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Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №42

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for THURSDAY 6 AUGUST. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

News-Driven Day

Key risk sits at 10:00 for EUR retail sales and 13:30 for USD labour data, so the cleanest trades are likely after London marks clear levels or after the first news reaction calms down. Scheduled news does not tell you whether price will rise or fall; avoid the first spike and wait for price to confirm.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:00

    Bolivia Bolivian Independence Day

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    El Salvador Celebrations of San Salvador

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Jamaica Independence Day

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:00PHP

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.8%
    Forecast
    4.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:00PHP

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    12.5%
    Forecast
    10.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Imports MoM

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Exports MoM

    Previous
    -7.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    A$-2.367B
    Forecast
    A$-1.1B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Private House Approvals MoM

    Previous
    2.4%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Building Permits YoY

    Previous
    5.5%
    Forecast
    8.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Building Permits MoM

    Previous
    -1.6%
    Forecast
    7.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    30-Year JGB Auction

    Previous
    3.993%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    6-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.0118%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:30EUR

    Household Consumption YoY

    Previous
    2.2%
    Forecast
    1.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00

    Bahrain GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.6%
    Forecast
    2.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Factory Orders MoM

    Previous
    1.9%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00

    Romania Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    1.3
    Forecast
    0.6
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00

    Romania Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    -4.7
    Forecast
    -1.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    -0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    CPIF MoM

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    -0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    CPIF YoY

    Previous
    1.3%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    House Price Index MoM

    Previous
    2.0%
    Forecast
    1.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.7%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30HUF

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    4.8
    Forecast
    3.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30HUF

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    -0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Private Non Farm Payrolls QoQ

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    -0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:00EUR

    Wholesale Prices YoY

    Previous
    5.4%
    Forecast
    5.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Wholesale Prices MoM

    Previous
    -0.7%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    -0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Construction Output YoY

    Previous
    4.4%
    Forecast
    3.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    CZK9.9B
    Forecast
    CZK17.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    2.0%
    Forecast
    2.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    0.9
    Forecast
    0.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    0.1
    Forecast
    0.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    3.4
    Forecast
    2.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CHF

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    2.9
    Forecast
    2.9
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Jordan PPI YoY

    Previous
    6.6%
    Forecast
    6.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    1.1%
    Forecast
    1.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.21%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.6%
    Forecast
    2.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:40EUR

    Bonos y Obligaciones Auction

    Previous
    1.492%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:40EUR

    10-Year Obligacion Auction

    Previous
    3.395%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:40EUR

    5-Year Bonos Auction

    Previous
    2.835%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:40EUR

    7-Year Obligacion Auction

    Previous
    3.297%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.25%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.06%
    Forecast
    3.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    1.6%
    Forecast
    1.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    OAT Auction

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    2036 OAT Auction

    Previous
    3.73%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    2044 OAT Auction

    Previous
    4.24%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    3-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    5.48%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    5-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    5.14%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    10-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    5.56%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30

    Uganda Business Confidence

    Previous
    54.4
    Forecast
    56.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30

    Uganda Balance of Trade

    Previous
    -323.6
    Forecast
    -450.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30USD

    Challenger Job Cuts

    Previous
    45.849K
    Forecast
    59.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Ghana Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    5.3%
    Forecast
    5.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    5.0%
    Forecast
    5.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00ILS

    Tourist Arrivals YoY

    Previous
    48.1
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00ILS

    Business Confidence

    Previous
    16.9
    Forecast
    17.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:30ILS

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $238.699B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00

    Moldova Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    7.0%
    Forecast
    7.25%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30TRY

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    62.396
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:30CZK

    CNB Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    3.75%
    Forecast
    3.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Jobless Claims 4-week Average

    Previous
    202.75K
    Forecast
    198.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Nonfarm Productivity QoQ

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Unit Labour Costs QoQ

    Previous
    1.8%
    Forecast
    2.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Continuing Jobless Claims

    Previous
    1782.0K
    Forecast
    1790.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Initial Jobless Claims

    Previous
    197.0K
    Forecast
    202.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:20USD

    NY Fed Bill Purchases 4 to 12 months

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    3.453
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Wholesale Inventories MoM

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00

    World Global Supply Chain Pressure Index

    Previous
    1.25
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change

    Previous
    28.0B
    Forecast
    30.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    4-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.63%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    8-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.675%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00EUR

    New Car Registrations YoY

    Previous
    11.4%
    Forecast
    6.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00USD

    30-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.66
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00USD

    15-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.04
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00CAD

    10-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    3.622%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00BRL

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $9.76B
    Forecast
    $8.4B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00COP

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    3.3%
    Forecast
    3.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00MXN

    Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    6.5%
    Forecast
    6.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    Fed Balance Sheet

    Previous
    $6.738T
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 22:30USD

    Fed Musalem Speech

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30JPY

    Household Spending YoY

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    1.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30JPY

    Household Spending MoM

    Previous
    3.7%
    Forecast
    -3.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:50JPY

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $1287.5B
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 06:25-06:55 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Pre-London Preparation

    Use this window to mark Asian highs, lows and nearby H1 levels, not to force entries.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming

    The session context says the briefing is before the London open and Asian price action is the most recent reference. London direction has not been set yet.

  • 06:55-07:10 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Factory Orders MoM at 07:00 UK.

    Watch EUR pairs and avoid fresh entries if spreads widen or the first candle is erratic.

    Volatility · High
    Related toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The calendar shows a medium-impact EUR release before London has fully developed liquidity. That can distort early EUR/USD levels.

  • 07:15-07:50 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    London Opening Read

    Watch how price behaves after the 07:00 EUR release and before the 09:00 EUR data.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming

    This window follows the first EUR release and avoids the next scheduled EUR event. It gives London time to form early levels.

  • 08:55-09:10 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Industrial Production MoM at 09:00 UK.

    Watch EUR reaction and avoid entering just before the release.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    This medium-impact EUR release lands during the London session. It can affect EUR/USD even though the higher-risk EUR data comes later.

  • 09:55-10:20 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Retail Sales YoY and MoM high-impact cluster at 10:00 UK.

    Avoid new EUR trades through the release and wait for the reaction to slow.

    Volatility · High
    Related toEUR Retail Sales YoY · 10:00EUR Retail Sales MoM · 10:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    Two high-impact EUR releases arrive at the same time. Event clustering raises execution risk around EUR/USD.

  • 10:20-12:15 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Post-EUR Data Window

    Best London window for EUR/USD only if the retail sales reaction has slowed and levels are clear.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    The 10:00 high-impact EUR retail sales cluster has passed by this window. It also finishes before the 13:30 USD data stack.

  • 12:15-13:20 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Pre-US Reset

    Good for managing existing plans and preparing levels, but avoid carrying fresh risk into 13:30.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    This sits after the main EUR cluster and before the USD releases. The next major risk is close, so execution needs discipline.

  • 13:25-13:55 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD claims, productivity and labour-cost data cluster at 13:30 UK.

    Avoid new USD-linked trades until the first reaction has calmed.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Jobless Claims 4-week Average · 13:30USD Continuing Jobless Claims · 13:30USD Initial Jobless Claims · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The calendar shows five USD releases at the same time, including three high-impact labour-market items. This is the main cross-market risk window for USD pairs and Gold.

  • 13:55-16:30 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Post-USD Reaction

    Use this window only after the first USD move has calmed and price respects a level.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    The 13:30 USD data stack is the largest same-time cluster in the calendar. Waiting until after it reduces release-spike risk.

  • 16:30-18:55 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Late New York

    Lower urgency window for continuation or range trades if the earlier news created clean levels.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming

    No further supplied event appears until the late Fed speech at 22:30 UK. The main EUR and USD data risks have already passed by this window.

  • 22:25-22:45 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Fed Musalem Speech at 22:30 UK.

    Watch USD exposure if holding late positions; avoid reacting to headlines without price confirmation.

    Volatility · High
    Related toExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The speech is medium impact and has no forecast or previous value. Speaker risk can create uneven USD movement outside the main trading windows.

Today's Guidance

Mark London’s early high and low, then wait for a candle to close beyond a level before entering; around the 10:00 and 13:30 releases, stay out until the first sharp move has calmed.

Today's guidance illustration

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Plan closed

    London open is the first real test after Asian price action.

  2. Step 02Plan closed

    EUR pairs need extra care around the 10:00 retail sales cluster.

  3. Step 03Plan closed

    The 13:30 USD data stack can affect EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and Gold at the same time.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration