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UK trade, quarterly goods and services: April to June 2026

Mixed / No clear directional biasBroadly neutralOfficialMediummedium

ONS releases quarterly estimates of UK total trade and trade in goods and services by country for April to June 2026, in both seasonally adjusted and non-seasonally adjusted forms.

The Office for National Statistics has published quarterly estimates of UK trade in goods and services for April to June 2026. The dataset covers UK total trade as well as trade in goods and trade in services, with figures available by country.

The publication includes both seasonally adjusted and non-seasonally adjusted measures, which matters for traders trying to distinguish underlying trends from calendar or seasonal effects. As trade data updates the view of external demand and the balance between imports and exports, it can feed into expectations for UK growth and the broader macro backdrop.

While this release does not, in the provided material, specify any figures, direction, or changes versus prior quarters, the act of updating the quarterly trade picture itself is useful context for macro discussions around demand, the sustainability of growth, and how the UK’s external position may evolve.

What to watch next is the detail within the estimates (not provided here): movements in goods versus services trade, the contribution of major partner countries, and any change between seasonally adjusted and non-seasonally adjusted profiles, as these can indicate whether shifts are structural or timing-related.

Why this matters for FX

Trade flows inform the near-term growth backdrop via external demand and supply-side pressures, and can affect the current-account balance that underpins currency fundamentals. The release is also relevant for how import intensity may feed into inflation dynamics and for assessing whether UK demand is being supported by domestic consumption versus trade.

tradecurrent accountgrowth expectationsinflation context

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