CB Consumer Confidence

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The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index measures how U.S. consumers feel about current and future economic conditions. It is based on survey questions about business conditions, jobs and household income expectations.

Economic EventsCB = Conference Board; CCI = Consumer Confidence Index

Full explanation

The index is calculated from the Consumer Confidence Survey, which asks households about present business and employment conditions and their expectations for business conditions, employment and income six months ahead. The headline index averages five underlying question indexes and is benchmarked to 1985 = 100. The survey is conducted online for The Conference Board and is released monthly.

Why traders watch it

Consumer confidence can affect expectations for household spending, which is a major part of U.S. GDP. Large surprises may influence USD, equity-index sentiment and rates expectations through the growth and consumption outlook.

Stronger vs weaker outcomes

A stronger-than-expected reading may suggest consumers are more willing or able to spend, possibly supporting a firmer growth outlook. A weaker-than-expected reading may point to caution among households, especially if the expectations component falls sharply.

Typical volatility

Confidence surveys measure attitudes, not actual spending, and can be sensitive to politics, gasoline prices, labor-market news and market volatility. The index should be compared with retail sales, income, inflation and labor data.

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