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Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №26

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for MONDAY 27 JULY. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

News-Driven Day

The key times are 09:00 UK for EUR news, 13:30 UK for USD news and 15:30 UK for later USD news; the cleanest opportunities are likely after each reaction has calmed. Scheduled news does not predict whether price will rise or fall, so avoid the spike and wait for price to clearly confirm your setup.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Deep
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:00

    Cuba Revolution Anniversary

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Liberia Independence Day

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Maldives Independence Day

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00SGD

    Monetary Policy Statement

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30CNY

    Industrial Profits (YTD) YoY

    Previous
    18.8%
    Forecast
    19.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00THB

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    -1.3%
    Forecast
    0.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    6.9%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    17.8%
    Forecast
    9.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    -5.3
    Forecast
    -6.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Coincident Index

    Previous
    118.1
    Forecast
    118.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Leading Economic Index

    Previous
    116.1
    Forecast
    116.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Business Confidence

    Previous
    4.0
    Forecast
    2.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Household Lending Growth YoY

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    3.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 09:00

    Armenia Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-480.6M
    Forecast
    $-480.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Armenia Construction Output YoY

    Previous
    27.1%
    Forecast
    26.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    M3 Money Supply YoY

    Previous
    3.2%
    Forecast
    3.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Loans to Households YoY

    Previous
    3.0%
    Forecast
    3.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Loans to Companies YoY

    Previous
    4.0%
    Forecast
    4.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Armenia Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    9.5%
    Forecast
    13.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Armenia Economic Activity YoY

    Previous
    11.7%
    Forecast
    12.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Armenia Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    1.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Armenia PPI YoY

    Previous
    9.0%
    Forecast
    8.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Ifo Current Conditions

    Previous
    87.0
    Forecast
    87.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Ifo Expectations

    Previous
    84.3
    Forecast
    84.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Ifo Business Climate

    Previous
    85.7
    Forecast
    86.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00CHF

    USDCHF Sentiment

    Previous
    46.0%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00AUD

    AUDUSD Sentiment

    Previous
    33.0%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00JPY

    USDJPY Sentiment

    Previous
    20.0%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    EURUSD Sentiment

    Previous
    57.0%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00GBP

    GBPUSD Sentiment

    Previous
    44.0%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00CAD

    USDCAD Sentiment

    Previous
    43.0%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00NZD

    NZDUSD Sentiment

    Previous
    29.0%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Imports YoY

    Previous
    42.0%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    H$-44.2B
    Forecast
    H$-45.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Exports YoY

    Previous
    40.8%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30EUR

    Business Confidence

    Previous
    -4.0
    Forecast
    -6.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Bosnia And Herzegovina Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.9%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Bosnia and Herzegovina Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    5.6%
    Forecast
    5.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:10

    Bahrain Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.3%
    Forecast
    2.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    91-Day T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    7.12%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    182-Day T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    7.52%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    273-Day T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    7.67%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    364-Day T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    7.72%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:45ILS

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    2.8%
    Forecast
    3.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Total Credit YoY

    Previous
    4.6%
    Forecast
    4.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    OLO Auction

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00GBP

    CBI Distributive Trades

    Previous
    -54.0
    Forecast
    -45.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Zimbabwe Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.7%
    Forecast
    4.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    2035 OLO Auction

    Previous
    3.468%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    2033 OLO Auction

    Previous
    2.809%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00BRL

    FGV Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    88.7
    Forecast
    88.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00

    Pakistan Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    11.5%
    Forecast
    11.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:10

    El Salvador Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-1185.93M
    Forecast
    $-1020.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30BRL

    BCB Focus Market Readout

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:00MXN

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $2.259B
    Forecast
    $2.28B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air

    Previous
    1.6%
    Forecast
    0.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM

    Previous
    -4.6%
    Forecast
    2.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Durable Goods Orders MoM

    Previous
    -4.5%
    Forecast
    2.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM

    Previous
    1.3%
    Forecast
    0.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00EUR

    3-Month BTF Auction

    Previous
    2.437%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00EUR

    6-Month BTF Auction

    Previous
    2.554%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00EUR

    12-Month BTF Auction

    Previous
    2.749%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00

    Kuwait Private Bank Lending YoY

    Previous
    5.45%
    Forecast
    7.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00

    Kuwait M2 Money Supply YoY

    Previous
    2.7
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

    Previous
    0.0
    Forecast
    -1.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30CAD

    BoC Market Participants Survey

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    6-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.835%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    2-Year Note Auction

    Previous
    4.189%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    3-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.73%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    5-Year Note Auction

    Previous
    4.2%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 22:00KRW

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    106.6
    Forecast
    107.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:01EUR

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    62.2
    Forecast
    62.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:01GBP

    BRC Shop Price Inflation

    Previous
    1.2%
    Forecast
    1.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 07:00-08:45 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Early London Build

    Use this only for preparation and early range marking before the EUR release.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toAsian SessionLondon SessionUpcoming

    The first high-impact event was scheduled at 09:00 UK, so the safer early window ended before that release.

  • 08:50-09:15 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Ifo Business Climate at 09:00 UK.

    Avoid new EUR trades during the release window.

    Volatility · High
    Related toEUR Ifo Business Climate · 09:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The event was high impact and directly relevant to EUR/USD, so execution risk was highest around the release.

  • 09:20-10:55 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Post-Ifo London

    Look for the European session to define usable highs, lows and H1 levels.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    The EUR Ifo release had passed, leaving London liquidity available before the USD data cluster.

  • 13:20-13:50 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Three high-impact USD Durable Goods releases at 13:30 UK.

    Avoid new USD pair and Gold trades during the cluster.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM · 13:30USD Durable Goods Orders MoM · 13:30USD Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    Three high-impact USD events landed at the same time inside the London/New York overlap, raising execution risk.

  • 13:50-15:20 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Post-USD Overlap

    Best remaining liquidity window, but only after the 13:30 UK USD reaction settles.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    The briefing is in the London/New York overlap, the deepest liquidity window, and the 13:30 UK high-impact USD cluster has already passed.

  • 15:25-15:45 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index at 15:30 UK.

    Pause new USD-sensitive trades until the first reaction settles.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The upcoming event is medium impact, but it still affects USD pairs and Gold during the New York session.

  • 15:50-17:00 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Late New York Reset

    Trade only if the Dallas Fed reaction leaves a clean level to work from.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    This window starts after the 15:30 UK medium-impact USD event, avoiding the release itself.

Today's Guidance

Do not trade the first spike around the 15:30 UK USD release. Wait for a candle to close beyond your level, not just wick through it, and use smaller size if the move is messy.

Today's guidance illustration

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Plan closed

    The 13:30 UK USD cluster has passed, so judge how New York treats the levels set in Europe.

  2. Step 02Plan closed

    Pause around the 15:30 UK Dallas Fed release; it can still disturb USD pairs and Gold.

  3. Step 03Plan closed

    Use H1 and H4 levels for trade selection; skip setups stuck between levels.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration