
    Forecast
    5.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Imports YoY

    Previous
    51.8%
    Forecast
    48.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Exports YoY

    Previous
    40.3%
    Forecast
    40.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $12.2B
    Forecast
    $16.5B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    World FAO Food Price Index

    Previous
    130.3
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $445.9B
    Forecast
    $446.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Angola Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.52%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Angola Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    10.11%
    Forecast
    9.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Croatia Balance of Trade

    Previous
    -1.7
    Forecast
    -1.9
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    -1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.9%
    Forecast
    2.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    -2.0
    Forecast
    -2.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.4%
    Forecast
    3.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    1.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00SGD

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    551.3
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00GBP

    BBA Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.6%
    Forecast
    6.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    182-Day T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    7.41%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    91-Day T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    6.95%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    364-Day T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    7.72%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    273-Day T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    7.67%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Mauritius Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Mauritius Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.7%
    Forecast
    3.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Macedonia Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.4%
    Forecast
    2.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-2811.0M
    Forecast
    €-2980.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Uzbekistan Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    63.76
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00PHP

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    104.8
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    682.35
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Deposit Growth YoY

    Previous
    12.7
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Bank Loan Growth YoY

    Previous
    17.7
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:00CLP

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.3%
    Forecast
    3.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00CLP

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00CLP

    Core Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Core Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.03%
    Forecast
    3.94%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Core Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.24%
    Forecast
    0.22%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Auto Production YoY

    Previous
    -1.89%
    Forecast
    2.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Auto Exports YoY

    Previous
    -9.2%
    Forecast
    1.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.37%
    Forecast
    3.12%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    2.1%
    Forecast
    3.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    -0.87%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.27%
    Forecast
    0.03%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00

    Pakistan Balance of Trade

    Previous
    PKR-1263.2B
    Forecast
    PKR-1000.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00PLN

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    293.5
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00

    Ukraine Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    51.3
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Average Hourly Wages YoY

    Previous
    3.7%
    Forecast
    3.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Employment Change

    Previous
    18.2K
    Forecast
    15.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    6.5%
    Forecast
    6.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Participation Rate

    Previous
    65.0%
    Forecast
    65.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Full Time Employment Chg

    Previous
    0.6K
    Forecast
    21.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Part Time Employment Chg

    Previous
    17.5K
    Forecast
    4.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CLP

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $3320.0M
    Forecast
    $2380.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CLP

    Exports

    Previous
    $10789.0M
    Forecast
    $11400.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CLP

    Imports

    Previous
    $7471.0M
    Forecast
    $8000.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    U-6 Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    7.9%
    Forecast
    7.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Average Hourly Earnings YoY

    Previous
    3.5%
    Forecast
    3.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Average Hourly Earnings MoM

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Average Weekly Hours

    Previous
    34.3
    Forecast
    34.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Participation Rate

    Previous
    61.5%
    Forecast
    61.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Non Farm Payrolls

    Previous
    57.0K
    Forecast
    80.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Nonfarm Payrolls Private

    Previous
    49.0K
    Forecast
    78.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Government Payrolls

    Previous
    8.0K
    Forecast
    10.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.2%
    Forecast
    4.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Manufacturing Payrolls

    Previous
    3.0K
    Forecast
    4.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00

    Ukraine Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00

    Ukraine Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    7.2%
    Forecast
    7.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00USD

    Used Car Prices YoY

    Previous
    2.1
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00USD

    Used Car Prices MoM

    Previous
    0.1
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:10RUB

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $720.4B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00BRL

    New Car Registrations MoM

    Previous
    -0.8%
    Forecast
    1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00BRL

    Car Production MoM

    Previous
    -3.0%
    Forecast
    2.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00CAD

    Ivey PMI s.a

    Previous
    56.2
    Forecast
    55.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Fed Barkin Speech

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30TRY

    Treasury Cash Balance

    Previous
    50.759
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00USD

    Consumer Inflation Expectations

    Previous
    3.7%
    Forecast
    3.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00EUR

    New Car Registrations YoY

    Previous
    11.4%
    Forecast
    6.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00

    Costa Rica Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.71%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00

    Costa Rica Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    -0.32%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count

    Previous
    451.0
    Forecast
    452.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count

    Previous
    588.0
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00ARS

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    -5.7%
    Forecast
    -7.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00USD

    Consumer Credit Change

    Previous
    $-0.18B
    Forecast
    $10.5B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 06:00-06:20 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Handover

    Use this period for marking the Asian range, not forcing entries.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming

    The briefing is before the London open, and the session context says London has not established direction. EUR data starts shortly after this window.

  • 06:20-07:55 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR data stack: Unemployment Rate, Industrial Production, Exports and Balance of Trade.

    Avoid fresh EUR trades during the releases; wait for the London reaction to form.

    Volatility · High
    Related toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    Four medium-impact EUR releases are scheduled between 06:30 and 07:45. That cluster can create unstable early EUR/USD pricing.

  • 08:15-10:30 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Post-EUR London Read

    Look for London structure after the EUR data block has passed.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    The EUR releases are scheduled from 06:30 to 07:45, so this window gives price time to react. It avoids the early event cluster.

  • 10:30-12:45 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Late London Selective Trades

    Trade only clean setups and avoid starting positions too close to US jobs data.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    This window sits after the EUR data and before the 13:30 USD cluster. Execution risk increases as the US release approaches.

  • 13:20-13:50 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD jobs cluster including Non Farm Payrolls, unemployment measures and earnings data.

    Stand aside through the release and avoid trading the first spike.

    Volatility · High
    Related toCAD Employment Change · 13:30CAD Unemployment Rate · 13:30USD U-6 Unemployment Rate · 13:30USD Non Farm Payrolls · 13:30USD Nonfarm Payrolls Private · 13:30USD Unemployment Rate · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    Several USD releases land at 13:30, including multiple high-impact jobs readings. The same-time cluster raises execution risk across USD pairs and gold.

  • 13:55-14:45 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Post-US Jobs Reaction

    Only consider trades if spreads normalise and price starts holding levels.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    The 13:30 USD jobs releases are the main high-impact cluster. This window allows the first reaction to pass before the 15:00 Fed speech.

  • 14:50-15:10 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Fed Barkin Speech.

    Avoid fresh USD-sensitive entries around the speech until the reaction is clear.

    Volatility · High
    Related toCAD Ivey PMI s.a · 15:00London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The speech is a medium-impact USD event after the jobs data. It can restart volatility before the market has fully settled from the earlier cluster.

  • 15:20-16:30 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    After Fed Speaker

    This is the cleanest late-day window if price has built clear post-news structure.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    The 15:00 Fed Barkin speech is the last listed event. Trading after it avoids the main scheduled risk periods in the supplied calendar.

Today's Guidance

Mark the 06:30-07:45, 13:30 and 15:00 news times on your chart. Do not enter on the first spike; wait for a candle to close beyond your level or reject it clearly before trading.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

The 13:30 UK USD jobs cluster produces a disorderly reaction that remains unstable into the 15:00 Fed Barkin speech.

Then

The plan shifts from selective post-news trading to standing aside until price holds clear levels again.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Plan closed

    Treat the morning EUR releases as reaction periods, not automatic trade signals.

  2. Step 02Plan closed

    The 13:30 USD jobs cluster is the main no-trade zone for execution risk.

  3. Step 03Plan closed

    London direction needs confirmation because the briefing is before the European open.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration