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Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №21

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for TUESDAY 21 JULY. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Patient Trading Day

London and the NY overlap should offer the cleanest reads once price confirms beyond Asian ranges. The USD labour update and late oil data make chasing early moves a poor trade.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:00EUR

    Belgian National Day

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Botswana President's Day

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:30KRW

    20-Year KTB Auction

    Previous
    4.3%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:35NZD

    6-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    2.9622%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:35NZD

    3-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    2.701%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:35NZD

    1-Year Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.2875%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    12.7
    Forecast
    11.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    MAS 4-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.38%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    MAS 12-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.47%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    MAS 36-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.52%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00NOK

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.4
    Forecast
    4.6
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00CHF

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    5.6
    Forecast
    3.9
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr)

    Previous
    4.4%
    Forecast
    4.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Claimant Count Change

    Previous
    31.2K
    Forecast
    28.3K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Employment Change

    Previous
    100.0K
    Forecast
    85.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.9%
    Forecast
    5.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr)

    Previous
    3.4%
    Forecast
    3.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks

    Previous
    £-23.3B
    Forecast
    £-19.8B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    HMRC Payrolls Change

    Previous
    2.0
    Forecast
    20.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 09:00EUR

    Current Account

    Previous
    €-1.389B
    Forecast
    €51.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Lebanon Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    19.0%
    Forecast
    18.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-5.2B
    Forecast
    €-4.7B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Export Orders YoY

    Previous
    47.2%
    Forecast
    41.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    ECB Bank Lending Survey

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30

    Angola Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $15.5B
    Forecast
    $16.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30

    Angola M3 Money Supply YoY

    Previous
    15.6%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.0%
    Forecast
    2.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30EUR

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    2.1%
    Forecast
    1.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Croatia Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    3.4
    Forecast
    3.7
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    ZEW Economic Sentiment Index

    Previous
    9.5
    Forecast
    11.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    ZEW Current Conditions

    Previous
    -81.0
    Forecast
    -77.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00GBP

    Treasury Gilt 2029 Auction

    Previous
    4.419%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30EUR

    5-Year Bobl Auction

    Previous
    2.64%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    3-Month DTB Auction

    Previous
    5.36%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    Weekly Bond Auction

    Previous
    8.437%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    2039 Bond Auction

    Previous
    8.795%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    2042 Bond Auction

    Previous
    9.042%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    1.8%
    Forecast
    2.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    -0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.5
    Forecast
    4.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:30

    Ghana PPI YoY

    Previous
    5.8%
    Forecast
    5.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00CAD

    CFIB Business Barometer

    Previous
    49.6
    Forecast
    49.9
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:00HUF

    Deposit Interest Rate

    Previous
    5.0%
    Forecast
    4.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00HUF

    Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    6.0%
    Forecast
    5.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    4.4%
    Forecast
    2.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:15USD

    ADP Employment Change Weekly

    Previous
    19.75K
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:55USD

    Redbook YoY

    Previous
    8.2
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00NZD

    Global Dairy Trade Price Index

    Previous
    -4.9%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00

    Nigeria Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    26.5%
    Forecast
    26.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00COP

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-2.11B
    Forecast
    $-0.4B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00COP

    Imports YoY

    Previous
    15.8%
    Forecast
    6.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    6-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.64%
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00COP

    ISE Economic Activity YoY

    Previous
    3.34%
    Forecast
    2.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:30EUR

    Bundesbank President Nagel Speech

    Previous
    —
    Forecast
    —
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:30ARS

    Leading Indicator MoM

    Previous
    0.08%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00

    Costa Rica Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-1370.22M
    Forecast
    $-1600.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    API Crude Oil Stock Change

    Previous
    -0.564M
    Forecast
    -1.5M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 22:00KRW

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    -0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00KRW

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    8.5%
    Forecast
    8.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:50JPY

    Imports YoY

    Previous
    12.5%
    Forecast
    21.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:50JPY

    Exports YoY

    Previous
    17.0%
    Forecast
    18.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:50JPY

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    ¥-378.7B
    Forecast
    ¥-120.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 06:00-06:50 UK

    —

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Reference Build

    Use this period to map the Asian range, not to force trades.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming

    The briefing is before the London open, and Asian trading is the latest price action available. London has not set the day's working direction yet.

  • 08:00-08:50 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    London Open Probe

    Good for reading liquidity and range expansion before the EUR data window.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    This window sits after the European open and before the 09:00 UK EUR release. It gives traders time to observe whether price accepts or rejects the Asian range.

  • 08:50-09:10 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Balance of Trade at 09:00 UK

    Avoid fresh EUR/USD entries and let the first reaction settle.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The EUR event is medium impact and lands soon after London opens. That timing can distort early EUR/USD levels.

  • 10:15-11:30 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Post-EUR London

    Best early window once the EUR data reaction has settled.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    The EUR Balance of Trade release is scheduled at 09:00 UK, so this window avoids the release itself. London liquidity should be established by then.

  • 12:00-13:00 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Pre-US Position Check

    Use this window to manage or filter setups before the USD risk period.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    It comes after the main London morning and before the 13:15 UK high-impact USD release. It is better suited to preparation than aggressive new entries.

  • 13:05-13:35 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD ADP Employment Change Weekly at 13:15 UK

    Avoid new USD, gold and major FX trades during the release window.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD ADP Employment Change Weekly · 13:15London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    This is the only high-impact event in the supplied calendar and it affects USD pairs and gold directly. No forecast is supplied, which adds execution risk.

  • 13:45-16:30 UK

    —

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Post-USD NY Overlap

    Best main session window after the USD reaction has time to settle.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    The 13:15 UK USD release is the highest-impact event on the calendar. This window starts after the main danger period and overlaps with active London and New York trading.

  • 21:20-21:45 UK

    —

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    API Crude Oil Stock Change at 21:30 UK

    Avoid fresh Brent entries into the release and wait for the reaction to settle.

    Volatility · High
    Related toExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The API crude stock change is medium impact and directly tied to oil. It also arrives late in the UK evening when liquidity can be thinner.

  • 21:50-22:30 UK

    —

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Post-API Oil Reaction

    Brent-only window for traders who plan to trade the inventory reaction.

    Volatility · Moderate

    The API crude stock change is scheduled for 21:30 UK. Waiting until after 21:50 UK avoids the first release spike.

Today's Guidance

Use the Asian high and low as your first map. Wait for a candle close beyond your level, not just a wick, and avoid opening new trades in the 10 minutes before or after the USD release.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

A sharp, sustained reaction after the 13:15 UK USD labour update.

Then

Earlier London levels may become less useful, so wait for fresh H1 structure before trading USD pairs or gold.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Plan closed

    Mark the Asian session range before taking London trades.

  2. Step 02Plan closed

    Treat the EUR release as a reason to pause fresh EUR/USD entries around the print.

  3. Step 03Plan closed

    Stand aside through the USD labour update and wait for the first reaction to settle.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration